Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

A serious look at the long term Aftgan and region's stratergy…….

If you’ve been following me here, you know that I believe that the only way the  United States can ‘win’ in that country is to surge now as Gen. McChrystal has requested, and then, under that protection do nation building to preserve any gains……..

Two things have occurred within the last 24 hours for me that have made me think that Obama is taking a longer time then expected,tenets because some basic tenets of my  above argument stand on wobbly legs…..I did an earlier post in which I said Aftghanistan is just too darn backwards to ever have the US declare ‘victory’……and that view should not be discarded….

First of all Yesterday I have a look discussion with a guy who regularly travels to India……he’s an American now but he was born and lived his youth in India…..And he’s been to Afghanistan….

His point to me on the subject was that , in agreement with my feelings, Afghanistan was a hard sell for anybody to ‘win’…he felt that the people of that country simply did not want anybody coming in to change their way of life, and their country…and that the political system of ‘forced democracy’ was flawed and corrupt. He was emphatic…the country was simply not capable of changing due to economic, political and religious constraints ……

In the case of Pakistan…my friend argued correctly that the bad guys in Afghanistan were put there by the Pakistani’s to work against India, their arch enemy…….He pointed out that it was inconceivable for the Pakistani’s to remain in a fight against these forces…why?…because in the end..when the US leaves the area, they, The Pakistani’s, will still have to deal with India….and that was their principal concern……not the United States problem with terrorism….

I also just go finished reading a strategic paper from the Democratic Strategist which is biased in one way, but which clearly lays out the argument my friend gave me yesterday……which is that any counterinsurgency campaign must deal with the three constraints I have laid out above…..

The piece, as does my friend..and my prior post,  repeats, loud and clear, the reason why no  has been able to hold, as their own, that region…..

The Aftgan’s don’t want anybody to, never have, and it seems, never will…..

But we now know this…..the United States and NATO are moving the troop levels above the 68,000 troops they have been saying are in country…..President Obama, the Commander-in -Chief is going to have to decide (take your time, Sir) WHAT HE WANTS?, WHAT CAN BE ACCOMPLISHED?……and the DEFINITION of a win, victory or just a get out point…….

This one is a problem  that may not have  solution….. A true Kobarishi Maru…….

October 13, 2009 Posted by | Military, Politics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

A serious look at the long term Aftgan and region’s stratergy…….

If you’ve been following me here, you know that I believe that the only way the  United States can ‘win’ in that country is to surge now as Gen. McChrystal has requested, and then, under that protection do nation building to preserve any gains……..

Two things have occurred within the last 24 hours for me that have made me think that Obama is taking a longer time then expected,tenets because some basic tenets of my  above argument stand on wobbly legs…..I did an earlier post in which I said Aftghanistan is just too darn backwards to ever have the US declare ‘victory’……and that view should not be discarded….

First of all Yesterday I have a look discussion with a guy who regularly travels to India……he’s an American now but he was born and lived his youth in India…..And he’s been to Afghanistan….

His point to me on the subject was that , in agreement with my feelings, Afghanistan was a hard sell for anybody to ‘win’…he felt that the people of that country simply did not want anybody coming in to change their way of life, and their country…and that the political system of ‘forced democracy’ was flawed and corrupt. He was emphatic…the country was simply not capable of changing due to economic, political and religious constraints ……

In the case of Pakistan…my friend argued correctly that the bad guys in Afghanistan were put there by the Pakistani’s to work against India, their arch enemy…….He pointed out that it was inconceivable for the Pakistani’s to remain in a fight against these forces…why?…because in the end..when the US leaves the area, they, The Pakistani’s, will still have to deal with India….and that was their principal concern……not the United States problem with terrorism….

I also just go finished reading a strategic paper from the Democratic Strategist which is biased in one way, but which clearly lays out the argument my friend gave me yesterday……which is that any counterinsurgency campaign must deal with the three constraints I have laid out above…..

The piece, as does my friend..and my prior post,  repeats, loud and clear, the reason why no  has been able to hold, as their own, that region…..

The Aftgan’s don’t want anybody to, never have, and it seems, never will…..

But we now know this…..the United States and NATO are moving the troop levels above the 68,000 troops they have been saying are in country…..President Obama, the Commander-in -Chief is going to have to decide (take your time, Sir) WHAT HE WANTS?, WHAT CAN BE ACCOMPLISHED?……and the DEFINITION of a win, victory or just a get out point…….

This one is a problem  that may not have  solution….. A true Kobarishi Maru…….

October 13, 2009 Posted by | Military, Politics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The President takes care of 'his' guardians…….

President Obama, and his family, did the \’right thing\’ for his troops. last week…….They invited the men and women, with their  families, of the Secret Service’s White House details to a South Lawn BBQ dinner . The first family mingled with their guardians and their families in an informal setting that was sure to endear both to each other. As I posted in a review of  Ron Kessler’s book on the Service, \’The Presidents Secret Service \,’ Obama and his family are very highly reguarded by their personal protectors…

…and one can understand why…….

October 13, 2009 Posted by | Home, Politics | , , , , , | 2 Comments

The President takes care of ‘his’ guardians…….

President Obama, and his family, did the \’right thing\’ for his troops. last week…….They invited the men and women, with their  families, of the Secret Service’s White House details to a South Lawn BBQ dinner . The first family mingled with their guardians and their families in an informal setting that was sure to endear both to each other. As I posted in a review of  Ron Kessler’s book on the Service, \’The Presidents Secret Service \,’ Obama and his family are very highly reguarded by their personal protectors…

…and one can understand why…….

October 13, 2009 Posted by | Home, Politics | , , , , , | 2 Comments

The weekly Zeitgeist (info) from the Atlantic Magazine……..

For the week of October 13…….

Click here to find out more!

Pollster.com

Obama Average Job Approval 52.6

Pollster.com

Obama Favorability 53.6%

Pollster.com

Right Direction / Wrong Track 38.2% / 52.4%

Pollster.com

Congressional Approval 19.3%

Standard & Poor’s

S&P 500 1,077.67 (up 243 points since 1/20/09)

National Federation of Independent Businesses

Small Business Optimism Index 88.6 (up 2.4% from July)

ABC News/Washington Post

Consumer Comfort Index 45 points below zero

U.S. Department of Labor

Initial Weekly Jobless Claims 521,000 (down 64,000 since 1/20/09)

Bankrate.com

Interest on 30-Year Fixed Mortgage 4.97%

RealtyTrac

Newly foreclosed properties in August 358,471

U.S. Department of Labor

Unemployment 9.8%

U.S. Department of Labor

Consumer Price Index +0.4 in August

Mortgage Bankers Association

Quarterly Delinquency 9.24%

National Association of Realtors

Sales of Existing Homes, Annual Rate (Monthly) 5.10 million in August (down 2.7% from June)

Click here to find out more!
Click here to find out more!
Click here to find out more!

October 13, 2009 Posted by | Politics, Updates | , , | Leave a comment

More troops are going to Aftghanistan already…….

It seems that the President in ordering 21,000 combat troops for Afghanistan this spring, set in motion the movement of another 13,000+ support troops into the country…..

Whenever the United States military, be it Army, Air Force, Navy or Marines move into an area…they bring along support troops……whether it’s cooks, quartermasters, drivers,  mechanics, or weathermen they go wherever the combat troops go …..but as Iraq has shown, while they are stationed in the rear, out of the action zone…sometimes the non-action zone, doesn’t exist……support troops for all of the services, not just the Marines are being given more basic training, to defend themselves, since the incidents in the beginning of the Iraq war showed that, any soldier (male or Female) may find themselves in a firefight, anywhere in-country…..

The tallying of these extra troops was not announced, but the President,  as the Commander in Chief , was aware of the whole number, before signing off on the request……indeed, General McChrystal’s new request for troops will likely include more support troops also…….which brings up the time table of deploying McChrystal’s new increase of troops, which is straning the Army and Marines to uncomfortable levels……

There are a lot of combat and support soldiers moving into the Afghan campaign …and there will be more……..

From Iraq to Afghanistan…..the war continues moving…….

October 13, 2009 Posted by | Military, Politics | , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment