Jamesb101.com

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Merlin with more 2010 general number of Senate/House…… seat’s won/lost predictions…..and Governor’s….

Hello Dog!

Scott Elliott over at http://www.electionprojection.com right now predicts this:

Democrats to lose 5 Senate Seats

Democrats to lose 16 House Seats

Republicans will have a net gain of 2 Governorships

Senate Projections:

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/senate10.php

House Projections

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/house10.php

Governor Projections

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/governors10.php

Check it all out

Merlin

Update…..


He just changed Pennsylvania from “WEAK DEM Hold” into “WEAK GOP GAIN” so it’s now + 6 for the GOP in the Senate which means he’s giving the GOP:

North Dakota, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Colorado and Nevada.

In the House he predicts this:

From Dem to GOP:

Alabama – 2 (Bobby Bright)
Arkansas – 1 (Open)
Arkansas – 2 (Open)
Colorado – 4 (Betsy Markey)
Florida – 8 (Alan Grayson)
Idaho – 1 (Walter Minnick)
Kansas – 3 (Open)
Louisiana – 3 (Open)
Maryland – 1 (Frank Kratochvil)
Michigan – 7 (Mark Schauer)
Mississippi – 1 (Travis Childers)
New Mexico – 2 (Harry Teague)
Ohio – 1 (Steve Driehaus)
Ohio – 15 (Mary Jo Kilroy)
Pennsylvania – 7 (Open)
Tennessee – 6 (Open)
Tennessee – 8 (Open)
Virginia – 5 (Tom Perriello)
Washington State – 3 (Open)

From GOP to Dem:

Delaware At-Large (Open)
Illinois – 10 (Open)
Louisiana – 2 (Ahn Cao)

For Governors……

From Dem to GOP

Pennsylvania (Open)
Michigan (Open)
Wisconsin (Open)
Tennessee (Open)
Oklahomas (Open)
Kansas (Open)
Colorado (Open)
Wyoming (Open IF Freudenthal doesn’t challenge the States Term-Limits)

From GOP to Dem:

Hawaii (Open)
California (Open)
Minnesota (Open)
Vermont (Open)
Connecticut (Open)

Still in the Democratic Column are Ohio & Iowa which seems odd for me as both Incumbents trailing badly especially Culver in Iowa.

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January 27, 2010 - Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , ,

5 Comments »

  1. Update # 1:

    He just changed Pennsylvania from “WEAK DEM Hold” into “WEAK GOP GAIN” so it’s now + 6 for the GOP in the Senate which means he’s giving us:

    North Dakota, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Colorado and Nevada.

    In the House he predicts this:

    From Dem to GOP:

    Alabama – 2 (Bobby Bright)
    Arkansas – 1 (Open)
    Arkansas – 2 (Open)
    Colorado – 4 (Betsy Markey)
    Florida – 8 (Alan Grayson)
    Idaho – 1 (Walter Minnick)
    Kansas – 3 (Open)
    Louisiana – 3 (Open)
    Maryland – 1 (Frank Kratochvil)
    Michigan – 7 (Mark Schauer)
    Mississippi – 1 (Travis Childers)
    New Mexico – 2 (Harry Teague)
    Ohio – 1 (Steve Driehaus)
    Ohio – 15 (Mary Jo Kilroy)
    Pennsylvania – 7 (Open)
    Tennessee – 6 (Open)
    Tennessee – 8 (Open)
    Virginia – 5 (Tom Perriello)
    Washington State – 3 (Open)

    From GOP to Dem:

    Delaware At-Large (Open)
    Illinois – 10 (Open)
    Louisiana – 2 (Ahn Cao)

    Comment by Merlin | January 27, 2010 | Reply

  2. Update # 2:

    For the Governor Races he predicts it’ll come to that:

    From Dem to GOP

    Pennsylvania (Open)
    Michigan (Open)
    Wisconsin (Open)
    Tennessee (Open)
    Oklahomas (Open)
    Kansas (Open)
    Colorado (Open)
    Wyoming (Open IF Freudenthal doesn’t challenge the States Term-Limits)

    From GOP to Dem:

    Hawaii (Open)
    California (Open)
    Minnesota (Open)
    Vermont (Open)
    Connecticut (Open)

    Still in the Democratic Column are Ohio & Iowa which seems odd for me as both Incumbents trailing badly especially Culver in Iowa.

    Comment by Merlin | January 27, 2010 | Reply

    • ok…last update…I’ll catch you later…..keep it going…

      Comment by jamesb101 | January 27, 2010 | Reply

  3. James B, Merlin is WRONG:

    Governorships 2010
    Democratic to Repubilcan
    1. Michigan (open)-with US Rep. Peter Hoekstra (R-MI).
    2. Kansas (open)-with US Senator Sam Brownback (R-KS).
    3. Wyoming (open,if Freudenthal doesn’t challenge the state’s term limit law, but word is he is hiring a polling firm to see if the voters will accept him for 12 years).
    4. Oklahoma (open)-with US Rep. Mary Fallin (R-OK), but 4-term State AG Drew Edmondson (D) will give her a run for her money in the general election, and he’s from a political dynasty: his late father, E.A. Edmondson (D) served 20 years in the House and his late uncle, J. Howard Edmondson (D) was elected governor in 1958 and served as a United States Senator briefly (1963-1964).
    5. Tennessee (open)-whoever is the GOP nominee.
    6. Iowa-with former Governor Terry Branstad (R).

    Republican to Democratic:
    1. California (open)-with State AG Jerry Brown (D).
    2. Hawaii (open)-with US Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D-HI).
    3. Arizona-with State AG Terry Goddard (D).
    4. Rhode Island (open)-with State AG Patrick Lynch (D).
    5. Vermont (open)-with former Lieutenant Governor Doug Racine (D).
    6. Alabama (open)-with US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) taking the oath on January 17, 2011.
    7. Minnesota (open)-with Minneapolis Mayor RT Rybak (D).
    8. Connecticut (open)-whoever is the Democratic nominee.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | January 27, 2010 | Reply

  4. Merlin, I see the Democrats keeping Colorado with popular Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper (D) and Wisconsin with Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett (D).

    Pennsylvania, I rate that as TOSS-UP since Rendell leaves office on January 18, 2011.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | January 27, 2010 | Reply


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