commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Daniel……DailyKos…..Lincoln still up over Halter in the Arkansas Senate Democratic Primary………..

New DKOS/R2000 Poll has Lincoln up 45-33 over Halter.


From the DailyKos piece…..

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 4/12-14. Likely voters. MoE 4% (3/22-24 results)

Democratic primary MoE 5%

Blanche Lincoln (D) 45 (44)

Bill Halter (D) 33 (31)
Other 6 (0)
Undecided 16 (25)

Favorable/Unfavorable/No opinion among Democrats

Lincoln 65/31/4 (62/34/6)
Halter 69/11/23 (68/10/27)

That +1 gain for Halter in the horserace is well within the poll’s margin of error, and presents nothing more than float. The favorabilities are actually quite the story — the Lincoln campaign has been relentlessly negative on Halter, yet none of that mud (all of it ridiculous and false) has tainted Halter. He’s shrugged off all attacks with nary a problem.

On the other side, Lincoln has faced a barrage of negative ads from Halter allies in labor, yet those have done little to damage Lincoln. In fact, she’s up a net +6 in her favorabilities. Apparently, Arkansas Democrats aren’t paying too much attention to the negativity.

On the other hand, we’ve seen “other” shoot up from nothing two weeks ago, to six percent this week. That “other” is D.C. Morrison, who scored 10 percent in a poll for Arkansas business publication Talk Business. Morrison is a no-name conservadem spending no money in the race. But in a race turning nasty, he’s starting to pick up support by virtue of not being the other two candidates.


Listen Folks…..This seat is probably lost to the Democrats……..

I just don’t see Halter getting a win here…..He’s probably going to inch up on Lincoln…..and the primary could actually be close…..but I see this seat just about gone with either of the two….

April 15, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , ,


  1. James B, Halter took a risk in giving up the Lieutenant Governor’s office because of the state’s STRICT lifetime term limits law which limits all statewide officials in Arkansas to 2 consecutive terms.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 16, 2010 | Reply

  2. Halter did the absolute right thing. The Lieutenant Governor Spot is useless in Arkansas and has no Power. EVEN if Halter loses this he still can run for Governor in 2014.

    He also did us a favor by drailing Lincoln’s Money Advantage. That’s one of the Reasons I wanted him challenging Lincoln.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 16, 2010 | Reply

    • We know….

      Comment by jamesb101 | April 16, 2010 | Reply

  3. Daniel G., in some Southern states, the Lieutenant Governor is one of the most POWERFUL statewide offices ever see in my homestate of Texas.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 16, 2010 | Reply

  4. You can’t get ahead w/o taking some risk…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 16, 2010 | Reply

    • Rumors are Texas Lieutenant Governor David Dewhurst (R) will go ahead with a 2012 campaign for the United States Senate when KBH retires on the GOP side, but don’t count out Texas State Attorney General Greg Abbott (R) as another potential Senate candidate, as both has raised millions and lots of it in their current respective reelection campaigns this year.

      Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 16, 2010 | Reply

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