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Daniel……The Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election will be a Referendum on the passed Health Care Reform Plan

Hello Dog Folks!

It’s heating up.

Just this week after Florida State Senator Ted Deutch (D-FL) won the Special Election in FL-19 “The Dog” claimed as well as the President, that Deutch’s Victory was a Referendum on the passed Health Care Reform Plan.

I SHARPLY DISAGREED over it because:

1. Republican Ed Lynch had almost NO MONEY

and

2. You would expect Democrats electing a Democrat in a STAUNCHLY PVI D + 15 District.

So, they did a nice Spin Try on this. They both are fools.

Yesterday we got the exceptional good News that Republican Charles Djou (R-HI) leads in the Hawaii Special Election.

Today I just have to laugh at Democrat Mark S. Critz (D-PA) who is running in PA-12 to fill the partial Term of the late John Murtha (D-PA). This fool has to cut an TV-Ad distancing himself from the unpoplar Plan.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0410/35943.html

Mark my words: The PA-12 will be a Referendum on the Plan and if WE win this Election we’re in very good shape for November.

On the heels of that Ad PPP’s Tom Jensen who will have a Poll out next week for this District posts the following on his Twitter:

http://twitter.com/ppppolls/status/12351715333 and I quote: “Obama massively unpopular in the District, Race surprisingly close given that.

So, I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Republican Tim Burns (R-PA) is leading here. This is a PVI R + 1 District BUT given that PA Governor Ed Rendell (D-PA) has put the Date of this Vote on the exact same Day of the Pennsylvania Primaries we’ve still a very uphill Battle here.

Still, the initial Observation Jensen sees looks good for us.

Daniel G.

Yo Daniel!….my claim was the election was NOT connected to Healthcare….. which I think has passed its high point…The GOP wants to keep the fight over the Healthcare Bill alive …It won’t work.….

Here’s the quote from the Fl-19th Special post from the Dog……

“In EVERY Election after now …Healthcare will pay a bit part…….”

Also my mention of Lynch’s lack of money in the heavy democratic leaning district…….

To be fair…Lynch had almost no money in this heavy Democratic Congressional District…….”

The GOP is trying to ride that tired horse at their own risk……

That Dog isn’t going to hunt……

Nuff Said……..

(He, he, he…this reminds me of my early days at P1!……Love it! )

(here’s the link to the orignal Deuch post……

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates | , , | 5 Comments

Electionprojection.com…….

Electionprojection.com

So how does the Site work?

1. Click on the Governors Races Link.

2. Then click on the Illinois State Page for example.

3. On that Page you’ll see that Scott is tracking the Governor, Senate as well as the Race in IL-10 and IL-14.

As you can see Brady is currently projected by 8,5 % over Quinn; Kirk is projected by 4,0 % over Giannoulias, Dold is projected by 0,5 (very close indeed) over Seals and Foster is projected 3,5 % over Hultgren.

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/statepages/il10.php

Tacking for the Races will be initiated after the Primaries so keep an Eye on Indiana, North Carolina and Ohio after May 4th.

So, how does Scott to his Projections:

It’s a Formula and it can be found here:

http://www.electionprojection.com/2008elections/formulas.shtml

I know this is for 2008 but it’ll be updated shortly.

Scott is using Polls and most importantly Pundits for his Projections.

A Pundit for example is weighted 100 % while a State Poll is only weighted 50 % so IF for example Cook shifts Arkansas into Leans Republican that’s more weighted than the latest State Polls.

I know it’s sometimes confusing but that’s how it is.

Daniel G.

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | 3 Comments

Apple and Political Satire software Application's ……..

The Dog is a Mac user true and true….Have been over 15 years…..

So sometimes to it’s good to push the ‘brand’ and sometimes it good to put ‘other’ views out there….

This from the Washington Post.. on the Apple tendency to be bit close minded…..Comic Riffs

The saga of the Rejected Political-Cartoon App rears its head again. Only this time, the heat of a Pulitzer has helped stoke the fires of controversy.

On Monday, Comic Riffs spoke with political animator Mark Fiore…… about his iPhone app that he says Apple rejected back in December. That rejection might have been end-of-story. Except that coverage of his Pulitzer win cast a spotlight on the app rejection. And in a case of conspicuous timing, Apple suddenly has urged Fiore to resubmit his app, the cartoonist says.

Haven’t we been down this road before? And more important: Hasn’t Apple yet decided how to resolve the larger issue of political satire apps instead of suffering PR black-eyes with each skirmish?

Both questions, of course, are rhetorical.

As MAD artist Tom Richmond told Comic Riffs last November, his iPhone app “Bobblehead Rep” — a literal database of congressional representatives developed by entrepreneur/filmmaker Ray Griggs — was rejected by Apple. The reason? According to the official rejection letter, Richmond said, his app was turned down because “it ridicules public figures” and “is in violation of Section 3.3.14 from the iPhone Developer Program License Agreement.”

On Monday, Fiore and I even discussed Richmond’s initially rejected app — as well as the initially rejected app of political-cartoon syndicator Daryl Cagle — after Fiore mentioned that he’d had an iPhone app (titled “NewsToons”) rejected.

The reason for the rejection? According to Fiore, citing Apple’s language: It “ridicules public figures.” (Yep. Deja-vu all over again.)

More……..

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Computers, Counterpoints, Entertainment, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates, Women | , , , | Leave a comment

Apple and Political Satire software Application’s ……..

The Dog is a Mac user true and true….Have been over 15 years…..

So sometimes to it’s good to push the ‘brand’ and sometimes it good to put ‘other’ views out there….

This from the Washington Post.. on the Apple tendency to be bit close minded…..Comic Riffs

The saga of the Rejected Political-Cartoon App rears its head again. Only this time, the heat of a Pulitzer has helped stoke the fires of controversy.

On Monday, Comic Riffs spoke with political animator Mark Fiore…… about his iPhone app that he says Apple rejected back in December. That rejection might have been end-of-story. Except that coverage of his Pulitzer win cast a spotlight on the app rejection. And in a case of conspicuous timing, Apple suddenly has urged Fiore to resubmit his app, the cartoonist says.

Haven’t we been down this road before? And more important: Hasn’t Apple yet decided how to resolve the larger issue of political satire apps instead of suffering PR black-eyes with each skirmish?

Both questions, of course, are rhetorical.

As MAD artist Tom Richmond told Comic Riffs last November, his iPhone app “Bobblehead Rep” — a literal database of congressional representatives developed by entrepreneur/filmmaker Ray Griggs — was rejected by Apple. The reason? According to the official rejection letter, Richmond said, his app was turned down because “it ridicules public figures” and “is in violation of Section 3.3.14 from the iPhone Developer Program License Agreement.”

On Monday, Fiore and I even discussed Richmond’s initially rejected app — as well as the initially rejected app of political-cartoon syndicator Daryl Cagle — after Fiore mentioned that he’d had an iPhone app (titled “NewsToons”) rejected.

The reason for the rejection? According to Fiore, citing Apple’s language: It “ridicules public figures.” (Yep. Deja-vu all over again.)

More……..

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Computers, Counterpoints, Entertainment, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates, Women | , , , | Leave a comment

Daniel…..Revisiting November Election Projection……

Hello Dog Folks and Good Morning!

Back in January I vistited my friend Scott Elliott over at “Election Projection”.

His Site is really MARVELLOUS and will be updated throughout the year until November.

The Projections are based on Polling BUT with an Election Formula that you can find on his Website.

It’s similar to “Daniel G’s Projections” although I’m doing it slightly diffencent as I have a little more tools than him.

Still his Site is great and I’ve used it as first place to start my own Projections.

So, based on his Projections we’re ( GOP ) going to win the following Seats:

THE SENATE:

Arkansas (Lincoln)

Colorado (Bennet)

Delaware (Open)

Illinois (Open)

Indiana (Open)

Nevada (Reid)

North Dakota (Open)

Pennsylvania (Specter)

Projected Tally as of today: Democrats 49 Seats, Republicans 49, Independents 2 Seats

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/senate10.php

THE HOUSE

Seats that are projected to go from Democrat to Republican:

Arkansas – 2 (Open)

Colorado – 4 (Markey)

Idaho – 1 (Minnick)

Indiana – 1 (Open)

Indiana – 9 (Hill)

Kansas – 3 (Open)

Louisiana – 3 (Open)

Maryland – 1 (Kratochvil)

Michigan – 1 (Open)

Michigan – 7 (Schauer)

Mississippi – 1 (Childers)

Nevada – 3 (Titus)

New Hampshire – 1 (Shea-Porter)

New Hampshire – 2 (Open)

New Mexico – 2 (Teague)

New York – 29 (Open, possible Special Election)

Ohio – 1 (Driehaus)

Ohio – 15 (Kilroy)

Pennsylvania – 7 (Open)

Tennessee – 6 (Open)

Tennessee – 8 (Open)

Virginia – 5 (Open)

Washington – 3 (Open)

Seats that are projected to go from Republican to Democrat:

Delaware At-Large (Open)

Louisiana – 2 (Cao)

Projected Tally as of today: Democrats 236 Seats, Repblicans 199 Seats

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/house10.php

THE GOVERNORSHIPS:

Seats projected to go from Democrat to Republican:

Illinois (Quinn)

Iowa (Culver)

Kansas (Open)

Michigan (Open)

Oklahoma (Open)

Pennsylvania (Open)

Tennessee (Open)

Wisconsin (Open)

Wyoming (Open)

Seats Projected to go from Republican to Democrat:

California (Open)

Connecticut (Open)

Hawaii (Open)

Minnesota (Open)

Vermont (Open)

Seats Projected to go from Democrat to Independent:

Rhode Island (Open)

Projected Tally as of today: Democrats 21 Seats, Republicans 28 Seats, Independents 1 Seat

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/governors10.php

Please visit his Site often for Updates.

Daniel G.


April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , | 23 Comments

Tiger and Elin could be done……

Tiger Woods Divorce

The Dog caught the below piece and is actually sad…but happy…….while he has been all over the place with a lot of…lot of….women…it is obvious that he never really had a marriage…..

Tiger Woods and Elin Nordegren are finalizing a divorce, according toEntertainment Tonight‘s Kevin Frazier. The former SportsCenter anchor says in a web video that “the marriage is indeed over.”

A source tells Frazier that one key sign is the fact that Nordegren (PHOTOS) was on a flight during Woods’ final round at the Masters. That she not only avoided the tournament, but went out of her way to be in the air during its closing stages, speaks volumes about the current state of their relationship, according to Frazier’s source……

More……..

Things might have been ok for show…..

But this was man with problems that his wife never knew…..and was incapable of handling…..

Tiger Woods should have never had this marriage ……

He is still recovering from his march through his youth to become a Big time Pro Golfer…..

No woman could be expected to deal with the volume of women and media attention Woods escapades encompassed……

Woods will pay her ……and she will leave with their kids….

And he’ll go on playing……

But at some point he’ll have to find out who he is …..

And reconcile with his demons…….

And don’t be surprised if Rachel Uchitel show’s back up…..

I just have this feeling…….

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Entertainment, Family, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Sports, Updates, Women | , , | Leave a comment

The Marines sign up a water polo team….In Aftganistan…..

Only the Marines….

Marine reservist Jeremy Piasecki…thought it might be a good idea to have a water polo team for the country…..

Piasecki of course has a background in the sport back home in California…….

So he’s formed a non- profit corporation and is recruiting players…and with the help of his wife….and us media types pushing the story….hopes to get the team up and running……

Tryouts


The military brass and the politicians in Kabul, the capital, and Washington have ideas about what Afghans need to buck up their spirits during the struggle with the Taliban. Piasecki has his own view.

“They need heroes,” he said while on security patrol in Marja, guarding a couple of Marine generals after the recent offensive that wrested control of the area from the Taliban.

For two years Piasecki has pursued his quixotic dream. He knows that his zeal for the notion of nation-building through athleticism seems strange to many. Especially nation-building through water polo.

“They just don’t understand,” he said.

In 2008, while working on a civilian contract job with the Afghan army, he held tryouts after finding an abandoned swimming pool at a base east of Kabul. The pool was dry and clogged with weeds. Piasecki had it cleaned and filled with water.

True, during the tryouts, he had to jump into the pool to keep some of his candidates from going under. And finding Speedo-style swimsuits, the traditional uniform of water polo players, was not easy in the bazaars of Kabul.

But now he has lined up several dozen players, mostly Afghan soldiers. The rub is finding the money to bring the team to the U.S. for training and people-to-people diplomacy.

Popular in Australia, Canada and some European countries, water polo is also big in the United States, particularly in Southern California, and Piasecki wants to recruit some of the many coaches he knows. And he’s eager for the Afghans to meet Americans.

Scott McCook remembers the early-morning call he got from Piasecki, who had coached his daughter in Fallbrook, Calif. Piasecki was asking for help raising money.

“It was kind of surreal,” McCook said. “I was groggy and it took me a few minutes to catch on. Finally, I asked him, ‘Water polo in Afghanistan? Are you kidding?’ ”

More……..


April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Counterpoints, Entertainment, Government, Health, Media, Men, Military, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Sports, Travel, Updates | , , , , | Leave a comment

Michele Obama's Mexico Trip…….

The President’s wife has just successfully finished a major  Diplomatic trip to Haiti and Mexico…..

To her credit she is almost as popular as her husband…and her trip seems to have a major success…..

Not having to deal with politics primarily ( but it is always there )….Her trip affords her the ability to connect with the peoples of any country to travels to……

Which is a huge plus for the United States…….

Mexico a country that is portrayed as the home of illegals, and drug dealers…..got a welcome light moment from the media with the trip……..

Thank you for allowing me to use your stories,” First Lady Michelle Obama told the dozen student leaders seated around her at a big rectangular table. It was Thursday morning at a beautiful event site, a 16th-century former Spanish hacienda, a reminder of this nation’s colonial era.


Each of the students had a personal, passionate story to tell Mrs. Obama. The six men and six women, from different parts of the country, were picked by the U.S. Embassy in Mexico to come to the capital for a roundtable discussion. A State Department translator sat next to Mrs. Obama whispering to her in English as another translator across the room (at a table walled off by glass) turned Mrs. Obama’s words to Spanish, transmitting them to ear pieces everyone wore.


Olivetti Paredes Sacarias, who founded a day-care center and runs workshops on the prevention of child and sexual exploitation, demonstrated the power of modern media, telling Mrs. Obama, “I have seen you dance through the Internet, on TV, you and your husband. By the way, let me say you make a beautiful couple. I still have images in my head of the day you danced . . . the day the president was inaugurated.”
The personal narrative is a central part of the Obama ethos. Encouraging people to tell their stories is a tool that a young community organizer, Barack Obama, used on the South Side of Chicago. President Obama introduced himself to much of the world one summer night in Boston in 2004, when he told his own.
“I stand here knowing that my story is part of the larger American story, that I owe a debt to all of those who came before me, and that, in no other country on earth, is my story even possible,” Obama said in his famous keynote address to the Democratic National Convention.
Asking people to share their stories was a centerpiece of the Obama presidential campaign field outreach effort. In the successful drive to pass a health care reform bill, having people tell personal tales of being short-changed by their insurance company was part of the grassroots campaign run by Democrats and their allies.
So now Mrs. Obama, too, is collecting stories as she moves ahead with her agenda. The event at the hacienda never became a real discussion; it took time just for each of the 12 to explain their projects. Mrs. Obama lavished them with praise.

More……..

Note……The ‘last minute’ trip to Haiti …..was actually in the works for months…….

President’s and their wives very seldom travel anyplace outside the United States on ‘the spur of the moment’ anymore…..

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Aircraft, Blogs, Education, Entertainment, Family, Government, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Travel, Updates, Women | , , | Leave a comment

Michele Obama’s Mexico Trip…….

The President’s wife has just successfully finished a major  Diplomatic trip to Haiti and Mexico…..

To her credit she is almost as popular as her husband…and her trip seems to have a major success…..

Not having to deal with politics primarily ( but it is always there )….Her trip affords her the ability to connect with the peoples of any country to travels to……

Which is a huge plus for the United States…….

Mexico a country that is portrayed as the home of illegals, and drug dealers…..got a welcome light moment from the media with the trip……..

Thank you for allowing me to use your stories,” First Lady Michelle Obama told the dozen student leaders seated around her at a big rectangular table. It was Thursday morning at a beautiful event site, a 16th-century former Spanish hacienda, a reminder of this nation’s colonial era.


Each of the students had a personal, passionate story to tell Mrs. Obama. The six men and six women, from different parts of the country, were picked by the U.S. Embassy in Mexico to come to the capital for a roundtable discussion. A State Department translator sat next to Mrs. Obama whispering to her in English as another translator across the room (at a table walled off by glass) turned Mrs. Obama’s words to Spanish, transmitting them to ear pieces everyone wore.


Olivetti Paredes Sacarias, who founded a day-care center and runs workshops on the prevention of child and sexual exploitation, demonstrated the power of modern media, telling Mrs. Obama, “I have seen you dance through the Internet, on TV, you and your husband. By the way, let me say you make a beautiful couple. I still have images in my head of the day you danced . . . the day the president was inaugurated.”
The personal narrative is a central part of the Obama ethos. Encouraging people to tell their stories is a tool that a young community organizer, Barack Obama, used on the South Side of Chicago. President Obama introduced himself to much of the world one summer night in Boston in 2004, when he told his own.
“I stand here knowing that my story is part of the larger American story, that I owe a debt to all of those who came before me, and that, in no other country on earth, is my story even possible,” Obama said in his famous keynote address to the Democratic National Convention.
Asking people to share their stories was a centerpiece of the Obama presidential campaign field outreach effort. In the successful drive to pass a health care reform bill, having people tell personal tales of being short-changed by their insurance company was part of the grassroots campaign run by Democrats and their allies.
So now Mrs. Obama, too, is collecting stories as she moves ahead with her agenda. The event at the hacienda never became a real discussion; it took time just for each of the 12 to explain their projects. Mrs. Obama lavished them with praise.

More……..

Note……The ‘last minute’ trip to Haiti …..was actually in the works for months…….

President’s and their wives very seldom travel anyplace outside the United States on ‘the spur of the moment’ anymore…..

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Aircraft, Blogs, Education, Entertainment, Family, Government, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Travel, Updates, Women | , , | Leave a comment

Jon Stewart curse's out FOX…….

Sometimes the guy just loses it…….

Perhaps what frustrated him the most last night was that, as displayed in the beginning of the segment, Stewart actually agreed with Fox’s pundits, who noted the dangers of generalizing groups of people based on the actions of a few (specifically the more extreme members of the Tea Party). Totally legit argument. But of course, this was followed by a compilation of examples in which Fox News pundits and personalities blatantly DID THE EXACT SAME THING.

(The “go f–k yourselves” segment of the clip below begins at 5:10, following a very funny Wyatt Cenac bit.)

More……..

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon – Thurs 11p / 10c
Tea America
www.thedailyshow.com
Daily Show Full Episodes Political Humor Tea Party

April 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , , | 3 Comments