Jamesb101.com

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Daniel……Florida Senate; BREAKING NEWS: Republican Leadership writing of Crist; Believe he'll run as Independent….

Hello Dog Folks and Good Morning!

I know, I know the Polling News is interesting BUT before we come to that we’ve a potentially MAJOR DEVELOPING STORY regarding the Republican Senate Primary in Florida.

Sources telling Hotline On Call that the “Republican Leadership”  looks like they have OFFICIALLY written of Florida Governor Charlie Crist (R-FL).

Top Officials in Washington D. C. now believe it’s VIRTUALLY a CERTAIN THING that Crist will bolt Republicans and run as Independent.

A Decision by Governor Crist looks IMMINENT

Here is the Article:
Top GOP officials in DC now believe it is a virtual certainty that FL Gov. Charlie Crist (R) will bolt the GOP and run instead as an independent, sources tell Hotline OnCall.

Over the weekend, Crist pulled TV advertisements that had been running in key markets, slamming ex-FL House Speaker Marco Rubio (R). Those ads, on which Crist spent close to $1.5M so far, were aimed at moving poll numbers that showed Crist losing badly.

In taking the ads down, top GOP officials have surmised both that Crist has made his decision to run as an independent, and that the attacks weren’t having an impact on the race.

Privately, GOP officials have even tried to broach the idea that Crist drop out of the race. NRSC chair John Cornyn called Crist on Friday, intending to make it clear that Crist should drop out if he doesn’t believe he can win a party primary. Crist did not answer the phone, a source close to Cornyn said, and as of today Cornyn’s call hasn’t been returned.

Party leaders spent the weekend sending more overt warnings. Cornyn told Politico last week Crist would be ending his GOP career by running as an independent, while Senate Min. Leader Mitch McConnell told CNN Crist would lose party backing if he leaves.

Instead of from party leaders, insiders believe Crist is getting advice from Sen. George LeMieux (R), the man Crist hopes to replace. LeMieux ran Crist’s ’06 GOV race and has served as his top aide in the past.

LeMieux has denied he knows anything about a potential party switch. During a conference call with reporters last week, LeMieux told Hotline OnCall he expected Crist to run as a GOPer, comments he echoed this morning.

Crist has yet to ask his staff whether they would stay on if he runs as an independent, but several top advisors have already told party sources they would sever ties. GOP ad expert Stuart Stevens, of The Stevens and Schriefer Group, would leave the campaign, and party officials say they believe most senior staff would exit too.

Crist’s pollster, Glen Bolger, is also expected to leave, though he would not comment for this story. Bolger already lost one client this year — Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) — after a party switch.

As GOP leaders have replaced idle gossip that Crist may switch parties with near certainty that a public announcement is imminent, the party has sought to illustrate the severity of the consequences.

The once-popular FL gov. is walking a tightrope as he considers whether to run on his own, whether to drop out or whether to plod along in his bid against Rubio. If he runs as an independent, angry donors could ask for their money back, and Crist might not be able to find the financial resources to replace it.

And with no party apparatus to rely on, Crist’s organizational options would be seriously limited. A successful FL campaign relies on an early voting strategy, and without the FL GOP executing that strategy on his behalf, Crist would face a serious organizational deficit.
The most CLEAR INDICATION Hotline mentions ARE Crist’s TV-Ads worth 1,5 Mio $ aimed at Rubio to move Poll Numbers.

Here are my thoughts:

1. I’m not sold just yet on an Indie Bid by Crist.

2. By pulling his TV-Ads it could also mean that he could drop out of the Race altogether.

Daniel G.

Daniel…on this….. I agree with ya…..lets wait for a few days…….

April 19, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates | , , ,

22 Comments »

  1. Could be some VERY INTERESTING Days ahead indeed.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  2. That’s what politics fun!

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  3. Question: Why doesn’t Crist return Cornyn’s Phone Calls? He..he..

    There is something going on down there MATE.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  4. Crist really has to decide if he’s going to stay within the party….

    That’s the choice….

    be back in few minutes….

    more posts coming…

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  5. BREAKING

    Erik Erikson over at “Red State” reporting Crist will DROP OUT of Florida GOP Senate Primary.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  6. However he notes:

    Crist dropping out would have an AWFUL LOT OF SENSE because he pulled his TV-Ads.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

    • my thoughts also….

      Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  7. Daniel G., when do we expect Crist to officially announce his candidacy as an Independent ?

    Rubio must be happy about this, but Meek is going to regret leaving the House too early.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 19, 2010 | Reply

    • Honestly CD I don’t think Crist will run as Indie. Assuming Erikson is right Crist will drop out of the Senate Race altogether WHICH IN FACT makes a lot of sense to me otherwise he wouldn’t have pulled his TV Ads in the Orlando, St. Petersburg and Tampa Media Markets.

      Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  8. The question is will Crist seek re-election to a 2nd term as governor, even though if he did, he’ll face McCollum in the GOP primary, which will also cause Florida State CFO Alex Sink (D) to drop out of the governor’s race and seek reelection considering the deadline in Florida is getting closer.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  9. as Governor he’s win hands down….

    and out of the race Meek gains ground…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  10. CD,

    I’m getting some interesting Reports:

    Crist is pretty mad at Cornyn because Cornyn pushed Crist towards announcing in early May last year. Crist wanted to run for Re-Election and Cornyn as well as McCain wanted him to run for Senate.

    I WAS RIGHT: There was A LOT OF Arm-Twisting by Cornyn last year. Crist heart was at Governor and the NRSC pushed him towards a Senate Run.

    NOW, Curiously Cornyn wants Crist out of the GOP Senate Primary. How bad that is? AND Crist wants now PAYBACK.

    We’ve to watch closely what he says if he announces anything.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

    • I’m betting $$$ that Crist either drops out of the Senate race OR seeks re-election as Governor, but he’ll have a difficult time getting past McCollum in the GOP primary if he does seek a 2nd term in Tallahassee.

      Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  11. This is second guy that we know Cornyn pissed off……Bunning being the first……

    They need to send Cornyn packing after November….

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

    • Cornyn is not up for reelection until 2014 (when Perry will be on the ballot again for governor IF he wins this fall).

      Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  12. I meant as recruiter for the party…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  13. oh, i think Crist runs for Governor also if he gives up the Senate run…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  14. As I said james CRISTS HEART WAS AT GOVERNOR and he would have been a TREMENDOUS good fit for the State. Poor Cornyn on that.

    Remember at that time in 2009 just before Crist announce Republicans were dealing with 4 Retirements (Gregg, Voinovich, Martinez, Bond) in Swing States as well as the Specter Party Swtich so Cornyn BADLY WANTED a Top-Notch Candidate in that Florida Race.

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  15. yep……..

    Comment by jamesb101 | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  16. James B, Crist running for reelection as governor makes sense, because it would give him a leg-up as an executive for the GOP Presidential nomination in 2012 unlike the soon-to-be former governors in Haley Barbour (MS leaves office on Jan. 10, 2012) and Tim Pawlenty (Minn-leaves office on
    Jan. 3, 2011).

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | April 19, 2010 | Reply

    • Are you CRAZY? Crist will NEVER EVER run for President.

      Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply

  17. BREAKING

    Crist opens Door to Independent Senate Bid Politico reports:

    MR. INDEPENDENT? Florida Gov. Charlie Crist told a Tampa television station Monday that he’s thinking about running for U.S. Senate as an independent.

    In an exclusive interview with ABC affiliate WFTS, Crist signaled that he would take his time to weigh his options.

    “The law gives you until April 30 to make such a declaration and I’m going to take my time and be as thoughtful as I need to be,” Crist said. “I’m getting a lot of advice in that direction and I’m a listener so I’m certainly listening to it.”

    The language is the strongest demonstration to date that Crist is pondering leaving the Republican Party.

    Asked why he cancelled television ads this week that were set to run in Tampa and Orlando, Crist replied, “We’re going to change it up a little bit. I wanted to highlight what we have done in our administration.”

    Crist told WFTS that new ads would begin airing shortly, perhaps as soon as this evening.

    In a memo to top Republicans Monday, National Republican Senatorial Committee Executive Director Rob Jesmer wrote that “there is zero chance” Crist will continue running in the Republican primary. –David Catanese

    Comment by Daniel G. | April 19, 2010 | Reply


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