Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Kendrick Meek?…..

Ok…I ‘ve been pushing Meek in the Florida Senate race for sometime…

I always thought Rubio running right made things reachable for Meek…..

And I have to listen to Daniel about Rubio…. all the time…

With Crist going Indie….. what can I expect?

Well……

Mark Blumenthal over @ Pollester.Com has me smiling ……a little Bit…….

Why doesn’t Kendrick Meek get more respect?

For the last few months, when talk turns to Florida, political pundits have focused on the meteoric rise of Marco Rubio over Charlie Crist in the state’s Republican primary for Senate. And today, with a new poll from Quinnipiac University showing Rubio opening up “an elephant sized 56-33 lead” over Crist, the commentariat seems more taken with the possibility of Crist running as an independent. The same survey shows Crist with a not-quite-statistically-significant 32% to 30% lead over Rubio in a three-way race with Meek, trailing at 24%.

But largely lost in this discussion are two important findings: First, in the most likely match-up for the fall, Quinnipiac shows Rubio leading Kendrick Meek by just six percentage points (42% to 38%). That’s roughly the same margin as on the current trend estimate on our chart (43.7% to 38.5%). By that measure, Meek currently runs closer to his likely Republican opponent than do incumbent Democratic Senators Reid (NV), Lincoln (AR), and Specter (PA).

2010-04-15-Meek-vs-Rubio.png

Second, only about a quarter (26%) of the Florida voters surveyed by Quinnipiac currently know Meek well enough to rate him — 18% rate him favorably, 8% unfavorably. Rubio is better known (58% can rate him), but Meek has far more room to grow, and Rubio’s negatives are growing (36% favorable, 22% unfavorable). With four more months of a bruising primary battle still to come, that trend is likely to continue.

Consider some other factors that have gone largely unrecognized: Meek has so far raised a not-insignificant amount of money ($4.6 million as of December), and his campaign pulled off a bit of anhistoric first by qualifying for the ballot by collecting over 140,000 petitions rather than paying a $10,000 fee,

And then there is this potential wild card: Meek can make far bigger history by being the first African American elected Senator in Florida (and in the South since Reconstruction)…….

More……..

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April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , | 4 Comments

SEC asks Justice to probe for criminality in Goldman-Sachs……

I said a few days ago to not expect a criminal case against Goldman-Sachs……

And I still believe it….

While the Dog could certainly be wrong….

Criminal Cases against these Mega companies very seldom yield big results….

And with an election coming in November and two years from now…..

You don’t want to bite the hand that feeds you…..

Stay tuned…….

Prosecutors haven’t determined whether they will bring charges in the case, say the people familiar with the matter. Many criminal investigations are launched that never result in any charges.

The criminal probe raises the stakes for Goldman, Wall Street’s most powerful firm. The investigation is centered on different evidence than the SEC’s civil case, the people say. It couldn’t be determined which Goldman deals are being scrutinized in the criminal investigation.

A spokesperson for the Manhattan U.S. Attorney’s office declined to comment. Goldman declined to comment.

Goldman shares fell 2.6% in after-hours trading to $156.08 after The Wall Street Journal reported the news of the investigation. At the 4 p.m. market closing, Goldman shares were up 2.1%.

Some background……

The SEC and Justice Department often coordinate their actions on investigations. The probe underscores heightened efforts by the Manhattan U.S. Attorney’s office in prosecuting white-collar and Wall Street crime. It is in the midst of pursuing the largest insider-trading case in a generation, charging 21 individuals and negotiating 11 guilty pleas in that matter.

But the Goldman probe presents a significant challenge for the government. Prosecutors in the Brooklyn office of the U.S. Attorney last year lost a high-profile fraud case against two former Bear Stearns Cos. executives, in the first major criminal case linked to the financial meltdown.

Prosecutors had accused the Bear Stearns employees of lying to investors in 2007 about the health of two funds that eventually collapsed. The case centered on what the government viewed as incriminating emails indicating the traders knew the mortgage market would fall but didn’t disclose that view to investors.

To bring any criminal charges in the Goldman matter, prosecutors would need to believe they had gathered evidence that showed that the firm or its employees knowingly committed fraud in their mortgage business. Proving such intent to break the law typically is the toughest hurdle for prosecutors to clear.

Another stumbling block: Such financial cases can be highly complex.

More……..

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Law, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, The Economy, Updates | , , | Leave a comment

The House rolls out a Puerto Rico referendum…….

AP Photo

[ From left, Puerto Rico Senate President Thomas Rivera Chatz, Gov. Luis Fortuno and Resident Commissioner Pedro Pierlusi, take part in a news conference on Capitol Hill where they spoke in support of the Puerto Rico Democracy Act ]

The House version of the proposed Puerto Rico Democracy Act , which must be agreed to by the Senate would let Puerto Rican’s take the first step of a two step process to formally inform the United States Government if they……

Want to join the Union, remain as a Commonwealth……or other?

If the vote is to formerly join the Union..they would then vote to have…..

1) Statehood

2) Remain a Commonwealth

3)  Sovereignty with the United States

The statehood option would require Congressional approval……

If it where to become a state it would get 6 House seats based on it’s population……….

It currently has  Governor and One Non-Voting seat in the House of Representatives…..

Puerto Rican’s are considered natural-born citizens (The Sate Department has some reservations ) by US law……

Pedro Pierluisi, Puerto Rico’s nonvoting delegate to the House, said that while the island has had votes on similar issues in the past, Congress has never authorized a process where Puerto Ricans state whether they should remain a U.S. territory or seek a nonterritorial status.

“The American way is to allow people to vote, to express themselves and to tell their elected officials how they feel about their political arrangements,” said Puerto Rico Gov. Luis Fortuno at a news conference with Pierluisi. “For 112 years, we haven’t had the chance … to fully participate in one way or another in the decisions that affect our daily lives.”

Puerto Rico became a U.S. territory at the end of the Spanish-American War. Those born on the island were granted U.S. citizenship in 1917 and Puerto Rico gained commonwealth status in 1952.

Today, Puerto Ricans serve in the military but can’t vote in presidential elections. They do not pay federal income tax on income earned on the island.

In the last referendum, “none of the above” garnered 50 percent of the vote, topping the other options, including statehood at 46.5 percent and independence at 2.5 percent.

More……..

The bill is H.R. 2499

On the Net:

Congress: http://thomas.loc.gov

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Law, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Taxes, Travel, Updates, Women | , , , | 3 Comments

Results from the third UK debate……

Gordon Brown, centre, is being challenged by David Cameron, left, and Nick Clegg.

[ Cameron, Brown and Clegg ]

Surprise……David Cameron of the Conservertive party took this one!….

Not Nick Clegg of the Liberal Party..

Gordon Brown came in last……..

British Prime Minister Gordon Brown fought to hold on to his job Thursday in a debate against the two men who hope to replace him, David Cameron of the Conservative Party and Nick Clegg of the Liberal Democrats.

But he lost the debate decisively, according to two snap polls.

Cameron came first in both polls, with Clegg second and Brown third.

But the debate performances do not seem to have changed voters’ minds about whom to back, according to one poll.

Just over a third of voters say they favor the Conservatives, and the same number back the Liberal Democrats, according to the poll by ComRes for ITV News. Just under one-quarter prefer Labor, the poll suggests.

Those numbers are essentially unchanged from the results after a similar debate last week.

In this week’s debate, Brown repeatedly insisted that Cameron represents “the same old Conservative party,” which would take money out of the economy for “ideological reasons.”

The Conservatives are ahead of Brown’s Labour party in most polls, but it’s not clear that the lead will be enough to give them a majority when voters cast ballots on May 6.

A confident-seeming Cameron fended off Brown’s attacks, saying time and again that Brown was wrong on the facts.

“David, you’ve just got it wrong economically,” Brown said in one of the sharpest exchange, saying his party was “the same old Conservative party of the 1930s and the 1980s and the 1990s.”

“Every leading business leader says we have got it right,” Cameron shot back.

They crossed swords again about unemployment, with Brown warning “we don’t want the labor market of the 1980s,” when the Conservatives were in power. “It’s the same old Tories.”

More from CNN…….

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Travel, Updates | | 2 Comments

Congress is working on new auto safety regulations….

While some vehicle’s already have them….

Future vehicle’s will have ‘black boxes’ ( Event Data Recorders ) as a requirement…along with brake over-ride systems …..

The boxes are already in some vehicles and mimic the airplane boxes that aren’t black at all but painted day glow orange with white strips to be recognizable….

The boxes record several vital data facts, such as the vehicles, speed, seat belt’s  status and if someone presses the brake at a particular time….

The Over ride systems would sense when the brake is applied and cut the engine speed…..

There are other requirements in the proposed legislation…..

And it lifts the automakers civil liabilities threshold per incident (Expect this issue to be fought by the automakers )

The legislation, drafted by Rep. Henry Waxman (D-Beverly Hills) and Rep. Bobby Rush (D-Ill.), would create at least half a dozen new safety standards and rules — including a requirement that all new motor vehicles have so-called black boxes, or event data recorders, and brake override systems.

“This gives the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration the ability to protect the public and to deal with concerns that have been raised by Toyota and other manufacturers,” Waxman said in an interview.

The legislation, titled the Motor Vehicle Safety Act of 2010, would represent one of the biggest overhauls of federal motor vehicle safety regulation in a generation. The most recent comparable action came a decade ago, when Congress passed new safety rules in the aftermath of the rollover problem involving Ford Explorers equipped with Firestone tires.

The bill is likely to face opposition from automakers, in particular over a provision that would remove the existing $16.4-million cap on civil penalties against vehicle manufacturers for violations of safety laws and boost the fine for each violation to $25,000, from the current $6,000.

The change would create the potential for fines in the range of tens of billions of dollars, because federal fines are typically assessed on each vehicle produced by a manufacturer that is involved in a violation of the rules.

NHTSA’s recent record $16.4-million fine against Toyota for violations of U.S. law could have been as high as $57.5 billion if the proposed Waxman law had been in effect at the time.

More……..

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Automobiles, Blogs, Breaking News, Computers, Government, Health, Law, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Travel, Updates | , , | 1 Comment

Crist switches to an Independent run for the Florida Senate…..Update Added……

The Dog just heard it himself on CNN…..

Florida Gov. Charlie Crist may have difficulty raising campaign funds as an independent, analysts say.

Update from Politico…..

I agree with them that Crist is gonna have a hard time getting win…..

While Daniel is betting for Rubio…

The Dog wants Meek….but could live with Crist…a actual moderate Republican…..

The modest crowd, low energy and slapdash feel to Florida Gov. Charlie Crist’s announcement Thursday underscored the needle-threading political exercise ahead for him.

By bolting the Republican Party to run for the Senate as an independent—or more specifically, on the “no party affiliation” ballot line—Crist is taking on a low-percentage challenge that few before him have been able to accomplish.

Political strategists in both parties are betting against it.

With no party infrastructure to assist him, a hemorrhaging donor base and daunting electoral math, Crist must rely on his ability to cobble together an unlikely coalition of independents, moderate Republicans and conservative Democrats—a strategy that leaves almost no room for error.

“On the numbers alone, he has a hard row to hoe,” said Steve Schale, a top Democratic strategist who ran Barack Obama’s 2008 Florida campaign. “I would never even argue it’s even close to even money. But if he had a one percent chance before, maybe he has a 20 or 25 percent chance now,” he estimated.

“I do not see a path to victory. The ultimate Hail Mary,” said Tallahassee-based GOP consultant David Johnson, a former executive director of the state party.

Independents comprise only about 18 to 20 percent of the Florida midterm election electorate, so strategists of all stripes agree that Crist will need to peel off at least a quarter to a third of voters from each major party to have a viable path to victory. And despite frequent gripes about rabid partisanship and government gridlock, voters in Florida, like nearly everywhere else, typically gravitate toward a candidate affiliated with one of the two major parties.

The last time a third party candidate was elected to statewide office in Florida was nearly a century ago—in 1916.

More……..

Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0410/36575.html#ixzz0mXUEToP1

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , | 10 Comments

Not all Arizona Cops are for the new Bill…….

A Latino Police Officer from Tucson Arizona has filed suit against the incoming law……

Officer Martin H. Escobar has filed a lawsuit over the state of Arizona's new immigration law.

Officer Martin H. Escobar has filed a lawsuit over the state of Arizona’s new immigration law.

CNN) — A police officer in Tucson, Arizona, filed a lawsuit against the state’s governor Thursday over a new immigration law.

Officer Martin H. Escobar says in the lawsuit that there are no “race-neutral criteria or basis to suspect or identify who is lawfully in the United States.”

The law allows police to ask anyone for proof of legal U.S. residency.

Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer and others who support the law say it does not involve racial profiling or any other illegal acts.

Read the complaint (PDF)

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Crime, Government, Law, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Travel, Updates | , , , | 1 Comment

Obama and the Latino's……..

This from Tom Schaller @ FiveThirtyEigth.…..

It basically reports that Congressman Luis Gutierrez is quietly pushing against his President…avocating Latino’s to seriously think about not voting in Novemeber……Just a partial following on the action would have serious consequences for Democrats….

The fact remains…just like with liberal’s…..Obama WILL NOT come thru with all his campaign promises……

Latino’s have the democrat’s attenntion..but the window for  bill as contentious as Immigration is just about gone until the day AFTER the November elections….

This is not going to be fun for Obama…

But I see no alterative for the President and his party….

Everyone in the democratic camp better pray for majorities in the House and Senate….

Without them……Immigration and a lot of other things will be long gone…….

This past weekend I attended the Midwest Political Science Association’s annual meetings at the Palmer House in Chicago. Local Congressman Luis Gutierrez gave the Pi Sigma Alpha lecture on Friday afternoon, and he spoke at length about immigration reform, the developing situation in Arizona, and his worry that President Obama and the Administration will not rise to the challenge.

He did sugarcoat what he had to say. Although I didn’t have my digital tape recorder on hand to record his comments in regard to immigration and the Administration, I can assure you Gutierrez’ remarks were not as diplomatic as this recent press release on the subject, but rather were much closer tohis recent Huffington Post comments, in which he expressed his growing impatience with Obama. He also flatly called Obama’s promise to pass a comprehensive immigration reform bill in his first year a “broken promise.” More to the (electoral) point, Gutierrez has begun to openly suggest that he may consider encouraging Latinos to stay home this November which, if they did, would exacerbate the Democrats’ expected problems and electoral losses.

Gutierrez is not your typical Obama critic, mind you. When most other Latino elected officials were lining up behind Hillary Clinton in late 2007, he sided with his fellow Chicagoan. That not only made him an outlier among national Latinos; it also made him an outlier in his own part of the city, where he says all of the Latino wards were carried by Clinton, not Obama–just as she didoverall in key states and nationally during the primary.

In short, Gutierrez says he stuck out his neck for Obama. And now, in what he calls the “civil rights fight” of this generation, he wants the President to stick out his neck for Latinos, particularly those who Gutierrez predicts will likely be profiled for rounding up in Arizona.
There’s More…

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Law, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates | , , | 3 Comments

Obama and the Latino’s……..

This from Tom Schaller @ FiveThirtyEigth.…..

It basically reports that Congressman Luis Gutierrez is quietly pushing against his President…avocating Latino’s to seriously think about not voting in Novemeber……Just a partial following on the action would have serious consequences for Democrats….

The fact remains…just like with liberal’s…..Obama WILL NOT come thru with all his campaign promises……

Latino’s have the democrat’s attenntion..but the window for  bill as contentious as Immigration is just about gone until the day AFTER the November elections….

This is not going to be fun for Obama…

But I see no alterative for the President and his party….

Everyone in the democratic camp better pray for majorities in the House and Senate….

Without them……Immigration and a lot of other things will be long gone…….

This past weekend I attended the Midwest Political Science Association’s annual meetings at the Palmer House in Chicago. Local Congressman Luis Gutierrez gave the Pi Sigma Alpha lecture on Friday afternoon, and he spoke at length about immigration reform, the developing situation in Arizona, and his worry that President Obama and the Administration will not rise to the challenge.

He did sugarcoat what he had to say. Although I didn’t have my digital tape recorder on hand to record his comments in regard to immigration and the Administration, I can assure you Gutierrez’ remarks were not as diplomatic as this recent press release on the subject, but rather were much closer tohis recent Huffington Post comments, in which he expressed his growing impatience with Obama. He also flatly called Obama’s promise to pass a comprehensive immigration reform bill in his first year a “broken promise.” More to the (electoral) point, Gutierrez has begun to openly suggest that he may consider encouraging Latinos to stay home this November which, if they did, would exacerbate the Democrats’ expected problems and electoral losses.

Gutierrez is not your typical Obama critic, mind you. When most other Latino elected officials were lining up behind Hillary Clinton in late 2007, he sided with his fellow Chicagoan. That not only made him an outlier among national Latinos; it also made him an outlier in his own part of the city, where he says all of the Latino wards were carried by Clinton, not Obama–just as she didoverall in key states and nationally during the primary.

In short, Gutierrez says he stuck out his neck for Obama. And now, in what he calls the “civil rights fight” of this generation, he wants the President to stick out his neck for Latinos, particularly those who Gutierrez predicts will likely be profiled for rounding up in Arizona.
There’s More…

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Law, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates | , , | 3 Comments

Wanna Know Wednesday: The Past….From Up 4 Discussion…..

From JSin……

Welcome everyone,

This Wednesday we would like to focus our discussion on The Past.

Is your partner’s past important to you?

If so, why and what aspects of their past do you find most important?

If not, why is their past of little or no importance to you?

Please submit your poll answer below and, if you wouldn’t mind, elaborate on why you chose the answer that you did.

Thank you for your input and we look forward to your explanations and a very intriguing discussion!

More……..

April 29, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Media, Men, Other Things, Up 4 Discussion, Updates | , | 1 Comment