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Daniel……Today “The Dogs” first BIG Multiple States Primary: Here is a little Election Guide what to watch out for!!!!

Hello Folks!

May 4th is here…… which means it will be OUR first BIG Multiple States Primary Night this Election Cycle at “The Dog” with 3 States holding Primaries. (Indiana, Ohio and North Carolina)

We’ll be starting our Election Night one Hour before the first Polls close in Indiana at 5pm ET. We’ll be having a separate “Election Night Results Thread” on Tuesday at that time.

To make you a little bit more excited about Tuesday here is a little “Election Guide” for the important Races so you can look what to watch for:

Indiana (Hoosier State) First Polls will close at 6pm ET and all Polls will be closed at 7pm ET:

IN-SEN Republican Primary:

While everyone seems to think former Senator Dan Coats (R-IN) has this in the bag I’m not so sure. Reports are that this Primary will have a very, very low Turnout which makes things a lot more “Unpredictable”

IN-2 (Incumbent Joe Donnelly, Democrat)

Republicans going to chose who will be running against Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly (D-IN 2) in November.

The Candidates are: Jack Jordan, Jackie Walorski and Tony Zirkle. Martin Dolan Withdrew but his Name remains on the Ballot.

IN-3 (Incumbent Mark Souder, Republican)

Souder is under a lot of fire for his TARP Vote in 2009. The very same SUSA Poll which had Coats ahead by 12 has Souder only ahead 35-29 over Auto Dealer Bob Thomas.

Also there is a nice Story from Politico: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0410/36610.html

IN-4 (Open Seat, Republican Steve Buyer is retiring)

Frontrunner to win the Primary & General Election in this heavily conservative District is the current Secretary of State Todd Rokita (R-IN). We’ll see how well he really does.

IN-5 (Incumbent Dan Burton, Republican)

Burton is probably “The most endangered” Republican in the Republican Congressional Delegation in the Hoosier State BUT with 6 Candidates challenging him in the Primary splitting up the Vote he is most likely to survive now.

IN-8 (Open Seat, Democrat Brad Ellsworth is running for the Senate)

The Democratic Candidate in November will be State Representative Trent Van Haaften (D-IN). 8 Republican Candidates vying for the Nomination to face him in November.

IN-9 (Incumbent Baron Hill, Democrat)

Will it be Hill vs. Sodrel 5.0? It sure looks like so. This could be one of the “Bellwether Districts” come November.

Ohio (Buckeye State) All Polls will be closing at 7.30pm ET:

OH-SEN Democratic Primary

Lee Fisher vs. Jennifer Brunner

This is probably the easiest Race to predict on Tuesday Night: Fisher will walk to the Nomination.

OH-2 (Incumbent Jean Schmidt, Republican)

Both Parties have competitive Primaries in this District. The most likely Match-Up for November: Jean Schmidt (R) vs. David Krikorian (D)

OH-16 (Incumbent John Boccieri, Democrat)

5 Republicans vying to take on Rep. Boccieri in November. The Republican Frontrunner is former Wadsworth Mayor Jim Renacci (R-OH).

OH-18 (Incumbent Zachary “Zach” Space, Democrat)

While Space is facing a Primary he’ll likely coming on top of it. 9 Republicans are vying to take on him in November.

North Carolina (Tar Heel State) All Polls will be closing at 7.30pm ET:

NC-SEN Democratic Primary

Elaine Marshall vs. Calvin Cunningham vs. Kenneth Lewis

This could be a very long Night before we know 1. Who is the Winner and 2. Is there be a Run-Off or not. I’m flat out predicting that there will be a Run-Off. Folks over at PPP predicting NO Run-Off. I guess we’ve to see who is right.

NC-8 (Incumbent Larry Kissel, Democrat)

6 Republicans determining who will face Kissel in November. The Frontrunner is Tim D`Annunzio (R-NC)

NC-11 (Incumbent Heath Shuler, Democrat)

The most Conservative District in this State. This will be a “Battleground” come November. 6 Republicans are running with Hendersonville Mayor Greg Newman (R-NC) as the Frontrunner.

Thanks for joining. I’ll hope I’ve you a little bit “Insights” for Tuesday.

Daniel G.

The Dog wishes to Thank Daniel for his knowledge, excitment and footwork on this project…..

While I ‘m happy…..If Republican’s win most of the races…..

I’ll never hear the end of it!

He, he, he….

It’ll be aright….

It ‘s why we do this!

April 30, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | ,

17 Comments »

  1. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by James Finley. James Finley said: Daniel……4 Days to go until "The Dogs" first BIG Multiple States Primary: Here is a little Election Guide what to… http://wp.me/pAL4p-2Ck […]

    Pingback by Tweets that mention Daniel……4 Days to go until “The Dogs” first BIG Multiple States Primary: Here is a little Election Guide what to watch out for!!!! « PoliticalDog101.com -- Topsy.com | April 30, 2010 | Reply

  2. Crunching out Numbers in NC-SEN here is why I come up that there will be a Run-Off.

    PPP Poll Marshall 26, Cunningham 23, Undecided 34???

    Marshall has to win 14 Percentage Points from the “Undecided Column” in one week. This is doable BUT VERY UNLIKELY to happen.

    The DSCC’s preferred Candidate Cal Cunningham has surged in recent weeks.

    I think either Marshall or Cunningham will narrowly miss winning outright.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  3. Also SUSA pegged the Race at 23 % for Marshall and 19 % for Cunningham.

    AND

    I just got word that PPP will conduct their Final NC-SEN Democratic Primary Poll over the weekend and will release them at 11pm ET Sunday Night.

    SUSA is also in the Field I’m hearing from my folks in Verona, NJ and will release Results to their Client WRAL-TV at 5pm ET Monday.

    In other News:

    PPP is also polling Kentucky this week and it’ll be interesting to see if Rand Paul’s lead is holding up there.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  4. Folks, the entire Month of May will be very interesting indeed.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  5. To make everyone even more guessing I have an Internal Poll for the IN-SEN GOP Primary:

    IN-SEN GOP Primary

    Coats 28 %
    Hostettler 18 %
    Stutzman 18 %
    Bates Jr. 3 %
    Behney 3 %
    Undecided 30 %

    It seems Stutzman (whom I endorsed) is the guy with the big Mojo.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  6. lol amazing info bro.

    Comment by how much should i weigh | May 1, 2010 | Reply

    • Thanks. My pleasure.

      Comment by Daniel G. | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  7. While I ‘m happy…..If Republican’s win most of the races…..
    ————-

    Perhaps I can become the official Anti-republican of the pacj

    I can not think of a single race right in the USA where I am cheering for a Republican

    Comment by Timothy Leal | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  8. * pack …right now

    Comment by Timothy Leal | May 1, 2010 | Reply

  9. New Q-Pac Poll shows Fisher leading Brunner 43-23.

    http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1451&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0

    Fisher has this in the bag now.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 3, 2010 | Reply

  10. as we get closer to November the dem’s will do a bit better…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 3, 2010 | Reply

    • I doubt Fisher can do that.

      Comment by Daniel G. | May 3, 2010 | Reply

  11. He, he, he….

    I was waiting for your response…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 3, 2010 | Reply

  12. James B, Fisher has a s***** statewide office track record considering he lost his re-election bid as Ohio State Attorney General in 1994 and choked in the 1998 race for Governor.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | May 3, 2010 | Reply

  13. don’t right off old fisher just yet. portman has a lot of george w. bush budget director baggage. given the how W left the county in economic shambles fisher and the dems have a lot of ad ammo on his ass.

    Comment by Terry Green | May 4, 2010 | Reply

    • I won’t…someone else might want to……

      Comment by jamesb101 | May 4, 2010 | Reply

  14. American Idol 2010 Top 5 is on tonight with Big Band week and Crystal needs a show-stopping performance to clinch the Idol crown (which is far from certain at this point).

    Who should go home ? Aaron Kelly
    Who will LIKELY go home ? Big Mike Lynche.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | May 4, 2010 | Reply


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