commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Hawaii Special Election….Democrats will go with Case….They want Hanabusa to drop out….

[ Ed Case and his wife Audrey Nakamura ]

I keep saying one of the two Democrats in the race has to DROP OUT……

It appears the Rep. Ed Case is the stronger Democrat in the polling…

The hard part will be for Democrats on the Island, and the mainland, to get Hawaii State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa to drop her bid for the spot……..

The White House and top Democratic officials are circulating a new, private poll to suggest that only one of two Democrats splitting votes in a tightly contested Hawaii special election has a chance of winning the race.

The White House and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee see former Rep. Ed Case as a stronger candidate than State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa in a race that has divided Democrats. Hanabusa has the support of much of the state’s establishment, including both senators and key labor unions.

“Our April 24 to 26 survey among 506 likely voters in Hawaii’s 1st CD special election shows Democrat Ed Case virtually tied with Republican Charles Djou, but leading on every dimension over Democrat Colleen Hanabusa,” pollster Paul Harstad wrote in a memo accompanying the DNC survey, both obtained by POLITICO.

Harstad’s poll is the latest weapon in intense efforts to push Hanabusa out of the race, or at least move some of her institutional supporters to Case’s side.

“It is clear from this data — as from all the public polling – that Ed Case is the best chance that our party has of holding on to that seat,” said a senior White House official. “Given where Hanabusa is in al of this research, one has to be concerned about what the likely out come is if the dynamic remains unchanged.”

There are “a lot of conversations” under way between Washington Democrats and Hanabusa’s key supporters, the official said, though the official declined to make the White House’s goal explicit.

Harstad’s poll found Case the most popular candidate, with a 63% favorable rating to 55% for Republican Charles Djou and just 41% for Hanabusa.

The survey found Djou with 36% and Case with 34% to Hanabusa’s 20%, a Republican lead that widened among the most likely voters and “illustrate[s] the vulnerability of losing this seat to the Republicans,” Harstad wrote of the survey, which found Case more popular than Hanabusa even among women.

“The bottom line is that with a split-Democratic vote, this congressional is more likely than not to fall into Republican hands…….


May 3, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , ,

1 Comment »

  1. I wish AznRepublican was still around

    Comment by Timothy Leal | May 4, 2010 | Reply

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