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SE's May 4th Senate Predictions…..

Tonight, there’s going to be Senate Primaries in NC, OH, and IN. Here’s my predictions for the races:

IN-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh is retiring. Congressman Brad Ellsworth is unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Bank Branch Manager Don Bates Jr., Plumbing Contractor Richard Behney, former US Senator Dan Coats, former Congressman John Hostettler, and State Senator Marlin Stutzman are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. I see Hostettler winning 39-36-23-1-1 over Coats, Stutzman, Behney, and Bates Jr.

NC-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election. Senator Burr, Asheboro City Councilman Eddie Burks, Electronics Store Owner Brad Jones, and former State Representative Larry Linney are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. Former State Senator Cal Cunningham, Accountant Susan Harris, Attorneys Kenneth Lewis and Marcus Williams, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, and Minister W. Ann Worthy are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Burr dominating Linney, Burks, and Jones 90-7-2-1. I see Marshall avoiding a runoff over Cunningham, Lewis, Williams, Harris, and Worthy 50-34-11-4 with Harris and Worthy polling at or below 1%.

OH-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator George Voinovich is retiring. Former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman is unopposed for the GOP nomination. Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Fisher crushing Brunner 67-33.

SE-779….Send him your comments……

( The Dog wishes to apologise to SE who did this post at 9:39 AM..….)

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Other Things, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , | 1 Comment

SE’s May 4th Senate Predictions…..

Tonight, there’s going to be Senate Primaries in NC, OH, and IN. Here’s my predictions for the races:

IN-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh is retiring. Congressman Brad Ellsworth is unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Bank Branch Manager Don Bates Jr., Plumbing Contractor Richard Behney, former US Senator Dan Coats, former Congressman John Hostettler, and State Senator Marlin Stutzman are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. I see Hostettler winning 39-36-23-1-1 over Coats, Stutzman, Behney, and Bates Jr.

NC-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election. Senator Burr, Asheboro City Councilman Eddie Burks, Electronics Store Owner Brad Jones, and former State Representative Larry Linney are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. Former State Senator Cal Cunningham, Accountant Susan Harris, Attorneys Kenneth Lewis and Marcus Williams, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, and Minister W. Ann Worthy are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Burr dominating Linney, Burks, and Jones 90-7-2-1. I see Marshall avoiding a runoff over Cunningham, Lewis, Williams, Harris, and Worthy 50-34-11-4 with Harris and Worthy polling at or below 1%.

OH-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator George Voinovich is retiring. Former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman is unopposed for the GOP nomination. Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Fisher crushing Brunner 67-33.

SE-779….Send him your comments……

( The Dog wishes to apologise to SE who did this post at 9:39 AM..….)

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Other Things, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , | 1 Comment

Daniel…..Marshall and Cunningham will have a run-off in North Carolina…..

This is in the North Carolina Democratic Senate Primary…….

Marshall is ahead but……now under 40 % in NC Dem Senate Race.

In the end, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall just didn’t have enough in the tank to put the Democratic Senate primary away Tuesday night.

With 72 of 100 counties reporting Marshall was holding steady at just under 37 percent of the vote.

It was enough for first place Tuesday but not enough to break the 40 percent needed to avoid a June 22 runoff with former State Sen.Cal Cunningham who was in second place with just under 27 percent.

Though she was outraised, outspent and had less of a television presence across the state, Marshall’s supporters had hoped that the four-term Secretary of State’s higher name identification would carry her to an outright victory Tuesday.

Cunningham’s, who didn’t enter the race until December of last year, saw his numbers surge in recent weeks after he opened up a three week long media campaign that was unmatched by Marshall.

Heading into Tuesday’s election, Cunningham’s camp said that that growth would only continue if they were given six more weeks to campaign.

Among those who will be relieved that Cunningham was able to keep Marshall’s numbers down are the national Democratic Party officials who recruited him last year over Marshall.

More…..

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Updates, Women | , | 1 Comment

CD…..Alabama Governor's race Polling numbers……

Public Policy Polling:

Alabama Governor’s race…..
Former State Senator Bradley Byrne (R-Fairhope): 50%
US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL): 33%

Tim James (R): 49%
Davis (D): 35%

Davis (D): 44%
Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R): 40%

Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) doesn’t do much better either against the GOP hopefuls.

Byrne (R)-43%
Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D)-33%

James (R)-38%
Sparks (D)-34%

Sparks (D)-40%
Moore (R)-35%

More from CD…

The Alabama chapter of the United Mine Workers have thrown US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) under the bus and have endorsed his primary opponent, Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) in the June 1st Democratic gubernatorial primary.

http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/article/20100504/NEWS/100509831/1007

May 4, 2010 Posted by | CD @ PolitcalDog, Government, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 2 Comments

CD…..Alabama Governor’s race Polling numbers……

Public Policy Polling:

Alabama Governor’s race…..
Former State Senator Bradley Byrne (R-Fairhope): 50%
US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL): 33%

Tim James (R): 49%
Davis (D): 35%

Davis (D): 44%
Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R): 40%

Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) doesn’t do much better either against the GOP hopefuls.

Byrne (R)-43%
Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D)-33%

James (R)-38%
Sparks (D)-34%

Sparks (D)-40%
Moore (R)-35%

More from CD…

The Alabama chapter of the United Mine Workers have thrown US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) under the bus and have endorsed his primary opponent, Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) in the June 1st Democratic gubernatorial primary.

http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/article/20100504/NEWS/100509831/1007

May 4, 2010 Posted by | CD @ PolitcalDog, Government, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 2 Comments

Breaking….. Fisher Wins Democratic Senate Primary in Ohio….

BREAKING

Fisher wins Dem. Senate Primary in Ohio and faces Portman in November the AP reports

.https://i2.wp.com/farm3.static.flickr.com/2423/3746682448_3170752686.jpg

Ohio Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher (D)

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Other Things, Politics, Updates | , | 1 Comment

Daniel….. Indiana Primary Summary……9:51..DST…..

Hello Folks!

Here is the Summary for Indiana:

IN-SEN GOP Primary

Winner: Daniel Ray Coats (R)

IN-1

Inc. U. S. Rep. Peter Visclosky (D)
Republican TBD

IN-2

Inc. U. S. Rep. Joe Donnelly (D)
Jackie Walorski (R)

IN-3

Inc. U. S. Rep. Mark Souder (R)
Thomas Hayhurst (D)

IN-4

Secretary of State Todd Rokita (R)
David Sanders (D)

IN-5

Inc. U. S. Rep. Dan Burton (R)
Tim Crawford (D)

IN-6

Inc. U. S. Rep. Mike Pence (R)
Barry Welsh (D)

IN-7

Inc. U. S. Rep. Andre Carson (D)
Marvin Scott (R)

IN-8 (Open)

State Senator Trent Van Haaften (D)
Larry Bucshon (R)

IN-9

Inc. U. S. Rep. Baron Hill (D)
Republican TBD

Daniel G.

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , | 1 Comment

The Big May 4th Multi States Primaries……Special Thread…..

We’ll be starting our Election Night Coverage here with Daniel, one Hour before the first Polls close in Indiana at 5pm Eastern Daylight Savings Time.

James will come on at 9:30 Eastern Daylight Savings Time……

Here is a “Election Guide” for the important Races ….so you can look what to watch for:

Indiana (Hoosier State) First Polls will close at 6pm ET and all Polls will be closed at 7pm ET:

IN-SEN Republican Primary:

While everyone seems to think former Senator Dan Coats (R-IN) has this in the bag I’m not so sure. Reports are that this Primary will have a very, very low Turnout which makes things a lot more “Unpredictable”

IN-2 (Incumbent Joe Donnelly, Democrat)

Republicans going to chose who will be running against Democratic Congressman Joe Donnelly (D-IN 2) in November.

The Candidates are: Jack Jordan, Jackie Walorski and Tony Zirkle. Martin Dolan Withdrew but his Name remains on the Ballot.

IN-3 (Incumbent Mark Souder, Republican)

Souder is under a lot of fire for his TARP Vote in 2009. The very same SUSA Poll which had Coats ahead by 12 has Souder only ahead 35-29 over Auto Dealer Bob Thomas.

Also there is a nice Story from Politico: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0410/36610.html

IN-4 (Open Seat, Republican Steve Buyer is retiring)

Frontrunner to win the Primary & General Election in this heavily conservative District is the current Secretary of State Todd Rokita (R-IN). We’ll see how well he really does.

IN-5 (Incumbent Dan Burton, Republican)

Burton is probably “The most endangered” Republican in the Republican Congressional Delegation in the Hoosier State BUT with 6 Candidates challenging him in the Primary splitting up the Vote he is most likely to survive now.

IN-8 (Open Seat, Democrat Brad Ellsworth is running for the Senate)

The Democratic Candidate in November will be State Representative Trent Van Haaften (D-IN). 8 Republican Candidates vying for the Nomination to face him in November.

IN-9 (Incumbent Baron Hill, Democrat)

Will it be Hill vs. Sodrel 5.0? It sure looks like so. This could be one of the “Bellwether Districts” come November.

Ohio (Buckeye State) All Polls will be closing at 7.30pm ET:

OH-SEN Democratic Primary

Lee Fisher vs. Jennifer Brunner

This is probably the easiest Race to predict on Tuesday Night: Fisher will walk to the Nomination.

OH-2 (Incumbent Jean Schmidt, Republican)

Both Parties have competitive Primaries in this District. The most likely Match-Up for November: Jean Schmidt (R) vs. David Krikorian (D)

OH-16 (Incumbent John Boccieri, Democrat)

5 Republicans vying to take on Rep. Boccieri in November. The Republican Frontrunner is former Wadsworth Mayor Jim Renacci (R-OH).

OH-18 (Incumbent Zachary “Zach” Space, Democrat)

While Space is facing a Primary he’ll likely coming on top of it. 9 Republicans are vying to take on him in November.

North Carolina (Tar Heel State) All Polls will be closing at 7.30pm ET:

NC-SEN Democratic Primary

Elaine Marshall vs. Calvin Cunningham vs. Kenneth Lewis

This could be a very long Night before we know 1. Who is the Winner and 2. Is there be a Run-Off or not. I’m flat out predicting that there will be a Run-Off. Folks over at PPP predicting NO Run-Off. I guess we’ve to see who is right.

NC-8 (Incumbent Larry Kissel, Democrat)

6 Republicans determining who will face Kissel in November. The Frontrunner is Tim D`Annunzio (R-NC)

NC-11 (Incumbent Heath Shuler, Democrat)

The most Conservative District in this State. This will be a “Battleground” come November. 6 Republicans are running with Hendersonville Mayor Greg Newman (R-NC) as the Frontrunner.

We will try to get as much information to you as is available…..

We also would like any on you out there that can help us….. to send your information to the comments section of this post……

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , | 71 Comments

X-37B…..Update…

X-37B Orbital Test Vehicle

The Air Force unmanned miniature shuttle spacecraft will stay in orbit for up to 270 days….

Doing it’s thing…….

Though the 11,000-pound vehicle–about 29 feet long, with a wingspan of just under 15 feet–is designed to stay in orbit for 270 days, the exact duration of its first flight hasn’t been revealed. Upon completing its first mission, the Boeing-built X-37B is due to touch down at Vandenberg Air Force Base in California……..

More…..

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Aircraft, Breaking News, Government, Media, Military, Other Things, Space, Updates | , | 5 Comments

Obama's request for addition off shore drilling is probably dead for now……

No matter what he says or does…..

The US Senate and House are unlikely to go along with the request at this time……

The fight will probably be on keeping the total oil company  liability clause at it’s current $75 million…

…….and the total amont of claims no more than $1 Billion…..

Remember also….. Oil Companies have liability insurance……

Obama announced in March that he wanted to open large swaths of U.S. coastal waters in the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico to oil and natural gas drilling, a move that upset many of the administration’s environmentalist supporters. The administration is pushing for a new energy bill that would rein in U.S. output of carbon emissions blamed for an increase in global temperatures, and sponsors hoped it would bring enough Republicans – who have supported new oil exploration offshore – on board to support the bill.

But with a ruptured well spewing an estimated 210,000 gallons (5,000 barrels) of crude into the Gulf of Mexico every day, Nelson said he would be willing to filibuster any bill that authorized new offshore wells. And Menendez said he wasn’t willing to accept a tradeoff between the “obvious risk” of future spills and the oil produced, which he said would amount to “a few tablespoons of gasoline” for the average motorist.

Under federal law, BP is responsible for the cost of plugging the well and cleaning up the spill. But its liability for economic damages is limited to $75 million, with costs over that amount covered by a pool funded by an
8-cent-per-barrel tax on oil. And claims on that fund, currently about $1.6 billion, are limited to $1 billion per incident.

The legislation proposed by Lautenberg, Menendez and Nelson would raise the liability cap to $10 billion, eliminate the $1 billion-per-incident cap on the Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund and let those hurt by a spill that exhausts that fund claim future revenues, with interest……

More…..

May 4, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Health, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Travel, Updates | , , , | 5 Comments