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British voters go to the polls…………Conservatives in the lead…..Updates and Exit Poll results…..

Voter, Nick Clegg, Gordon Brown and David Cameron

[ Clegg, Brown and Cameron ]

From my reading…..things should be tight…with Brown coming in last possibly and Cameron the Conservative guy coming in first……..

After one of the closest and most unpredictable campaigns in memory, U.K. voters went to the polls Thursday in an election that itself could have a cliffhanger result.

The opposition Conservative Party and its leader, David Cameron, were long favored to rout Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s ruling Labour Party and return to power for the first time in 13 years. But the Conservatives slid in the polls this spring as Mr. Cameron’s economic message failed to resonate.

Then last month, the race became a multifront …

More……..….

Update ……..

Exit poll from British General Election:

307 Conservative
255 Labour
_59 Liberal Democratic
_29 Others (inc. Scottish National Party, Plaid Cymru and Northern Ireland parties)

650 Total Members of Parliament (House of Commons)
326 needed for an overall majority

Continuous coverage (with endless speculation about coalitions, minority governments, etc.) at

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/liveevent/

Polls closed at 2200 (10:00 pm) British Standard Time = 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight = 2 p.m. Pacific Daylight

Thanks DSD!…..

Link  also……

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/

Update…..

Total United Kingdom after 456 out of 650 seats declared (over two-thirds):

225 (+60) Conservative
169 (–54) Labour
_36 (–_5) Liberal Democratic
__6 (___) Scottish National Party
__3 (+_1) Plaid Cymru (Welsh Nat.)

The exit polls seems to have got it right, folks……

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May 6, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates |

35 Comments »

  1. People are voting Conservative, purely because they dislike Brown. No one I have spoken to, wants to wake up tomorrow to a Conservative government. The idea is actually quite worrying.

    Comment by futiledemocracy | May 6, 2010 | Reply

    • The same thing happens all the time here in Presidential Elections…..

      The vote is AGAINST one…not for the other!

      Comment by jamesb101 | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  2. I hope part of the outcome of this election is the Northern Ireland country people can move closer to being free of rule from the Royal Crown

    Comment by Timothy Leal | May 6, 2010 | Reply

    • Current results in Northern Ireland:

      Ian Paisley, Junior, kept Antrim North for the Democratic Unionists (DUP).

      However, Peter Robinson, the DUP leader who succeeded the party’s founder, Rev. Ian Paisley, Sr, lost his seat in Belfast East to the non-sectarian Alliance Party of Northern Ireland. Robinson suffered from a family financial scandal.

      The DUP also held their seats in Lagan Valley and Upper Bann.

      Lady Sylvia Hermon, who refused to follow the “official” Ulster Unionists into a renewed traditional alliance with the British Conservatives, kept her seat in Down North (once represented by a carpetbagging Enoch Powell) as an independent with an increased majority.

      Gerry Adams of Sinn Féin (both formerly associated with the IRA) kept his seat at Belfast West with 71% of the vote. Sinn Féin also held Fermanagh & South Tyrone.

      On a very cursory glance, it appears that both the DUP and Sinn Féin, who jointly lead the coalition government in the Northern Ireland Parliament at Stormont (Belfast), may have lost in their share (%) of the votes. The moderate nationalist Social Democratic & Labour Party (SDLP) also seem to have lost in percentage of the vote.

      It’s hard to see whose percentages have risen, apart from Lady Hermon and the Alliance Party.

      Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

      • With 16 out of 18 Westminster constituencies in N. Ireland:

        7 DUP
        4 Sinn Féin
        3 SDLP
        1 Alliance Party of NI
        1 Ind. unionist (Lady Hermon)

        2 still to be declared (Londonderry E and Fermanagh & S Tyrone)

        Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010

  3. It is up to them ..right?

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  4. Good question…..

    That’s never been addressed….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  5. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by James Finley. James Finley said: British voters go to the polls…………Conservatives in the lead…..: http://wp.me/pAL4p-2He […]

    Pingback by Tweets that mention British voters go to the polls…………Conservatives in the lead….. « PoliticalDog101.com -- Topsy.com | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  6. Exit poll from British General Election:

    307 Conservative
    255 Labour
    _59 Liberal Democratic
    _29 Others (inc. Scottish National Party, Plaid Cymru and Northern Ireland parties)

    650 Total Members of Parliament (House of Commons)
    326 needed for an overall majority

    Continuous coverage (with endless speculation about coalitions, minority governments, etc.) at

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/liveevent/

    Polls closed at 2200 (10:00 pm) British Standard Time = 5 p.m. Eastern Daylight = 2 p.m. Pacific Daylight

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  7. To see the 650 constituencies as they are declared, visit the

    BBC’s elections results page

    After orienting yourself to the overall physical geography, I recommend switching to the “proportional view” which lets you pull down individual constituencies without having to pull down regions first.

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  8. Bulletin: The overwhelming swing (at least in England) that the Tories seemed to enjoy in the early declarations seems after 57 results to have shrunk to about 3%, which would not be enough to give the Conservatives an overall majority of 326 (out of 650). This means the talk of minority governments, coalitions, understandings and deals is still a live one.

    See: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

    • State of the parties after 63 constituencies declared:

      31 Labour
      16 Conservative
      _4 Liberal Democratic
      _4 Democratic Unionist (NI)
      _2 Sinn Féin (NI)
      _2 Scottish National Party
      _1 Plaid Cymru (Welsh nationalist)
      _1 Social Democratic & Labour Party (NI)
      _1 Alliance Party of Northern Ireland
      _1 Independent ex-unionist (Lady Sylvia Hermon, NI)
      _0 Ulster Conservatives & Unionists — New Force

      Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

      • After 305 results out of 650 seats:

        142 Cons.
        116 Labour
        _23 Lib Dem
        __6 SNP
        __3 Plaid Cymru
        _16 others

        Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010

  9. Thanks…keep it coming….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  10. I’m updating the Dog post…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  11. After 329 (a majority) of 650 constituencies declared:

    159 Cons.
    124 Labour
    _23 Lib Dem
    __6 Scot. Nat.
    __3 Plaid Cymru
    and
    _16 Northern Irish parties:
    __7 Dem. Unionist
    __4 Sinn Féin
    __3 SDLP
    __1 Alliance Party of NI
    __1 Ind. (Lady Sylvia Hermon)

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  12. Results in Wales after 39 declarations out of 40:

    26 Labour (-3)
    _7 Cons. (+4)
    _3 Lib Dem (-1)
    _3 Plaid Cymru (+1) [Welsh Nationalist]

    _1 yet to be declared (Cardiff N)

    Labour to Tory swing +5.7% from 2005 Gen. Election

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

    • Final seats in Wales (40 out of 40):

      26 (–4) Labour
      _8 (+5) Conservative
      _3 (–1) Liberal Dem.
      _3 (+1) Plaid Cymru (Welsh Party)
      _0 (–1) others (I don’t know which label)

      Labour to Conservative swing since 2005: 5.6%

      Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

      • The “other” party which lost its seat in Wales (to Labour) was the Blaenau Gwent People’s Voice Group, represented by Dai Davies who had succeeded another independent MP, Peter Law, in a bye-election. (Law had resigned from Labour in protest against a now-repealed policy of requiring an all-women’s short list for candidates.) See Wikipedia for details.

        In Wyre Forest (England), the sitting member for Independent Community Health Concerns lost to the Conservatives.

        George Galloway, expelled from Labour over Iraq, had been elected in a London seat in 2005 as the candidate of the RESPECT party. He stood down from his current seat and stood for the new London seat of Poplar Green and Limehouse. Neither his old nor his new consituency has yet reported results for 2010.

        So my rough sketch of independent and minor party seats changing hands looks like this:

        Wales (Blaenau Gwent): People’s Voice (Dai Davies) lost to Labour;
        Ulster (Down North): former Ulster Unionist elected as an independent (Lady Sylvia Hermon);
        London (Bethnal Green and Bow): no returns yet; formerly represented by George Galloway (RESPECT);
        Worcestershire [West Midlands of England] (Wyre Forest, formerly Kidderminster): Independent Community Health Concerns (Dr Richard Taylor, elected 2001 and 2005) lost to Conservatives

        Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010

      • Let me fix that typographical mess, so the mess can be deleted.

        The “other” party which lost its seat in Wales (to Labour) was the Blaenau Gwent People’s Voice Group, represented by Dai Davies who had succeeded another independent MP, Peter Law, in a bye-election. (Law had resigned from Labour in protest against a now-repealed policy of requiring an all-women’s short list for candidates.) See Wikipedia for details.

        In Wyre Forest (England), the sitting member for Independent Community Health Concerns lost to the Conservatives.

        George Galloway, expelled from Labour over Iraq, had been elected in a London seat in 2005 as the candidate of the RESPECT party. He stood down from his current seat and stood for the new London seat of Poplar Green and Limehouse. Neither his old nor his new consituency has yet reported results for 2010.

        So my rough sketch of independent and minor party seats changing hands looks like this:

        Wales (Blaenau Gwent): People’s Voice (Dai Davies) lost to Labour;
        N. Ireland (Down North): former Ulster Unionist elected as an independent (Lady Sylvia Hermon);
        London (Bethnal Green and Bow): no returns yet; formerly represented by George Galloway (RESPECT);
        Worcestershire [West Midlands of England] (Wyre Forest, formerly Kidderminster): Independent Community Health Concerns (Dr Richard Taylor, elected 2001 and 2005) lost to Conservatives

        Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010

  13. Results in Scotland after 54 out of 59 declarations:

    39 Labour
    _8 Liberal Democratic
    _6 Scottish National Party
    _1 Conservative

    No net change so far for any party in number of seats held.

    Tiny swing of 0.2% to Labour from the SNP, who are the governing party in the Scottish Executive and Parliament in Holyrood (Edinburgh).

    For Scottish updates and details, see

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/region/7.stm

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  14. done…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  15. After over 60% of the English seats declared (327 out of 533):

    212 (+54) Conservative
    _94 (–49) Labour
    _22 (–_4) Liberal Democratic

    No seats held, gained or lost by other parties or independents.

    Average English swing from Lab to Cons since 2005: +6.3%

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/region/48.stm

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 6, 2010 | Reply

  16. Total United Kingdom after 456 out of 650 seats declared (over two-thirds):

    225 (+60) Conservative
    169 (–54) Labour
    _36 (–_5) Liberal Democratic
    __6 (___) Scottish National Party
    __3 (+_1) Plaid Cymru (Welsh Nat.)

    _17 (___) Northern Ireland parties (1 NI seat undeclared):

    8 Democratic Unionist Party
    4 Sinn Féin
    3 Social Democratic and Labour Party
    1 Alliance Party of N. Ireland
    1 Ind. (Lady Sylvia Hermon, formerly Ulster Unionist)
    0 Ulster Conservative and Unionist — New Force

    The Ulster Unionists lost their one seat (Lady Hermon’s in Down N.).=
    Peter Robinson, the DUP First Minister of Northern Ireland, lost his seat in the wake of a scandal to the Alliance Party (+1) in Belfast West.

    The two main Nationalist parties, (SF & SDLP) traded less than 1% of the vote. The DUP lost 7.2%, mainly to the Alliance Party (+2.5%) and Traditional Unionist Voice (4.2%), a new group that rejects the recently-agreed return of policing and security powers from Westminster to Belfast.

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  17. After 85% of the seats in the UK declared (561 out of 650; 92 still to report):

    271 (+84) Conservative
    218 (–77) Labour
    _45 (–_7) Liberal Democratic
    __6 (___) Scottish National Party
    __3 (+_1) Plaid Cymru
    _18 (–_1) others (inc. 17 in N. Ireland)

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  18. The Green Party takes its first seat at Westminster on an 8.4% swing at Brighton Pavilion on the South Coast.

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/election2010/results/constituency/a69.stm

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  19. After 607 declarations in the UK; 43 still to go:

    288 36.2% Conservative (+90) (+3.6%) — 10 million
    241 29.0% Labour Party (-84) (-6.4%) — 8 million
    _51 22.9% Liberal Dem. (-6) (+1.0%) — 6.4 million
    _27 11.9% all others (no net change in seats), as below:

    [Great Britain]

    6 Scottish National Party (no change)
    3 Plaid Cymru (Welsh Party) (+1)

    1 Green (+1) [Brighton Pavilion]
    0 Independent Community and Health Concern (-1) [Wyre Forest]
    0 Blaenau Gwent [Wales] People’s Voice (-1)

    ? Respect (undeclared) (+/-?) [Bethnal Green and Bow/Poplar and Limehouse, London]; 1 elected in 2005

    11 (no net change) all other parties in Great Britain

    17 out of 18 seats declared in Northern Ireland:

    8 Democratic Unionist (-1 to APNI) [Belfast East]
    4 Sinn Féin
    3 Social Dem. and Labour Party
    1 Alliance Party (+1 from DUP) [Belfast E]
    1 independent, formerly Ulster Unionist [Down North]
    0 Ulster Cons. and Unionist — New Force (-1 to ind.) [Down N]

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

    • Tiny correction to above: 28 (not 27) all others in whole UK, no net change — at least until the unbelievably delayed results come in from George Galloway’s old constituency of Bethnal Green & Bow and from his new one of Poplar & Limehouse

      As follows:

      Scotland: 58/59 declared; no seats changed hands
      6 Scottish National Party (no change)

      Wales: 40/40 declared; no net change
      3 Plaid Cymru (+1)
      0 Blaenau Gwent People’s Voice (-1)

      England: no net change
      1 Green (+1) [Brighton Pavilion]
      0 Independent Community and Health Concern (-1) [Wyre Forest]

      Northern Ireland: 17/18 declared; no net change
      8 Democratic Unionist (-1)
      4 Sinn Féin
      3 Social Dem. & Labour Party [SDLP]
      1 Alliance Party of Northern Ireland (+1) [Belfast W]
      1 independent (+1) [formerly Ulster Unionist] [Down N]
      0 Ulster Conservative & Unionist (-1)

      Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

      • I was right the first time: 27 all others,so far, in the UK.

        With 614 declarations out of 650 (36 to go), it’s now

        290 Cons (+91) — 10.1 million (36.1%; +3.9%)
        246 Lab. (–85) — 8.2 million (29.2%; -6.3%)
        _51 LDP (–6) — 6.4 million (22.9%; +1.0%)
        _27 all others (no net change) (11.8%)

        Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010

      • The Tories would now have to win all 36 undeclared seats to reach an absolute overall majority of 326, which won’t happen without the help of some elected MP’s who are not now Conservatives.

        Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010

  20. BULLETIN: With only 35 seats left to declare and the Conservatives holding only 290 seats so far (247 Lab, 51 Lib D, 27 other), the BBC has now officially declared this, at about 9:45 a.m. British Summer Time Friday, a Hung Parliament where no single party holds a majority of 326 out of 650 members of the House of Commons.

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  21. If I have any self-discipline, I’ll drag myself away from the BBC feed and go to sleep.

    At 2:30 pm BST = 9:30 a.m. EDT = 6:30 a.m. PDT, David Cameron will make a statement outlining his plans.

    Ten Downing Street does not foresee talking to Nick Clegg before the final results come in, around 3:30 pm BST = 10:30 a.m. EDT.

    George Galloway did not take Poplar and Limehouse; whether his Respect-Unity coalition can keep Galloway’s previous seat of Bethnal Green and Bow is yet to be determined.

    Current state of the parties:

    291 Cons.
    251 Labour
    _52 Lib. Dem.
    _27 others (inc. 1 Green, 6 SNP, 3 Plaid Cymru & 17 N. Ireland parties)

    29 seats still to declare

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  22. The exit poll turned out (no doubt by a clash of probabilities) to be remarkably prescient now that all 649 constituencies decided yesterday have been declared. [The Buckingham constituency, previously represented by a Conservative, will vote on May 27th, because the UK Independence Party candidate died in April, after the general election had been called).]

    The total seats predicted by the exit poll varied by no more than three for each party.

    The BBC reports these results:

    306 (+97) 36.1% (+3.8%) Conservative — 10.7 million
    258 (–91) 29.0% (–6.2%) Labour Party — _8.6 million
    _57 (–_5) 23.0% (+1.0%) Liberal Dem. — _6.8 million
    _28 (–_1) 11.9% All others, as below — _3.5 million

    10 Great Britain (-1):

    6 Scottish National Party
    3 Plaid Cymru (Welsh Party) (+1)

    1 Green Party (+1) [Brighton Pavilion]
    0 Ind. Community and Health Concern (-1) [Wyre Forest]
    0 Respect-Unity coalition (-1) [Bethnal Green and Bow]
    0 Blaenau Gwent People’s Voice (-1)

    18 Northern Ireland (no change)

    8 Democratic Unionist Party (-1)
    5 Sinn Féin
    3 Social Dem. and Labour Party
    1 Alliance Party of N. Ireland (+1) [Belfast E]
    1 independent, former Ulster Unionist (+1) [Down N]
    0 Ulster Conservative and Unionist — New Force (-1)

    Comment by Democratic Socialist Dave | May 7, 2010 | Reply


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