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Daniel….. Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary: TIED Ballgame; Latest Muhlenberg College / Morning Call Tracker shows Specter and Sestak tied at 43 % each ……

Hello Folks!

POLL STUNNER: Sestak now TIED with Specter

It looks like Voters in Pennsylvania FINALLY realizing that Ole’ Arlen Specter (D-PA) is a Republican TURNCOAT. The latest Muhlenberg College / Allentown Morning Call Tracking Survey shows Specter & Sestak TIED at 43 % each.

Muhlenberg College / Allentown Morning Call Daily Tracker

Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary

Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter  43 %
U. S. Rep. Joseph A. “Joe” Sestak  43 %
Undecided  13 %

Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.specter2010.com/
http://joesestak.com/Home/Home.html

Analysis:

COUNTLESS Times I debated with “The Dog” of the last few Months over this Race.

I TOLD HIM this wouldn’t be A CAKEWALK for Specter EVEN when he was 20+ Points ahead.
I knew once the TV-Ads from Sestak would kick in THIS RACE WOULD NARROW. I was right once again. Just a few weeks ago “The Dog” CROWNED Specter as the Presumptive Democratic Nominee. I reminded him: WAIT Partner. He flat out ignored me on that saying and I quote “Specter will win easily over Sestak”

That’s not the case ANYMORE now. We’ll have to see how this develops over the Final 1 1/2 weeks.

The Momentum is CLEARLY with Sestak now.

Daniel G.

Daniel…..This is my argument ….

From Real Clear……Spector is STILL ahead of  Sestak…..One poll does not make the whole race……Ole Arlen IS in trouble……He’s running out of time and space…

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Specter (D) Sestak (D) Spread
RCP Average 4/12 – 5/6 44.7 41.3 Specter +3.4
Morning Call Tracking 5/3 – 5/6 410 LV 43 43 Tie
Quinnipiac 4/28 – 5/2 930 LV 47 39 Specter +8
Rasmussen Reports 4/12 – 4/12 435 LV 44 42 Specter +2
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May 7, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , ,

18 Comments »

  1. Counterpoint to “The Dogs” Comments:

    You do realize which of the 3 Candidates has THE LEAST baggage for November? SESTAK IT IS.

    I’m very concerned because if Sestak pulls this out THAT COULD MEAN HUGE TROUBLE for US.

    Sestak has pretty much a “Clean Sheet” while Specter & Toomey haven’t.

    MARK MY WORDS: IF Specter wins this will one of the most easiest Pick-Ups for US in November; IF Sestak wins TOOMEY is in my Opinion in BIG TROUBLE.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  2. Listen….

    I agree Sestak is the better pick…..

    You’re right…

    Spector just has a good cross party following…..one of those…..’ he’ll have problems in the primary….. do good in the general’ stories….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

    • I trend to disagree james. I’ll think Specter will do worse in the General. He’ll be seen as “Flip-Flopper” much like John Kerry in 2004 AND you could have a “Lincoln-like” Blowout in favor of Republicans in November.

      Listen,

      look at his Job Approvals. They will plummet even further come September or October.

      I’m not worried about Specter, I’m BIG TIME WORRIED about Sestak.

      Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  3. That’s my take…I thing ole Arlen will pull it out…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  4. and you should be…….

    per my comment #2…Sestak is actually the better pick……

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  5. hm… it does say something about negative ads though..

    Comment by talkandpolitics | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  6. Old political truism……

    Negative Ads generally work……

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  7. I think Setak could pull that off against Specter.

    I’m not making any Prediction right now and will wait for next week when RAS as well as Franklin & Marshall will release Polls for that Race.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  8. I’m interested in your final predictions…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

    • At the end of next week you’ll have that Predictions.

      Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  9. The MInn link still isn’t up?

    If not where did you sent it?…which post?

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  10. New Funraising Totals PA-SEN Pre-Primary Period (April 1st to April 28th)

    Specter raised 365,000 but spend 3,59 Mio $ and has 5,84 CoH
    Toomey raised 1,05 Mio. $ and has 4,6 Mio $ CoH.

    WHEW, Toomey has nearly closed the money gap. I told you james that that would happen.

    Sestak has released his Numbers.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  11. I meant Sestak hasn’t released his Numbers.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  12. Here is the Piece:

    http://liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/05/07/specter-has-heavy-burn-rate-in-april/

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  13. Folks, remember what “The Dog” said when Scott Brown surged ahead of Coakley and I quote “This is only one Poll”

    Now we’ve deja-vu again.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  14. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by James Finley. James Finley said: Daniel….. Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary: TIED Ballgame; Latest Muhlenberg College / Morning Call Tracker … http://wp.me/pAL4p-2IS […]

    Pingback by Tweets that mention Daniel….. Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary: TIED Ballgame; Latest Muhlenberg College / Morning Call Tracker shows Specter and Sestak tied at 43 % each …… « PoliticalDog101.com -- Topsy.com | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  15. Spector’s got $5 M +………

    When they get this settled I’ll bet the dem’s move ahead again……

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply

  16. and on the Poll….I refer you to ILL Gov Quinn who EVERYBODY thought was gonna lose the ILL primary for Gov…..

    Isn’t he still running?

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 7, 2010 | Reply


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