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Talkandpolitcs…..Newark's Corey Booker….Is re-Elected……

Newark city is voting today!

The story of incumbant Booker is still inspiring, from the infamuos “Street fight” documentary on the 2002 mayoral race, to his winning in ’06 and beating crime, strengthening schools and improving the budget in New Jerseys biggest city.

And March 2010 was the first murderfree month in Newark in 44 years.

The voting booth has just opened, but it seems like a walk-over for the incumbent this time, and the race have been neat and quiet – with Booker squashing the others with his $7.5m budget and Tv-ads.

Nonetheless – happy voting day for Newark!

More from Talkandpolitcs.

Update…..

Cory A. Booker easily won re-election as Newark’s mayor on Tuesday, and at least seven of his allies on the nine-member Municipal Council appeared headed to victory.

With about three-quarters of the precincts reporting, Mr. Booker had almost 60 percent of the vote in a field of four, while his nearest competitor, Clifford J. Minor, had about 35 percent.

“Newark is going to continue to rise,” Mr. Booker told raucous supporters at the Robert Treat Hotel. “Newark, New Jersey has great days ahead.”

But he warned several times that progress would not come easily. Fiscally, he said, “We have the most challenging environment right now that we have seen in decades.”

Impressive as it was, the Booker team’s showing fell short of its clean sweep four years ago. In 2006, Mr. Booker won 72 percent of the vote, and his slate won all nine Council races.

On Tuesday, a Booker critic and former council member, Ras Baraka, won the South Ward seat, easily defeating the incumbent, Oscar S. James II, who was allied with the mayor. Another member of Mr. Booker’s slate, Charles A. Bell, the Central Ward councilman, was leading but did not have a majority, forcing a runoff against Darrin Sharif.

Another candidate who was seen as posing a threat to the mayor’s slate was John Sharpe James, son of the former mayor, Sharpe James, but the younger Mr. James failed in his bid for an at-large Council seat.

It remains to be seen whether Mr. Booker has a harder time dealing with the often-fractious Council than he did in his first term. Many of the mayor’s political alliances, including those with council members, are with former antagonists, and several of the council members have ambitions for higher office. The city also faces a budget deficit and declining state aid.

Mr. Booker, 41, is widely seen as a potential candidate for higher office, but the prospects of that will ride on his ability to govern the state’s largest city, a poor community known for political intrigue and shifting allegiances.

In 2002, Mr. Booker, then a council member, made his first run for mayor, narrowly losing to Sharpe James, who won his fifth four-year term. But in 2006, Mr. James opted not to run for re-election…….

More……..

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May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Crime, Government, Law, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Projections, TalkandPolitcs, Updates | , | 2 Comments

Talkandpolitcs…..Newark’s Corey Booker….Is re-Elected……

Newark city is voting today!

The story of incumbant Booker is still inspiring, from the infamuos “Street fight” documentary on the 2002 mayoral race, to his winning in ’06 and beating crime, strengthening schools and improving the budget in New Jerseys biggest city.

And March 2010 was the first murderfree month in Newark in 44 years.

The voting booth has just opened, but it seems like a walk-over for the incumbent this time, and the race have been neat and quiet – with Booker squashing the others with his $7.5m budget and Tv-ads.

Nonetheless – happy voting day for Newark!

More from Talkandpolitcs.

Update…..

Cory A. Booker easily won re-election as Newark’s mayor on Tuesday, and at least seven of his allies on the nine-member Municipal Council appeared headed to victory.

With about three-quarters of the precincts reporting, Mr. Booker had almost 60 percent of the vote in a field of four, while his nearest competitor, Clifford J. Minor, had about 35 percent.

“Newark is going to continue to rise,” Mr. Booker told raucous supporters at the Robert Treat Hotel. “Newark, New Jersey has great days ahead.”

But he warned several times that progress would not come easily. Fiscally, he said, “We have the most challenging environment right now that we have seen in decades.”

Impressive as it was, the Booker team’s showing fell short of its clean sweep four years ago. In 2006, Mr. Booker won 72 percent of the vote, and his slate won all nine Council races.

On Tuesday, a Booker critic and former council member, Ras Baraka, won the South Ward seat, easily defeating the incumbent, Oscar S. James II, who was allied with the mayor. Another member of Mr. Booker’s slate, Charles A. Bell, the Central Ward councilman, was leading but did not have a majority, forcing a runoff against Darrin Sharif.

Another candidate who was seen as posing a threat to the mayor’s slate was John Sharpe James, son of the former mayor, Sharpe James, but the younger Mr. James failed in his bid for an at-large Council seat.

It remains to be seen whether Mr. Booker has a harder time dealing with the often-fractious Council than he did in his first term. Many of the mayor’s political alliances, including those with council members, are with former antagonists, and several of the council members have ambitions for higher office. The city also faces a budget deficit and declining state aid.

Mr. Booker, 41, is widely seen as a potential candidate for higher office, but the prospects of that will ride on his ability to govern the state’s largest city, a poor community known for political intrigue and shifting allegiances.

In 2002, Mr. Booker, then a council member, made his first run for mayor, narrowly losing to Sharpe James, who won his fifth four-year term. But in 2006, Mr. James opted not to run for re-election…….

More……..

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Crime, Government, Law, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Projections, TalkandPolitcs, Updates | , | 2 Comments

The Zeigeist ( economic data ) for the week of May 11……

From the Atlantic Magazine……

Pollster.com Obama Average Job Approval
48.84%
Pollster.com Obama Favorability
54.2%
Pollster.com Right Direction / Wrong Track
34.9% / 56.8%
Pollster.com Congressional Approval
19.9%
National Federation of Independent Businesses Small Business Optimism Index
86.8 (down 1.4% from February)
ABC News/Washington Post Consumer Comfort Index
47 points below zero
U.S. Department of Labor Initial Weekly Jobless Claims
444,000 (down 141,000 since 1/20/09)
RealtyTrac Newly foreclosed properties in March
367,056
U.S. Department of Labor Unemployment
9.9%

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Economic Data (Zeitgeist), Government, Media, Politics, Polls, The Economy, Updates | , , | 1 Comment

Dancing with the Star's….. goes down another couple……

Niecy Nash and  Louis Van Amstel  have left…….

“You have molded this gorgeous clump of black clay into a dancer,” Niecy Nash said to pro Louis van Amstel at the start of Tuesday’sDancing With The Stars: The Results.

But Niecy was at the bottom of the celebrity pack going into the show.

Did she survive this week, just as she did last week, when Pamela Anderson was sent home in a surprising elimination?

No, Niecy was sent home. And the crowd let out a big groan at the news.

“I am a 40-year- old mother of three,” said the Reno 911 actress. “I got three C-sections on my belly! I was able to survive in this competition this long against some fantastic people. I cannot hula hoop with a Cheeriom and I’m one of the last women standing in this competition. I’ve had such a fantastic time living out my dream. I’m a happy girl.”

Heading to Monday’s semi-finals: Nicole Scherzinger and Derek Hough, Evan Lysacek and Anna Trebunskaya, Erin Andrews and Maks Chmerkovskiy, and Chad Ochocinco and Cheryl Burke.

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Entertainment, Media, Men, Music, PoliticalDog Calls, Updates, Women | , , , | 2 Comments

Dancing with the Star’s….. goes down another couple……

Niecy Nash and  Louis Van Amstel  have left…….

“You have molded this gorgeous clump of black clay into a dancer,” Niecy Nash said to pro Louis van Amstel at the start of Tuesday’sDancing With The Stars: The Results.

But Niecy was at the bottom of the celebrity pack going into the show.

Did she survive this week, just as she did last week, when Pamela Anderson was sent home in a surprising elimination?

No, Niecy was sent home. And the crowd let out a big groan at the news.

“I am a 40-year- old mother of three,” said the Reno 911 actress. “I got three C-sections on my belly! I was able to survive in this competition this long against some fantastic people. I cannot hula hoop with a Cheeriom and I’m one of the last women standing in this competition. I’ve had such a fantastic time living out my dream. I’m a happy girl.”

Heading to Monday’s semi-finals: Nicole Scherzinger and Derek Hough, Evan Lysacek and Anna Trebunskaya, Erin Andrews and Maks Chmerkovskiy, and Chad Ochocinco and Cheryl Burke.

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Entertainment, Media, Men, Music, PoliticalDog Calls, Updates, Women | , , , | 2 Comments

CD……Artur Davis is trying to do a 'Obama' in the race for Alabama Governor…….

ALAGOV_2SUB

Rep. Artur Davis, left, speaks with DeLon Charley after the unveiling of a historic marker at the Pettway Family Mercantile Store in Boykin, Ala.

(  This picture with the WSJ  piece below…… of course shows Davis with a Black Family )

Davis ……Who is Black…. is running to be the Democratic Governor of Alabama….

Barack Obama is the First Black President…..

Do you think means anything in Alabama?

Rep. Artur Davis, the front-runner for the Democratic nomination for governor of Alabama and the first major African-American contender for the job ever, is taking a cue from President Barack Obama’s strategy on race during his 2008 campaign: Don’t bring it up.

Since announcing his bid in February 2009, Mr. Davis has taken unprecedented steps to distance himself from the state’s black political establishment while trying to build more credibility with white independents and conservatives.

The 42-year-old four-term congressman from Birmingham voted against the president’s new health-care law—the only black Democrat in Congress to do so—and was called by some black leaders as a racial turncoat. He has gone out of his way to publicly snub three powerful black political organizations by refusing to sit for their endorsement screenings, drawing criticism that he is an opportunist in search of white votes. “The day has ended when these groups decide who wins the support of black voters in this state,” Mr. Davis said April 21.

In response, the Alabama New South Coalition, at its screening earlier this month, endorsed Mr. Davis’s white opponent, state Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks. The other two groups are expected to do the same.

The dispute illustrates the complexities that beset African-Americans seeking statewide office in the South, where, except for Virginia, no state has elected a black governor or senator since Reconstruction. Racial sensitivities lying beneath the surface of Southern politics can boil over even absent a black candidate. In the Alabama Republican gubernatorial contest, Tim James, who is white and the son of former Gov. Fob James, has ignited controversy recently with a commercial that condemns the administering of the state driver’s license test in foreign languages.

“This is Alabama,” Mr. James says in the ad. “We speak English. If you want to live here, learn it. We’re only giving that test in English if I’m governor.”

For the June 1 Democratic primary, a voter survey conducted at the end of March by Public Policy Polling, of Raleigh, N.C., showed Mr. Davis, a Harvard-educated former assistant U.S. attorney in Montgomery, leading Mr. Sparks 38% to 28%.

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, CD @ PolitcalDog, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Polls, Updates | , , , | 6 Comments

CD……Artur Davis is trying to do a ‘Obama’ in the race for Alabama Governor…….

ALAGOV_2SUB

Rep. Artur Davis, left, speaks with DeLon Charley after the unveiling of a historic marker at the Pettway Family Mercantile Store in Boykin, Ala.

(  This picture with the WSJ  piece below…… of course shows Davis with a Black Family )

Davis ……Who is Black…. is running to be the Democratic Governor of Alabama….

Barack Obama is the First Black President…..

Do you think means anything in Alabama?

Rep. Artur Davis, the front-runner for the Democratic nomination for governor of Alabama and the first major African-American contender for the job ever, is taking a cue from President Barack Obama’s strategy on race during his 2008 campaign: Don’t bring it up.

Since announcing his bid in February 2009, Mr. Davis has taken unprecedented steps to distance himself from the state’s black political establishment while trying to build more credibility with white independents and conservatives.

The 42-year-old four-term congressman from Birmingham voted against the president’s new health-care law—the only black Democrat in Congress to do so—and was called by some black leaders as a racial turncoat. He has gone out of his way to publicly snub three powerful black political organizations by refusing to sit for their endorsement screenings, drawing criticism that he is an opportunist in search of white votes. “The day has ended when these groups decide who wins the support of black voters in this state,” Mr. Davis said April 21.

In response, the Alabama New South Coalition, at its screening earlier this month, endorsed Mr. Davis’s white opponent, state Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks. The other two groups are expected to do the same.

The dispute illustrates the complexities that beset African-Americans seeking statewide office in the South, where, except for Virginia, no state has elected a black governor or senator since Reconstruction. Racial sensitivities lying beneath the surface of Southern politics can boil over even absent a black candidate. In the Alabama Republican gubernatorial contest, Tim James, who is white and the son of former Gov. Fob James, has ignited controversy recently with a commercial that condemns the administering of the state driver’s license test in foreign languages.

“This is Alabama,” Mr. James says in the ad. “We speak English. If you want to live here, learn it. We’re only giving that test in English if I’m governor.”

For the June 1 Democratic primary, a voter survey conducted at the end of March by Public Policy Polling, of Raleigh, N.C., showed Mr. Davis, a Harvard-educated former assistant U.S. attorney in Montgomery, leading Mr. Sparks 38% to 28%.

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, CD @ PolitcalDog, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Polls, Updates | , , , | 6 Comments

Daniel on the Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Primary Race and the Franklin & Marshall Keystone Poll….

PA-SEN

Two Polls out tomorrow morning and both will likely have Sestak ahead by around 5 Points.

Yesterday I said I wanted a Franklin & Marshall Keystone Poll for the PA-SEN Primary.

Well, I got my wish.

Washington Previews the F & M Poll:

Why Sestak might really pull it off

Tomorrow, a third poll will come out finding Joe Sestak is leading Arlen Specter in the Pennsylvania Dem primary. The poll, from Franklin & Marshall College, will mirror others showing Sestak ahead by around five points, the poll’s director confirms to me.

Anything can happen between now and next Tuesday. But Sestak might really pull it off.

Terry Madonna, the director of the Franklin & Marshall poll, just gave me an interesting overview of the race, explaining in a nutshell why Sestak could prevail, though he cautioned that a Specter win is still a very real possibility.

Madonna’s take: Dem primary voters haven’t voted for Specter for decades. Why would they start now?

Madonna pointed out that for most of the race, a huge bloc of Dem primary voters, perhaps as high as 40%, have been undecided. They are only focusing on the race just now, with both campaigns airing out their messages on TV.

“If they hadn’t agreed to vote for Specter after 29 years, why are they going to change in a month?” Madonna asks, in a reference to Specter’s long career as a Republican in the Senate.

In the home stretch, Specter is hitting Sestak for missing votes as a Congressman, and over criticism of his military record, while arguing that he’s delivered for the state and has the establishment on his side.

But Sestak is countering with a brutal attack on Specter’s many years of support for Republican positions and politicians. He’s using Specter’s own claim that he switched parties to win reelection to paint him as an opportunist. That plays well amid anti-incumbent, anti-Washington fervor.

What does Specter have to do to pull this out? Madonna says a lot of it turns on whether Specter can boost turnout among African American voters in Philadelphia, who are likely to support him because the Dem establishment, including Mayor Michael Nutter, is behind him. “Philly does not have exemplary turnout,” Madonna said.

Also, Specter has to hope that conservative Democrats in western Pennsylvania turn out in larger-than-expected numbers, Madonna added.

But tomorrow’s poll — coming after Rasmussen and Muhlenberg College polls both have Sestak ahead — is likely to show undecideds continuing to shift towards Sestak. “Underneath the establishment’s support lies a mass of voters who aren’t tied to any of this,” Madonna says. “They have swung overwhelmingly to Sestak.”

Again, this is a really tight race, and Specter could still win. But it’s hard to overstate how sharp a rebuke to the Dem establishment that wired Specter’s party switch a Sestak victory would represent.

Daniel G

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , | 6 Comments

Daniel…..PM Polling Summary for Tuesday, 11th May, 2010……..New York State…

Hello Folks!

Here is my PM Polling Summary for Tuesday, 11th May, 2010:

NY-GOV GOP Primary:

[ Lazio and Levy ]
Lazio  38 %  ;  Levy  22 %  ;  Paladino  13 %  (Marist College)

New York Governor:

Cuomo (D)  63 %  ;  Levy (R)  25 %  (Marist College)
Cuomo (D)  65 %  ;  Lazio (R)  25 %  (Marist College)
Cuomo (D)  67 %  ;  Paladino (R)  22 %  (Marist College)

NY-SEN Special GOP Primary:

DioGuardi  31 %  ;  Blakeman  13 %  ;  Malpass  12 %  (Marist College)

New York Senate Special:


Gillibrand (D)  50 %  ;  DioGuardi (R)  30 %  (Marist College)
Gillibrand (D)  52 %  ;  Blakeman (R)  28 %  (Marist College)
Gillibrand (D)  52 %  ;  Malpass (R)  28 %  (Marist College)

Gillibrand’s Job Approval is at a dismal 27 %, yet this crap Senator will still win Re-Election.

New York Senate Regular:

Schumer (D)  66 %  ;  Townsend (R)  27 %  (Marist College)

Schumer’s Approval also hovering around 50 %.

Note: Rasmussen Reports promised an Alaska Governor Poll in his Daily e-Mail. So far it hasn’t been released. The Alaska Governor Race will pit Incumbent Governor Sean Parnell (R) against `08 Congressional Candidate Ethan Berkowitz (D).

Daniel G.

Hey Daniel….Levy is in deep crap……
You’re right …..Gillibrand walks with this….
And Cuomo is 40% ahead right now!
The Big race in New York State may turn out to be the Democratic nomination for AG…….
I’ve been posting it……
The Dog……

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , | 1 Comment

Special Election Night Results Thread for Tuesday May 11th……West Virginia, Nebraska Primaries and and Georgia Special Election……

Daniel will  start here…and the Dog will arrive around 9:30 PM DST……

Todays Primaries:

West Virginia (Mountain State) Polls close at 7.30pm ET:

WV-1

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. Allan Mollohan (D)
State Senator Mike Oliverio (D)

Republican Primary

Cindy Hall (R)
Patty VanGilder-Levenson (R)
David McKinley (R)
Sarah Minear (R)
Tom Stark (R)
Mac Warner (R)

Note: I expect McKinley to prevail over his 5 Opponents.

November Match-Up for WV-2

U. S. Rep. Shelley Moore-Capito (R)
Virginia Lynch Graf (D)

WV-3

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. Nick Rahall (D)
Bruce Barilla (D)
Lee Bias (R)
Marty Gearheart (R)
Conrad Lucas (R)
Elliott “Spike” Maynard (R)

Note: I expect Meynard to prevail here.


Nebraska (Cornhusker State) Polls close at 9pm ET:

Nebraska Governor

Republican Primary

Incumbent Governor Dave Heineman (R)
Paul Anderson (R)
Christopher Geary (R)

Democratic Primary

No Primary here as Democrat Mark Lakers (D) running Unopposed

NE-1

Republican Primary

U. S. Rep. Jeff Fortenberry (R)
Ralph Bodie (R)
Dave Hunt (R)

Democratic Primary

Ivy Harper (D)
Stanley Krauter (D)
Jessica Lynn Turek (D)
Sherman Yates (D)

NE-2

Republican Primary

U. S. Rep Lee Terry (R)
Steven Laird (R)
Matt Sakalosky (R)

Democratic Primary

No Primary as State Senator Tom White (D) is running Unopposed.

NE-3

Republican Primary

U. S. Rep. Adrian Smith (R)
Dennis Parker (R)

Democratic Primary

No Primary as Chaplain Rebekah Davis (R) is running Unopposed.


Georgia Special Election GA-9

Cardiologist Chris Cates (R)
Former State Rep. Tom Graves (R)
Former State Sen. Lee Hawkins (R)
Retired Neurosurgeon Bert Loftman (R)
Former State Sen. Bill Stephens (R)
State Rep. Bobby Reese (R)
Chickamauga City Councilman Steve Tarvin (R)
Hall County Democratic Party Chairman Mike Freeman (D)
Marketing Exective Eugene Moon (Independent)

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , , | 72 Comments