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Daniel……Morning AM Polling Summary for Wednesday 12th May 2010: Pennsylvania…Pennsylvania….Pennsylvania and some other Polls …..

Hello Folks!

Here is my AM Polling Summary for today:

PA-SEN Democratic Primary:

Specter  44 %  ;  Sestak  42 %  (Quinnipiac University)

Specter’s lead is down here from 8 Points two weeks ago.

PA-SEN Democratic Primary:

Sestak  38 %  ;  Specter  36 %  (Franklin & Marshall)

PA-SEN Democratic Primary:

Sestak  45 %  ;  Specter  45 %  (Muhlenberg / Morning Call Tracker)

This RACE is a PURE TOSS-UP now with Sestak having the Mo.

Note: Research 2000 / DailyKos is supposed to release a Poll here tomorrow.

PA-GOV Democratic Primary:

Onorato  38 %  ;  Wagner  10 %  ;  Williams  9 %  ;  Hoeffel  8 %  (Quinnipiac University)

PA-GOV Democratic Primary:

Onorato  27 %  ;  Wagner  5 %  ;  Williams  5 %  ;  Hoeffel 4 %  (Franklin & Marshall)

PA-GOV Democratic Primary:

Onorato  37 %  ;  Williams  15 %  ;  Wagner  9 %  ;  Hoeffel  8 %  (Muhlenberg/Morning Call Tracker)

PA-12 Special Election:

Critz (D)  44 %  ;  Burns  38 %  (Susquehanna Polling & Research)

Massachusetts Governor:

Patrick (D)  45 %  ;  Baker (R)  31 %  ;  Cahill (I)  14 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Baker (R)  32 %  ;  Ross (D)  27 %  ;  Cahill (I)  16 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

Upcoming Polls:

PPP is supposed to release new Numbers on the North Carolina Senate Democratic Run-Off Election some time today.

A new WHAS-TV / Survey USA / Louisville Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll is set to been released at 5pm ET  (This will be probably the most interesting Survey of the Day besides the PA-SEN Polls)

Daniel G.

Ah, Daniel……No comment about Patrick extending his lead?

I remember something about the Mass Governor being in trouble?

Specter continues to be back and forth…..The undecides ?

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May 12, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , ,

19 Comments »

  1. Pollster.com

    Specter by 2,5 Points

    http://www.pollster.com/polls/pa/10-pa-sen-dempr-svse.php

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  2. Real Clear Politics

    Sestak by 1,2 Points

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_democratic_primary-1050.html

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  3. I am not surprised……

    I kept asking about the undecideds…..

    I know you are secretly for him to win!

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  4. More IMPORTANTLY

    TURNOUT and this could look ominous for Specter:

    Table 2. Turnout among Democrats
    Democratic
    Year Primary
    Turnout
    1992 47%
    1994 38%
    1996 23%
    1998 15%
    2000 20%
    2002 32%
    2004 21%
    2006 19%
    2008 55%
    Average 30%

    Look at 2004 and 2006. Specter needs at least 30 % Turnout to win and maybe EVEN more.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  5. The Turnout Table is from Franklin & Marshall.

    I’ll be out for an Hour or so.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  6. The Undecideds will break for Sestak most of the PA Pollsters saying james.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

    • That’s the decision point…

      Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  7. Ok that’s fine…but as your guy said yesterday….Do they vote for him?

    Or the other guy?

    My question is do you go with the horse you know that recently married in…….. or the new horse that’s from your family?

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  8. Catch you in a few…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  9. I’m back

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  10. It’s been dead here……

    I’m doing posts….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  11. We’re getting hits…views…just no one typing this afternoon….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  12. Update:

    New NBC NEWS/Wall Street Journal Poll out tonight at 6.30pm ET.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  13. Lead change in the Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary?

    Teasing the WHAS-TV Survey USA Poll.

    Sources telling me latest SUSA in the Bluegrass State will have State Attorney General Jack Conway ahead of Lt. Governor Dan Mongiardo by 3 Points.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  14. Interesting….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  15. james,

    That’s all unconfirmed. Be cautious although my Sources are usually right on those kind of Polls.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  16. Now confirmed Republican Primary Numbers:

    WHOOOOOA, Paul leads Grayson 49-31 in the latest WHAS-TV SUSA Poll. THAT IS OVER for Grayson.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

  17. My Sources didn’t get it quite right on the Dem Primary but came pretty, pretty close.

    Nonetheless the Dem. Primary is a DEAD HEAT with Mongiardo leading Conway 38-37.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 12, 2010 | Reply

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    Pingback by Tweets that mention Daniel……Morning AM Polling Summary for Wednesday 12th May 2010: Pennsylvania…Pennsylvania….Pennsylvania and some other Polls ….. « PoliticalDog101.com -- Topsy.com | May 12, 2010 | Reply


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