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Daniel…..Oregon Primaries: Dudley, Kitzhaber heading for Showdown in November in the Governors Race; Wyden likely will face Huffman in the Senate Race according to a new KATU-TV Survey USA Poll

Hello Folks!

Besides the 3 BIG States next Tuesday to hold Primaries there is also a fourth one who are holding a Primary: Oregon.

Here are the Results of a new KATU-TV / Survey USA Poll

Oregon Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Dudley  42 %
Alley  24 %
Sizemore  8 %
Lim  8 %
Colvin 1 %
Curtright 1 %
Forthan  1 %
Karr  1 %
Watkins  1 %
Undecided  14 %

Democratic Primary

Kitzhaber  59 %
Bradbury  25 %
Obrist  4 %
Undecided  12 %

Oregon Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Jim Huffman  20 %
Mark Stutzman  11 %
Keith Waldron  9 %
Robin Parker  6 %
G. Shane Dinkel  4 %
Loren Later  4 %
Walter Woodland  4 %
Undecided  43 %

Democratic Primary

Incumbent Senator Ron Wyden  80 %
Loren Hooker  9 %
Pavel Goberman  4 %
Undecided  8 %

Analysis:

7 Republicans Battle For Attention in Oregon Senate Primary:

8 days until votes are counted in statewide Oregon primary elections, well-known names are well-positioned in 3 of 4 contests polled by SurveyUSA exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland.

In the Republican primary for Oregon Governor, former Portland Trailblazer Chris Dudley leads a crowded field, receiving 42% of the vote in an election held today, 05/10/10. Businessman Allen Alley today gets 24%; 7 other candidates run in single digits. Dudley leads by more than 2:1 among men, but edges Alley by only 3 points among women. Alley does not lead among any subset of voters, and trails 3:1 among the 28% of Republican primary voters who say they have already returned their ballots. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released one month ago, Dudley and Alley have both gained ground as the number of undecided voters has fallen from 34% to 14%, but Dudley’s 18-point lead today is little changed from his 15-point lead one month ago.

In the Democratic primary for Governor of Oregon, former governor John Kitzhaber dominates a smaller field of candidates, getting 59% today and leading his nearest competitor, Bill Bradbury, former Secretary of State, by 34 points. Bradley gets 25% today, up from 16% one month ago; Kitzhaber is up 4 points over the past month. Bradbury is competitive among the youngest voters and conservative Democrats, and holds a small lead among Hispanics.

In the Democratic primary for United States Senator from Oregon, incumbent Ron Wyden, first elected in a 1996 special election, easily defeats two opponents, taking 80% of the vote.

Which Republican will face Wyden in November? With 8 days left to return ballots, 43% of voters are undecided, making any outcome possible. Today, Lewis & Clark law professor Jim Huffman gets 20% of the vote; Realtor Tom Stutzman gets 11%. Farmer and truck driver Keith Waldron gets 9%; businesswoman Robin Parker gets 6%; 3 other candidates each get 4% of the vote. Huffman finishes first among both men and women, and leads by more than 2:1 among voters over age 50. Stutzman narrowly edges Huffman among voters age 18-49. Among those who have already returned ballots, Huffman gets 30%, Stutzman 17%. Among those who have not yet returned ballots, Huffman gets 16%, Stutzman 9%. Huffman leads by 5 points in the Portland area, by 14 in the rest of Oregon.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,200 Oregon adults 05/07/10 through 05/09/10. Of them, 1,850 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 449 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already returned ballots or be likely to vote in the Republican primary; 633 were determined to have returned ballots or be likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is term-limited to two consecutive terms and is not running for re-election. Oregon began mailing ballots on April 30; votes will be counted on May 18.

Poll Link & Crosstabs for the Oregon 1st District Primary:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bf914d6b-356d-423b-a092-1c679d5f633c

KATU-TV also released Results two Days later of the Oregon 1st Congressional District Primary. Here they are:

Oregon 1st Congressional District

Republican Primary

Rob Cornilles  31 %
John Kuzmanich  19 %
Doug Keller  13 %
Stephen Brodhead  3 %
Undecided  34 %

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. David Wu  75 %
David Robinson  16 %
Undecided  10 %

Analysis:

In Oregon’s 1st Congressional District, Cornilles Ahead in GOP Primary Fight to Face Democrat Wu: In A Republican Primary for US House of Representatives in Oregon’s 1st Congressional District today, 05/12/10, 2 weeks after voting began, businessman Rob Cornilles defeats mortgage broker John Kuzmanich 31% to 19%, according to this exclusive KATU-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Retired Navy officer Doug Keller gets 13%. Kuzmanich ties Cornilles among Republicans who are pro-choice, but trails among other groups. Keller is strong among pro-choice voters. With 34% undecided, any outcome is possible when ballots are opened in 6 days.

Poll Link & Crosstabs for the Oregon 1st District Primary:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bf914d6b-356d-423b-a092-1c679d5f633c

In the Democratic Primary, incumbent David Wu defeats Marine Corps veteran David Robinson 5:1. Wu is seeking his 7th term; in 2008, he faced no Republican opponent and was re-elected with 72% of the vote.

Filtering: 1,600 registered voters were interviewed by SurveyUSA 05/09/10 through 05/11/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 468 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Republican primary; 636 were determined to be likely to vote in the Democratic primary. Voting began 04/30/10. 1 in 3 likely voters tell SurveyUSA they have already returned a ballot.

Daniel G.

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May 13, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , ,

9 Comments »

  1. Poll Link & Crosstabs for the OR-GOV, OR-SEN Primaries:

    http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=df7ad947-6d9f-4f4e-8763-49679c436bd1

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 13, 2010 | Reply

  2. Poll Link & Crosstabs for the Oregon 1st District Primary:

    http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bf914d6b-356d-423b-a092-1c679d5f633c

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 13, 2010 | Reply

  3. done, sir!

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 13, 2010 | Reply

  4. […] Daniel…..Oregon Primaries: Dudley, Kitzhaber heading for Showdown in November in the Governors… […]

    Pingback by Election Endorsements – For Governor: Kitzhaber and Alley | personal injury lawyers | May 14, 2010 | Reply

  5. […] Daniel…..Oregon Primaries: Dudley, Kitzhaber heading for Showdown in November in the Governors… […]

    Pingback by Jim Huffman front-runner in Republican primary race to challenge Sen. Ron Wyden | personal injury lawyers | May 16, 2010 | Reply

    • I will NEVER vote to put another lawyer in the White House or in a State government position..and there is word out that Huffman is a RINO! NO THANKS!

      Comment by Elisafaith13 | May 19, 2010 | Reply

  6. Kitzhaber is Oregon’s next governor in November.

    Comment by Conservative Democrat | May 17, 2010 | Reply

  7. The Poll for U.S. Senator [Republican Primary] proved to be off quite a bit…Loren Later didn’t campaign but a week or two [and had to withdraw due to Work conflicts] but ended up with 15+% of the votes..second to Jim Huffman…I hear he WILL run again in the next 2-4 years! I hope so. He would be good for Oregon.

    Comment by Elisafaith13 | May 19, 2010 | Reply

  8. You’ll have to wait

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 19, 2010 | Reply


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