Jamesb101.com

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Daniel……A look back at the 2008 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary and what could it mean for Tuesdays Race between Specter and Sestak

Hello Folks!
[ Sestak and Specter ]
Hello Folks!

I decided to take a deeper look at the PA-SEN Race between Specter and Sestak,  and the best way to look at potential Outcomes is to look back at the 2008 Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary between Obama and Clinton.

Specter has huge support in the Philadelphia Area.

However in 2008 Obama clobbered Clinton in Philadephia by a 63-35 margin; Yet he still lost the State by 10 Points 55-45.

Link Map from a CNN Elections Results Page….

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/county/#PADEMMAPprimary

( As you can see if you hold your Mouse over the Counties in the Map Obama won Philly 65-35 and still lost the State. )

Turnout should be much, much lighter on Tuesday.
And here is the CNN Exit Poll for PA:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#PADEM


Daniel G.

We will see……

This IS close!

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May 14, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , ,

9 Comments »

  1. Here is the Map:

    http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/county/#PADEMMAPprimary

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 14, 2010 | Reply

  2. And here is the CNN Exit Poll for PA:

    http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/epolls/index.html#PADEM

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 14, 2010 | Reply

  3. As you can see if you hold your Mouse over the Counties in the Map Obama won Philly 65-35 and still lost the State.

    Also Turnout will be much, much lighter on Tuesday.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 14, 2010 | Reply

  4. And yes “The Dog” is right: The Undecideds will decide this Race.

    The Problem for Specter is turnout. Sestak is from the Philly Suburbs. His District borders Philadelphia County.

    Should be fun on Tuesday.

    Meanwhile Sestak is now within half a Percentage Point on Pollster.com.

    http://www.pollster.com/polls/pa/10-pa-sen-dempr-svse.php

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 14, 2010 | Reply

  5. sestak by 2 to 4 points!!!! either 51/49 to 52/48 in his favor. GO SESTAK!!!

    Comment by Terry Green | May 15, 2010 | Reply

  6. To be fair james,

    I think Terry Green is right here. Specter looks like will be ousted.

    Meanwhile the latest Muhlenberg Tracker pegged the Race at 44-43 Specter. Sestak however gained a Point since yesterday.

    This is indredible. Pollster has now nearly a complete TIE in their Average:

    Specter 42,9 %
    Sestak 42,8 %

    http://www.pollster.com/polls/pa/10-pa-sen-dempr-svse.php

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 15, 2010 | Reply

    • Wait……

      My point is the leans seem to be going to Sestak…

      The race is a tie right now……

      Comment by jamesb101 | May 15, 2010 | Reply

  7. Tight…but the leans are to Sestak…

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 15, 2010 | Reply

  8. […] Daniel……A look back at the 2008 Pennsylvania Democratic … […]

    Pingback by Is David Duke the Tea Party candidate for 2012? | Tea | June 2, 2010 | Reply


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