Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead Opponents in Governor and Senate Races according to a new Survey USA Poll

Hello Folks and Good Morning!

Survey USA, usually one of the best Pollsters in the Business seems to be a little bit erractic these Days especially when it comes to the “Golden State” Primaries. Whitman goes from + 2 to + 27 in two weeks and Fiorina goes from down 11 to be up 23, a 34-Point Swing.

KABC-TV / KPIX-TV / KGTV-TV / KFSN-TV Survey USA Poll

CA Republicans Whitman & Fiorina Surge; Air Goes Out of Poizner Statehouse Balloon; Campbell’s Train to DC Stalls: California’s Republican primary contests for Governor and US Senator have sea-sawed, according to new SurveyUSA polling conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.

California Governor

Republican Primary

Meg Whitman  54 %
Steve Poizner  27 %
6 Minor Candidates combining for  10 %
Undecided  9 %

Analysis:

In the Republican primary for Governor, Meg Whitman has re-captured momentum she appeared to lose earlier this month, and today leads Steve Poizner 2:1, with 1 in 6 likely voters having already cast a ballot. SurveyUSA’s tracking graphs display a pronounced bow-tie, exemplified by, but not limited to, male voters, where Whitman went from 51% support on 04/22/10 to 37% support on 05/10/10 to 55% support today 05/24/10. Poizner’s angle of support is inverted, from 28% on 04/22/10 to 41% on 05/10/10 to 28% today 05/24/10. Almost identical sea-sawing is evident among gun owners and among likely voters in greater Los Angeles.

Democratic Primary

Jerry Brown  70 %
Richard Aguirre  4 %
Chuck Pineda Jr.  4 %
4 Minor Candidates combined for  7 %
Undecided  14 %

Analysis:

In the Democratic primary for CA Governor, Jerry Brown coasts with 70% of the vote. 6 other Democrats combined get 15% of the vote. Brown served as California’s 34th Governor, elected in 1974 and re-elected in 1978. Incumbent Governor Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger is term limited; the state’s term limit law does not apply to terms served before 1990, allowing Brown to run for the office again.

California Senate

Republican Primary

Carly Fiorina  46 %
Tom Campbell  23 %
Chuck DeVore  14 %
Tim Kalemkarian  4 %
Al Ramirez  2 %
Undecided  11 %

Analysis:

In the Republican primary for US Senator, support for former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina is up sharply in the past 2 weeks, from 24% on 05/10/10 to 46% today 05/24/10. Fiorina’s support has more than doubled amongwomenseniorsHispanics, the less educated, and in the Inland Empire. During these 2 weeks, Former Congressman Tom Campbell’s support dropped 12 points, from 35% on 05/10/10 to 23% today 05/24/10.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,700 California adults 05/21/10 through 05/23/10. Of them, 2,311 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 612 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 06/08/10 Republican Primary; 7

Daniel G.

Advertisements

May 25, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , ,

8 Comments »

  1. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead … […]

    Pingback by Lessons of primaries: Dazed and confused? | online car insurance | May 25, 2010 | Reply

  2. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead … […]

    Pingback by ‘Establishment’ candidates take hit in U.S. primaries | Tea | May 25, 2010 | Reply

  3. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead Opponents &#1110&#1495 Govern… […]

    Pingback by Addiction Treatment Centers - Jonathan Rhys Meyers is back in rehab | May 26, 2010 | Reply

  4. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead Opponents &#1110&#1495 Govern… […]

    Pingback by TGIF: Weekend events in Southern California | Pressure Cooker Accessories | May 26, 2010 | Reply

  5. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead Opponents in Governor and Sen… […]

    Pingback by Pricedoc.com Lets Users Bid On Medical Procedures | cosmetic | Beauty | cosmetic surgery | May 26, 2010 | Reply

  6. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead … […]

    Pingback by Two Races Rumble this Primary | Tea | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  7. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead … […]

    Pingback by Fire Officials Urge Residents To Prepare For Wildfire Season | Custom made suit | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  8. […] Daniel……California Primaries: Whitman, Fiorina, Brown lead Opponents &#1110&#1495 Govern… […]

    Pingback by Beach Real Estate - North Myrtle Beach firefighters learn wildfire skills | May 27, 2010 | Reply


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: