commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Daniel…..Arkansas Senate Democratic Run-Off: Halter leads Lincoln by 3 Points, runs better against Republican John Boozman (R-AR)

Hello Folks!

First Senator Robert “Bob” Bennett (R-UT) in Utah, then U. S. Rep. Alan B. Mollohan (D-WV 1) in West Virginia and after that Senator Arlen Specter (D-PA) in Pennsylvania.

Will Incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln (D-AR) be next to lose the Party Nomination for November. A new Survey suggests she’s in MAJOR, MAJOR Trouble. More importantly for her Opponent: He runs clearly better against the Republican Nominee, U. S. Rep. John N. Boozman (R-AR)

Research 2000 / Daily Kos Survey

Arkansas Senate

Democratic Primary Run-Off Election

Arkansas Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter  47 %
Incumbent Senator Blanche Lambert Lincoln  44 %
Undecided  9 %

KOS Write-Up:

Lincoln seems stuck  in the mid 40s, as she has for weeks. Halter scooped up all the undecideds during the first round primary, and continues that trend in the runoff period. All the negative ads from all sides continue to do little to dent both candidates’ favorability ratings.

There is a huge gender gap, with Halter winning women 51-39, while Lincoln wins men 49-43. African Americans continue to poll strongly for Halter, and he wins this key demographic 58-28. Lincoln has a slight edge among white voters, 47-45.

General Election

U. S. Rep. John N. Boozman (R)  58 %
Incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln (D)  38 %
Undecided  4 %

U. S. Rep. John N. Boozman (R)  53 %
Arkansas Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter (D)  42 %
Undecided  5 %


KOS has this Write-Up:

Boozman got a sizable victory boost, making big favorability gains among Republicans and Independents. If Lincoln wins, this seat is a guaranteed goner. No way she makes up that ground as an incumbent in a red state in an anti-incumbent year. She’s dead, dead, dead. If Halter wins, he should get his own boost, but he’ll certainly start the race as the underdog.

Lucky for him, he’ll be the outsider running against a 10-year DC entrenched incumbent. That’s not a bad place to be in 2010.

Daniel G.

Let us all remember Daniel has been harsh on DailyKos when it’s conveient…..Let us also remember DaiyKos IS a liberal Democratic Blog…..4% between  Halter and Lincoln…….You do the math people….


May 27, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , ,


  1. Really amazing: All of the sudden The Dog backs Blue Dogs. He is really confused, is he?

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  2. I’m always confused……

    He, he, he……

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

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