Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Larry Sabado agrees with the Dog…..The House is likeley to still have a Democratic majority next January….

I have said this to Daniel all along……The Democratic loses in the House will NOT rise above 30ish….

Nancy Pelosi will keep her job as Speaker of the House come January…..

Apparently….Larry Sabado’s Crystal Ball agree’s with the Dog….

Like many beleaguered sports fans, as the calendar turned to 2010, Republicans across the country were conjuring up the same thought: “This is the year!” After disastrous House elections in 2006 and 2008, Republicans dropped from their high-water mark of 232 House seats—their largest total since 1949—to just 178—their lowest total in a decade and a half. This precipitous decline brought considerable frustration to the new minority party. 2010 appeared to offer the chance for historic rebirth—and in many ways it still does.

The real question of this midterm election is not whether a Republican tide is imminent, but how high it will be. From 1938 onwards, in only two of eighteen midterm elections (1998 and 2002) has the party shut out of the White House failed to gain House seats. With so many seats to defend, and dozens of them in Republican-leaning districts, Democrats have obvious, substantial disadvantages this year. However, the sizeable Democratic majority in Congress is not only a sign of opportunity for the GOP but a bulwark for Democrats. Even after winning a House special election in Hawaii’s 1st District to pick up a new seat last week, Republicans still need a net gain of 39 seats this November to retake the House majority. And the Hawaii seat is shaky indeed for the GOP.

Unlike some analysts, we have never once predicted that Republicans would win enough new House seats to take control of the chamber. They may well do so in November due to the factors with which we’re all familiar (a bad economy, sagging presidential popularity, public concern over spending and debt, and so on). But in our eyes, there has been and still is insufficient data to suggest an impending turnover……

More…..

Advertisements

May 27, 2010 - Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates | , ,

17 Comments »

  1. You forget one thing my dear friend. Since the latest Update Republican Gains rose from + 27 to + 32.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  2. No I didn’t…

    It IS still months from the election…and for a while we didn’t know who was gonna drop out next!

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

    • There maybe still some people on the fence james.

      You’ll lose the House. October hasn’t even begun and you’re down 32. GIVE UP MAN.

      Comment by Daniel G. | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  3. He, he, he……

    Wait…..Let me see?…..Who was talking about 40….no ….50 seats!

    Give it up???

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  4. james,

    I’ll trash you down. Just wait until the Primaries are over. I will throw punches at you and your liberal friends like Scott P, Terry Green, etc.

    I’ll get very personal. It’ll be like hell when it comes to Politics here.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  5. Relax…….

    We do it…At least I do it, for the fun!

    You win some….

    You lose some….

    I can’t get too worked up….

    After all…

    They’re just politicians

    Right?

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  6. Most of the stuff they do isn’t gonna touch me in anyway shape …or form…..

    Why would you get personal with me or even Terry or Scott?

    We all like you……

    And we look out for each other…

    Those politician’s….. Daniel….would quit you in a heartbeat for a vote…..

    Remember who your friends are…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  7. The parties may be different and the issues….. maybe also….

    But we have be talking to each other for a long time…..

    Me, you, Terry, Scott, TPL and everyone else….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  8. Loosen up!

    Enjoy the ride!

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  9. I would trash you well just because you are a Democrat. Therefore I put you in the same Box like the White House and Congress Dems.

    james,

    This Country needed Change and the President hasn’t given us change as he promised.

    Also, you can’t call Terry my friend. NEVER do that again.

    Comment by Daniel G. | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  10. Okay…..You ARE serious today…….

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  11. Ah you left me out Daniel?

    Come on boy get it on!

    Yihee!

    Memo to james

    Youre gonna have to do more posts

    This Right Wing loon is about to freak out

    Hell be gone soon

    Comment by My Name Is jack | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  12. Daniel will be alright…

    The Dog just moves along…..

    One day at a time…..

    One bone at a time…..

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  13. Daniel G is just repeatin’ the lines of his heroes Beck, Limbaugh, Hannity, Coulter, etc. that there is TOO MUCH civility between Republicans and us evil
    librul Demmycrats!

    Hell if you listen to these guys the problem is that conservatives even talk to anyone who isn’t conservative at all.

    If their hero Ronnie Reagan were still alive what would they say about his friendship with hated librul Tip O’Neill?

    Of course with every thing else about the Gipper they believe what they want to believe. That he never raised taxes, he wasn’t a big spender, he went to church every Sunday, etc.

    Comment by Scott P | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  14. Scott…. the Dog is here to continue where Ron left …

    Thanks guys for your help!…

    The strength of this place is the different views!

    Comment by jamesb101 | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  15. ou forget one thing my dear friend.
    ——————

    Never underestimate the OTHER PERSON desire for wins

    On computers across the nation live people that are VERY eager about this election

    The DEMOCRATS have an edge.. because they have the MEDIA in their pocket

    Comment by Timothy Leal | May 27, 2010 | Reply

  16. […] Larry Sabado agrees with the Dog…..The House is likeley to still … […]

    Pingback by Navigating Health Plans After College | Health | safety | insurance | June 6, 2010 | Reply


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: