It can’t be fun these days being the Democratic Speaker of the House….
The media is screaming your party is gonna lose anything from 5 to 60 seats…
You could be just about to start flying coach and carrying your own bags…
You have to start driving yourself around and watching your back…
And other House members won’t be returning your calls…..
And you’re gonna be asked a million times….
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (Calif.) dismissed Democratic members who have distanced themselves from her this election cycle, explaining that she just wants them to win.
Pelosi brushed off the handful of Democratic lawmakers and candidates who have run ads criticizing her, or who have not committed to supporting her as Democratic leader in the next Congress.
“We’re very diverse in opinion, gender, generation, geography, philosophy, and the rest House Democratic Congress, and some members did not vote for some of the bills, and that’s their record, and that’s what they go out and say,” Pelosi said in an interview on PBS Newshour. “I just want them to win.”
Pelosi has suffered from negative approval ratings during her tenure as speaker. A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll released this week found that she is still viewed more negatively than her would-be successor if Republicans win back the House, Minority Leader John Boehner (R-Ohio)
Never a good sign: California gubernatorial candidate Meg Whitman (R) said she is prepared to take a polygraph test to prove that she was “really stunned” to learn just last year that her housekeeper was an undocumented worker, CNN reports.
Politicalwire Quickies….Maryland Gov race, Dem’s polling better, OH Gov race close, GOP Senate numbers, The Economy stupid…
A new Washington Post poll in Maryland finds Gov. Martin O’Malley (D) leading former Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R) in the race for governor, 52% to 41%.
In May, the race was tied at 47%.
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll “shows that the battle for control of Congress has tightened, as key Democratic-leaning demographic groups are expressing more enthusiasm about the upcoming midterms.”
Among likely voters, Republicans now hold a three-point lead in the generic-ballot test for control of Congress, 46% to 43%, down from their nine-point lead last month. Among registered voters are split evenly, 44% to 44%.
The pollsters “attribute the tightening to increased enthusiasm for the upcoming midterms by African Americans (who saw a six-point gain in high interest) and Hispanics (who saw an 11-point gain). But young voters, who helped fuel Obama’s presidential victory in 2008, are now sitting on the sidelines. Just 35 percent of those ages 18-34 are enthusiastic about the election in November, versus 65 percent of seniors who say that.”
A new Reuters/Ipsos poll in Ohio finds Gov. Ted Strickland (D) has pulled into a virtual dead heat with challenger John Kasich (R).
Kasich leads by just one point among likely voters, 47% to 46%, after holding a 9-point edge in August.
A new Fox News poll also shows Kasich slipping and has him leading by just two points, 45% to 43%.
Update: A new New York Times/CBS News poll shows Kasich with a 43% to 42%.
The latest polls from Fox News show only good news for Republicans in key U.S. Senate races around the country:
In Colorado, Ken Buck (R) leads Sen. Michael Bennet (D), 47% to 43%.
In Wisconsin, Ron Johnson (R) leads Sen. Russ Feingold (D), 52% to 44%.
In Washington, Sen. Patty Murray (D) edges Dino Rossi (R), 48% to 47%.
In Illinois, Mark Kirk (R) edges Alexi Giannoulias (D), 42% to 40%.
In Ohio, Rob Portman (R) leads Lee Fisher (D), 50% to 37%.
Tom Jensen sums up the political problem for Democrats: “On our last national poll 49% of respondents said the economy had gotten worse since Barack Obama became President. The folks who thought the economy had gotten worse who had already decided how to vote in November are going Republican by a 92% to 8% margin.”
If even half this is true???…..
From Jed Lewison @Dailykos……
How bankrupt is the GOP idea machine? So bankrupt that even though they are challenging the governing party during worst economy since the Great Depression, the only way they think they can win is by telling a bunch of lies. FactCheck.org:
FactChecking ‘The Pledge’: Republicans’ “Pledge to America” falls short on some of its facts.
As FactCheck.org reports:
- Even though in 2010 private sector employment has grown by 763,000 jobs and public sector employment has shrunk, Republicans falsely claim the exact opposite, saying private sector payrolls have shrunk while public sector employment has grown.Even though jobless claims are down eight percent from the trough of the recession and continue to drop, Republicans falsely say they continue to soar.
- Even though their claim is completely without factual basis, Republicans falsely claim that the IRS is hiring an army of 16,500 IRS agents to investigate Americans…..
It’s about time!
Now if the feeling can spread……
This would help the Democrats ….
Democrats across America can hope that California is a harbinger of things to come. Because if there is one clearly discernible trend towards the Democrats in the 2010 midterms, it can be found in the Golden State.
Consider the Senate race between incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer and GOP challenger Carly Fiorina:
Boxer has pulled into a narrow lead in recent weeks, a fact confirmed even by Rasmussen and SurveyUSA, two pollsters that have been quite bullish on GOP prospects this cycle. In August, the four polls of the race split evenly between Boxer and her challenger. In September, Boxer has led in the last eight polls released on the contest, creeping into the 50s in this weekend’s Los Angeles Times poll, which had her up by nine.
What’s going on here? Well, it could be any combination of three things:
- Recalcitrant Democrats might finally be coming home. Tom Jensen at PPP noted when they released their poll (PDF file) this month that the enthusiasm gap in California is not as acute as they have seen it elsewhere. The gap between the 2008 vote margin (+25 Obama) and the current sample by PPP (+21 Obama) was pretty minimal.
- Boxer always seems to close well. It is an article of faith among California Democrats that Boxer does better on Election Day than the polls would seem to predict. I checked out that theorem back in June, and found that (in 2004, at least) that was precisely the case.
- Boxer has been on the air in the second half of the month with a brutally effective ad regarding Fiorina’s tenure at HP:
A new Boston Globe poll in Massachusetts finds Charlie Baker (R) edging Gov. Deval Patrick (D) in the race for governor, 35% to 34%, with Tim Cahill (I) at 11% and Jill Stein (G) at 4%.
“The poll indicates that voter turnout on Election Day will be key. The current trend favors Baker, because Republicans are much more enthusiastic about the election than Democrats. Some 78 percent of likely GOP voters say they are excited about the race, compared with only 37 percent of likely Democratic voters.”
Said pollster Andrew Smith: “The energy in this election is certainly on the Republican side. That spells trouble for Patrick.”
Weekly Standard: “John Thune is likely to run for president in 2012. If he wins the nomination, it will be because he is an exceptionally skilled retail politician who can communicate a kind of midwestern, common sense conservatism that is ascendant in reaction to liberal profligacy… It also helps that he’s cultivated the nationwide donor base that gave him $14.5 million to defeat Tom Daschle in 2004. And that South Dakota borders Iowa. And that he’s good on television. And that he’s a devout Christian who can quote Scripture without seeming to proselytize.”
“But there are many obstacles. He has virtually no national profile. He worked briefly as a lobbyist. He voted for TARP. He is a defender of earmarks. He would be running against Washington from Washington.”
Was that a mistake?
Or done on purpose?
A Political Wire reader spent time looking at the photos included in the GOP’s Pledge to America:
“I counted 42 photos with people in them, and in only two are there African-Americans — and they’re tiny specks in a much larger group, barely visible. There are maybe two identifiable people of Asian descent and no one who might be considered Latino. Basically almost all whites in the Pledge, hundreds of them, with barely any noticeable minorities. Most telling is the large auditorium featured on page 12 — a crowd of maybe 300 and only if you look hard toward the back do you see someone who might be African American.”
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