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commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Japan Update…..3/15/11

From BBC….

Radiation levels have fallen at Japan’s earthquake-stricken Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, the government says.

The levels had spiked to harmful levels after a fire and a third explosion at the site.

Weather reports say winds are blowing radiation from the plant, on Japan’s north-east coast, over the Pacific.ce.

Friday afternoon’s earthquake was the strongest in Japan since records began to be kept. It hit the north-east of the main island of Honshu and triggered a powerful tsunami that devastated dozens of coastal communities.Further strong aftershocks – one of 6.1-magnitude centred south-west of Tokyo – continue to rock the country.

The latest official death toll from the quake and tsunami stands at more than 3,000 – but thousands of people are missing and it is feared at least 10,000 may have been killed.

More than 500,000 people have been made homeless.

The government has deployed 100,000 troops to lead the aid….

More…..

This from Politicaldog101…

 

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March 15, 2011 Posted by | Breaking News, Ecology, Government, Health, Media, Military, Projections, The Economy, Updates, Weather | , , , | Leave a comment

Kyra Phillips and John Roberts are the proud parents of Twins!

Kyra Phillips and John Roberts welcome twins

Kyra Phillips and John Roberts welcome twins

Double the congratulations for CNN’s Kyra Phillips and fiancé John Roberts – the couple welcomed both a boy and a girl into their family right aftermidnight on Tuesday, March 15

The little ones are named Sage Ann and Kellan Clay, with Sage arriving at 12:03 a.m. and Kellan making a debut two minutes after.

“Sage came out with her arms open wide ready for a hug,” Phillips said in a statement. “Kellan came out feisty – ready to conquer the world!”

Phillips continued, “It doesn’t get much better than that. For John and me, we now have everything we could ask for…..

More….

Politicaldog101.Com

 

March 15, 2011 Posted by | Breaking News, Entertainment, Family, Health, Media, Men, Updates, Women | , , , , , | Leave a comment

Nate Silver joins the Ohio State NCAA win crowd….

How We Made Our N.C.A.A. Picks

By NATE SILVER

I participated in my first N.C.A.A. tournament pool in 1992 when, as a 14-year-old, I correctly predicted sixth-seeded Michigan to reach the Final Four.

I don’t particularly remember what went into the prediction, other than that the pool offered some ridiculous bonus for picking lower seeds — and also, since I grew up in East Lansing, Mich., I could be pretty sure that nobody else would be willing to go all-in on the team from Ann Arbor. I’ve never been asked to return the 75 “units” I took in for finishing first, despite the fact that Michigan’s Fab Five had to forfeit its wins for recruiting violations.

This year, we’ve decided to do something a bit more scientific, analyzing the results for all tournament games since 2003 (a total of 512 games) and evaluating which factors best predicted success. Our forecast is here.

The goal is to have a system that makes good statistical sense and also makes decent basketball sense, as opposed to identifying a bunch of spurious correlations. There’s no Da Vinci code for winning the tournament; it’s just a matter of playing good basketball.

Let me give you an overview of the system; there’s more elaboration down below for those interested in the gory details.

The Simple Version

– First, we create a power rating for each team. The power rating is an aggregation of four computer ratings and two human ratings, all of which have performed well at predicting tournament games in the past:

Objective (computer) ratings:

a) Jeff Sagarin “predictor” ratings;
b) Ken Pomeroy Pythagorean ratings;
c) Joel Sokol LRMC rankings;
d) Sonny Moore power ratings.

Read more…

This From Polticaldog101…

 

March 15, 2011 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Entertainment, Media, Men, Polls, Projections, Sports, Updates | , , | Leave a comment