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Daniel…..California Senate: Another Field Poll SHOCKER; CA-SEN Race now a Toss-Up; Campbell edges ahead of Boxer; Campbell also ahead in the GOP Primary by 6 Points…..

Hello Dog!

One Day after Field released their Governor Polling showing Whitman ahead of Brown by 3 Points they now have Numbers today for the Senate Race showing former U. S. Rep. Tom Campbell (R-CA) edging out Democratic Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D-CA). Campbell also leads the Republican Primrary by 6 Points over former HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R-CA).

Field Research Corporation Survey

California Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Former U. S. Rep. Tom Campbell  28 %
Former HP CEO Carly Fiorina  22 %
State Senator Chuck DeVore  9 %
Undecided  41 %

General Election


Former U. S. Rep. Tom Campbell (R)  44 %
Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  43 %
Undecided  13 %

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  45 %
Former HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R)  44 %
Undecided  11 %

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  45 %
State Senator Chuck DeVore (R)  41 %
Undecided  14 %

Major Candidates Websites:

http://barbaraboxer.com/
http://www.campbell.org/
http://www.carlyforcalifornia.com/
http://www.chuckdevore.com/n/

Full Results of the Field Poll including Candidates Favorables can be found here:

http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/

Obama coming to CA to stump for Boxer

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0310/34606.html


Analysis:

The CA-SEN Race is now a TOSS-UP. If we said to Democrats a year ago “Hey, we can make CA-SEN competitive” we would have been called STUPID. In the last 4 Polls Campbell and Boxer are within 4 Points of each other. I expect some of the Political Handicappers in DC to move this Race into Toss-Up.

The Real Clear Politics Average shows Boxer ahead by 2,2 Points. I think that’s close enough to move it. The Pollster.com Average has similar findings.

Guess what who is coming: Yes, the President. While the Dog will once again hail his vist I’m sceptical this will help the Incumbent. Presidential Visits to California are RARE when it comes to Elections. It’s usually not a good sign if the Democratic has to come for the Rescue in a Deep Blue State.

Daniel G.

He, he, he…..we have eight months to go…Obama usually goes to Cali to raise money…..they all do….

I also don’t like Boxer…..

The Dog

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March 18, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , , | 9 Comments

Daniel…..California Governor: POLL SHOCKER; Whitman surges ahead of Brown…..

Hello Dog!

Well, what a POLL SHOCKER this morning. This really took me offguard. A new Statewide Survey in the Golden State shows former Ebay CEO Meg Whitman (R-CA) has surged ahead of former Governor Jerry Brown (D-CA). Folks, this isn’t just a usual Poll. This is Field Poll, the most reliable Poll in the State of California.

Field in California is what the NBC News / WSJ Poll is nationally.

Field Polling Research Survey

California Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Former EBAY CEO Meg Whitman  63 %
State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner  14 %
Undecided  23 %

General Election


Former EBAY CEO Meg Whitman (R)  46 %
Former CA Governor Jerry Brown (D)  43 %
Undecided  11 %

Former CA Governor Jerry Brown (D)  49 %
State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner (R)  32 %
Undecided  19 %

Major Candidates Websites:

http://www.jerrybrown.org/
http://www.megwhitman.com/
http://www.stevepoizner.com/

Full Results of the Field Poll can be found here:

http://field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/

Note to Readers: The Senate Portion of the Field Poll is expected to be released tomorrow.

Analysis:

Whitman leading Brown could spell massive trouble for Democrats not just in California but also nationally. It also could spell huge trouble for Senator Barbara Boxer (D-CA). We’ll see tomorrow.

Daniel G.

While these numbers are indeed good for Whitman…we’re still eigth months out…..Brown is not out of this by a long shot…but he’s got to be thinking this isn’t gonna be easy……

Update……

From Rasmussen …


Whitman (R) 40 %
Brown (D) 40 %
Others 6 %
Undecided 14 %

Brown (D) 42 %
Poizner (R) 27 %
Others 13 %
Undecided 18 %

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/california/election_2010_california_governor

March 17, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , , | 8 Comments

Merlin's second call on the California 'Field Poll' for Governor…..

Merlin assures us that the Field Post people are some of the best in the business….

…Here’s his second installment on California….

Hi Dog!

As promised yesterday here is the second part of the California “Field Poll” and despite Democrats having huge troubles nationally…. California Attorney General Jerry Brown has big leads over Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner. The only concern for him that he is under 50 %.

Field Poll Survey

California Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman  45 %
State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner  17 %
Undecided  38 %

Campbell’s switch over to the Senate Race has helped Whitman greatly.

General Election

Attorney General Jerry Brown (D)  46 %
Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R)  36 %
Undecided  18 %

Attorney General Jerry Brown (D)  48 %
State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner (R)  31 %
Undecided  21 %

Full Results at

http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/

Then click on latest Poll.

Merlin

Quick Update: New Chicago Tribune / WGN Survey likely coming out tonight. For Illinois… With just 11 Days before the Primary this might be the last Primary Poll.

The Dog see’s Jerry Brown coming back to lead the state…..Proving that sometimes you CAN go home again…..

January 22, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 7 Comments

Merlin’s second call on the California ‘Field Poll’ for Governor…..

Merlin assures us that the Field Post people are some of the best in the business….

…Here’s his second installment on California….

Hi Dog!

As promised yesterday here is the second part of the California “Field Poll” and despite Democrats having huge troubles nationally…. California Attorney General Jerry Brown has big leads over Meg Whitman and Steve Poizner. The only concern for him that he is under 50 %.

Field Poll Survey

California Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman  45 %
State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner  17 %
Undecided  38 %

Campbell’s switch over to the Senate Race has helped Whitman greatly.

General Election

Attorney General Jerry Brown (D)  46 %
Former eBay CEO Meg Whitman (R)  36 %
Undecided  18 %

Attorney General Jerry Brown (D)  48 %
State Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner (R)  31 %
Undecided  21 %

Full Results at

http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers/

Then click on latest Poll.

Merlin

Quick Update: New Chicago Tribune / WGN Survey likely coming out tonight. For Illinois… With just 11 Days before the Primary this might be the last Primary Poll.

The Dog see’s Jerry Brown coming back to lead the state…..Proving that sometimes you CAN go home again…..

January 22, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 7 Comments

Merlin on the California Senate Race….This time the 'Field' Poll…..

Hello and morning Dog!

California’s best known Pollster “The Field Poll” has a new Survey out in the Golden State. Field contradicts Rasmussen and puts Senator Barbara Boxer ahead by double digits of all 3 GOP Challengers. Newly Entrant fmr. Rep. Tom Campbell (R) surprisingly leads the GOP Primary. Campbell also runs strongest in the General Election Head-to-Heads.

Field Poll January 2010

California Senate 2010

Republican Primary

fmr. Rep. Tom Campbell  30 %
fmr. HP CEO Carly Fiorina  25 %
Assemblyman Chuck DeVore  6 %
Undecided  39 %

Note:

Right now DeVore doesn’t seem to be a Factor in this Primary Race. The CA Primary will be held in June.

General Election

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  48 %
fmr. Rep. Tom Campbell (R)  38 %
Undecided  14 %

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  50 %
fmr. HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R)  35 %
Undecided  15 %

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  51 %
Assemblyman Chuck DeVore (R)  34 5
Undecided  15 %

Full Results can be found at http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers.  Then you’ve to click on latest Poll.

Note:

We’re probably getting new Results for the Open Governor Race tomorrow.

Merlin

January 21, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , | 2 Comments

Merlin on the California Senate Race….This time the ‘Field’ Poll…..

Hello and morning Dog!

California’s best known Pollster “The Field Poll” has a new Survey out in the Golden State. Field contradicts Rasmussen and puts Senator Barbara Boxer ahead by double digits of all 3 GOP Challengers. Newly Entrant fmr. Rep. Tom Campbell (R) surprisingly leads the GOP Primary. Campbell also runs strongest in the General Election Head-to-Heads.

Field Poll January 2010

California Senate 2010

Republican Primary

fmr. Rep. Tom Campbell  30 %
fmr. HP CEO Carly Fiorina  25 %
Assemblyman Chuck DeVore  6 %
Undecided  39 %

Note:

Right now DeVore doesn’t seem to be a Factor in this Primary Race. The CA Primary will be held in June.

General Election

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  48 %
fmr. Rep. Tom Campbell (R)  38 %
Undecided  14 %

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  50 %
fmr. HP CEO Carly Fiorina (R)  35 %
Undecided  15 %

Incumbent Senator Barbara Boxer (D)  51 %
Assemblyman Chuck DeVore (R)  34 5
Undecided  15 %

Full Results can be found at http://www.field.com/fieldpollonline/subscribers.  Then you’ve to click on latest Poll.

Note:

We’re probably getting new Results for the Open Governor Race tomorrow.

Merlin

January 21, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , | 2 Comments