Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Open thread for June 15…….Site Upgrades and White House Hype….

I’ve been busy today doing some paperwork and house cleaning  the blog for a long due upgrade…..

And believe me it ain’t as easy all as the web hosting people and WordPress says it is….

First I started off in the wrong place…

Then I found the right place but WordPress is having problems….

I vow to be patient…..

The new Web Hosting people have my money now….

On the other front….

I’m now checking the net to do a post and I notice one thing….

The race is on!

Every media outlet has something on Obama going to the Gulf, Obama telling the BP what to do….The White House in charge …Congress beating BP up…The stocj taking a hit….

And the best ones…..The Clean up is Chaotic…..

They even have a picture of my man Thad Allen looking glum…..

Judging my the comments here I guess I’m the only one out here that ain’t looking to lynch BP…..

Well folks you got what ya asked for…

Obama and his adminstration now looks like they are going to own the OIl spill…

They are in charge (Not really ….They don’t drill or cap oil wells )

They are whipping BP (Not really, that comes tomorrow )…

And  the state actually coordinates the clean up…..

BUT THEY ARE THE LEAD NOW!

SEND YOUR PUNCHES TO THE PRESIDENT and the government….

BP will settle on  putting money aside….

That’s a smart thing….

For the states and BP….

And I hear that WH Press Secretary Gibbs thinks they can capture 90% of the oil by next month…..

The Alvin Greene saga continues……

Yes Sir!

South Carolina Republican’s AND Democrat’s

what a mess…..


On to other things….

Daniel won’t be around for the you guys to kick around for a month…

He’s busy at work……


So I’ll try to do a some polling pieces and anyone that wants to try their hand at it…..

Come on!

As usual…….

Comments Please!!!

I’ll take the slow hits today……

and

Subscribe…..Subscribe…….Subscribe..…..

Ruff, Ruff….Bow wow!


The Dog

June 15, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Computers, Counterpoints, Ecology, Government, Media, Men, Military, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , , , , , , , | 39 Comments

Daniel…. Oregon Governor and Senate Races: Kitzhaber (D-OR) in MAJOR Trouble, Wyden appears SAFE for November according to an exclusive Survey USA Poll

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

We’ve the first Post Primary Poll from Survey USA in Oregon and it shows former Governor John Kitzhaber (D-OR) has some work to do this November. Former NBA Basketball Pro Chris Dudley (R-OR) leads Kitzhaber by 7 Points.

In the Senate Race this November Incumbent Ronald “Ron” Wyden (D-OR) appears to be a SAFE bet for Re-Election at this Point as he leads Republican Jim Huffman (R-OR) by 13 Points.

Note: THE ENTIRE ELECTION WILL BE DONE BY MAIL.

KATU-TV / Survey USA Poll

Oregon Governor

Former NBA Professional Chris Dudley (R)  47 %
Former Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber (D)  40 %
Businessman Jerry Wilson (Progressive Party)  6 %
Undecided  7 %

Oregon Senate

Incumbent Senator Ronald Lee “Ron” Wyden (D)  51 %
Law School Professor Jim Huffman (R)  38 %
Financial Planner Marc Delphine (Libertarian)  4 %
Psychatrist Rick Staggenborg (Green Party)  2 %
Undecided  5 %

Analysis:

5 Months Till Oregon Votes, Former Trailblazer Edges Former Governor for Statehouse; Wyden Strong in US Senate Re-Elect Bid: In an election for Oregon governor today, 06/10/10, Republican Chris Dudley edges Democrat John Kitzhaber, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland.

Dudley, a former professional basketball player, has a 14-point lead among men. Among women, the race is tied. When men and woman are combined today, the Republican Dudley has a 47% to 40% advantage. A third candidate, Progressive Jerry Wilson, today gets 6% of the overall vote, 12% of the vote among Independents. Third party candidates have until August 24 to file to appear on the ballot; additional candidates may enter the race.

The Democrat Kitzhaber, Governor of Oregon from 1995-2003, leads only among the youngest, and often least-reliable, voters. Among voters age 35+, Dudley leads. 87% of those who support the Tea Party vote Republican. 80% of those who oppose the Tea Party vote Democrat.
In an election today for United States Senator from Oregon, Incumbent Democrat Ron Wyden is elected to a third full term, defeating Republican law school professor Jim Huffman. Wyden leads by 22 points in greater Portland; Huffman leads by 4 points in the rest of Oregon. When those two regions are combined today, the Democrat Wyden has a 51% to 38% advantage.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Oregon adults 06/07/10 through 06/09/10. Of them, 711 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 566 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is constitutionally term limited to two consecutive terms. The election is 100% by mail; ballots will be mailed in October.

Daniel G.

June 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | 2 Comments

Daniel…..Colorado Senate: INCREDIBLE POLL STUNNER: Weld County District Attorney Kenneth R. “Ken” Buck (R-CO) leads former Lt. Governor Jane Norton (R-CO) in the Republican Senate Primary

Hello Folks!

Did anyone remember my little Analysis in my Polling Summary about former Colorado Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton (R-CO)?

I said quote:“Jane Norton could be Sue Lowden, Part Deux”

It’s incredible HOW RIGHT I AM

A new Survey from Republican Independent Pollster Magellan Strategies (R, and they did a heck of a job in the GOP Primaries already this year) shows Weld County District Attorney Kenneth R. “Ken” Buck (R-CO) ahead by 10 Points over Jane Norton (R-CO) in the Republican Senate Primary.

I case you don’t know: I ENDORSED BUCK FOR SENATE IN MAY.

Magellan Strategies Survey (R)

Colorado Senate

Republican Primary

Weld County District Attorney Kenneth R. “Ken” Buck  42 %
Former Colorado Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton  32 %
Undecided  26 %

http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Magellan-Colorado-US-Senate-GOP-Primary-Survey-Release-and-Toplines-060910-Final.pdf

Daniel G.

Amazing! Daniel…..Another male over female thing?……..Lets see if it sticks……

June 10, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , , | 11 Comments

Daniel…..Colorado Senate: INCREDIBLE POLL STUNNER: Weld County District Attorney Kenneth R. "Ken" Buck (R-CO) leads former Lt. Governor Jane Norton (R-CO) in the Republican Senate Primary

Hello Folks!

Did anyone remember my little Analysis in my Polling Summary about former Colorado Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton (R-CO)?

I said quote:“Jane Norton could be Sue Lowden, Part Deux”

It’s incredible HOW RIGHT I AM

A new Survey from Republican Independent Pollster Magellan Strategies (R, and they did a heck of a job in the GOP Primaries already this year) shows Weld County District Attorney Kenneth R. “Ken” Buck (R-CO) ahead by 10 Points over Jane Norton (R-CO) in the Republican Senate Primary.

I case you don’t know: I ENDORSED BUCK FOR SENATE IN MAY.

Magellan Strategies Survey (R)

Colorado Senate

Republican Primary

Weld County District Attorney Kenneth R. “Ken” Buck  42 %
Former Colorado Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton  32 %
Undecided  26 %

http://www.magellanstrategies.com/web/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Magellan-Colorado-US-Senate-GOP-Primary-Survey-Release-and-Toplines-060910-Final.pdf

Daniel G.

Amazing! Daniel…..Another male over female thing?……..Lets see if it sticks……

June 10, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , , | 11 Comments

Daniel…….Polling Summary for Thursday, June 10, 2010

Hello Folks!

Here is my Polling Summary for today:

Alabama Governor:

Bentley (R)  56 %  ,  Sparks (D)  37 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Byrne (R)  49 %  ,  Sparks (D)  40 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

Illinois Governor:

Brady (R)  47 %  ,  Quinn (D)  36 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

California Governor:

Brown (D)  45 %  ,  Whitman (R)  44 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

Did you know this FACT:  Whitman has NEVER led Brown in a RAS Poll over the last 18 Months.

NEVADA SENATE:

ANGLE (R)  50 %  ,  H. REID (D)  39 %  (RASMUSSEN REPORTS SURVEY)

Connecticut Senate:

Blumenthal (D)  55 %  ,  McMahon (R)  35 %  (Quinnipiac University Survey)
Blumenthal (D)  54 %  ,  Simmons (R)  33 %  (Quinnipiac University Survey)
Blumenthal (D)  56 %  ,  Schiff (R)  29 %  (Quinnipiac University Survey)

CT-SEN GOP Primary:

McMahon  45 %  ,  Simmons  29 %  ,  Schiff  13 %  (Quinnipiac University Survey)

Note: Simmons as you probably know suspended his Campaign. However his Name remains on the Ballot at this Point.

CT-GOV DEM Primary:

Lamont  39 %  ,  Malloy  22 %  (Quinnipiac University Survey)

CT-GOV GOP Primary:

Foley  39 %  ,  Fedele  12 %  ,  Griebel  2 %  (Quinnipiac University Survey)

Upcoming Polls:

Rasmussen is set to release a new Maryland Governor Poll at 5pm ET.

Daniel G.

The Nevada Rass poll numbers are suspect……

Rass just gives me the creeps…Sorry

The Dog

June 10, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Media, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , | 3 Comments

Daniel….Quinnipiac University Survey: Democratic Senate Candidate Kendrick B. Meek (D-FL) and Republican Governor Candidate William "Bill" McCollum (R-FL) having HUGE Problems in their Primaries

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

This is STUNNING and HUGELY surprising. After Q-Pac put up General Election Polling for Florida yesterday, they also polled the Primaries of both Contest showing Meek (D-FL) and McCollum (R-FL) in massive trouble for their August 24th Primaries.

Quinnipiac University

Florida Governor Race

Republican Primary

Businessman Rick Scott  44 %
State Attorney General William “Bill” McCollum  31 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  24 %

Florida Senate Race

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek  29 %
Businessman Jeff Greene  27 %
Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre  3 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  37 %

Analysis:

Meek’s Numbers clearly show how much a flawed Candidate he is. It’s now entirely possible Greene can win this. The GOP Governor Primary is REALLY STUNNING. It could be a virtual copy of what happened in the GOP Senate Primary between Rubio and Crist before the Incumbent Governor decided to run as Independent.

Well, I warned about McCollum time and time again. At this Point it looks like I was RIGHT.

Daniel G.

Daniel ….I saw this on MSNBC this morning…..Wow!

This Greene guy has a boat load of money…..and has used it to close  on Meek who is serious trouble and will probably not make the ticket…..As for McCollum…Props to you….Looks like he isn’t gonna make it either….

I got stung on my last minute cross feelings on Halter…..I had the underlying dynamics correct but made the opposite call……..I will not call many races anymore…. too far out……

June 10, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 5 Comments

Daniel….Quinnipiac University Survey: Democratic Senate Candidate Kendrick B. Meek (D-FL) and Republican Governor Candidate William “Bill” McCollum (R-FL) having HUGE Problems in their Primaries

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

This is STUNNING and HUGELY surprising. After Q-Pac put up General Election Polling for Florida yesterday, they also polled the Primaries of both Contest showing Meek (D-FL) and McCollum (R-FL) in massive trouble for their August 24th Primaries.

Quinnipiac University

Florida Governor Race

Republican Primary

Businessman Rick Scott  44 %
State Attorney General William “Bill” McCollum  31 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  24 %

Florida Senate Race

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek  29 %
Businessman Jeff Greene  27 %
Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre  3 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  37 %

Analysis:

Meek’s Numbers clearly show how much a flawed Candidate he is. It’s now entirely possible Greene can win this. The GOP Governor Primary is REALLY STUNNING. It could be a virtual copy of what happened in the GOP Senate Primary between Rubio and Crist before the Incumbent Governor decided to run as Independent.

Well, I warned about McCollum time and time again. At this Point it looks like I was RIGHT.

Daniel G.

Daniel ….I saw this on MSNBC this morning…..Wow!

This Greene guy has a boat load of money…..and has used it to close  on Meek who is serious trouble and will probably not make the ticket…..As for McCollum…Props to you….Looks like he isn’t gonna make it either….

I got stung on my last minute cross feelings on Halter…..I had the underlying dynamics correct but made the opposite call……..I will not call many races anymore…. too far out……

June 10, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 5 Comments

Daniel…..Polling Summaries including Tuesday, June 8th, and Wednesday, June 9th…….

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

Here is my Polling Summary for Tuesday & Wednesday:

North Carolina Senate:

Burr (R)  50 %  ,  Marshall (D)  36 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Burr (R)  47 %  ,  Cunningham (D)  35 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

North Carolina Senate:

Burr (R)  46 %  ,  Marshall (D)  39 %  (Public Policy Polling Survey)
Burr (R)  46 %  ,  Cunningham (D)  35 %  (Public Policy Polling Survey)

Colorado Senate:

Norton (R)  46 %  ,  Bennet (D)  40 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Norton (R)  43 %  ,  Romanoff (D)  42 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Buck (R)  46 %  ,  Bennet (D)  41 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Buck (R)  45 %  ,  Romanoff (D)  39 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

My Republican Followers: I’m afraid to say this. Jane Norton (R-CO) might be Sue Lowden (R-NV) Part Deux

Illinois Senate:

Kirk (R)  42 %  ,  Giannoulias (D)  39 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

Florida Senate:

Crist (I)  37 %  ,  Rubio (R)  37 %  ,  Meek (D)  15 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Crist (I)  41 %  ,  Rubio (R)  37 %  ,  Greene (D)  13 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

Note: Looking at Meek’s bad Poll Numbers I’m seriously starting to wonder if he EVEN makes it out of the Primary. Businessman Jeff Greene (D-FL) isn’t a lightweight at all.

Florida Governor:

McCollum (R)  40 %  ,  Sink (D)  38 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)
Scott (R)  45 %  ,  Sink (D)  40 %  (Rasmussen Reports Survey)

Florida Senate:

Crist (I)  37 %  ,  Rubio (R)  33 %  ,  Meek (D)  17 %  (Quinnipiac University)
Crist (I)  40 %  ,  Rubio (R)  33 %  ,  Greene (D)  14 %  (Quinnipiac University)

Florida Governor:

McCollum (R)  42 %  ,  Sink (D)  34 %  (Quinnipiac University)
Scott (R)  42 %  ,  Sink (D)  32 %  (Quinnipiac University)
McCollum (R)  33 %  ,  Sink  (D)  25 %  ,  Chiles (I)  19 %  (Quinnipiac University)
Scott (R)  35 %  ,  Sink  (D)  26 %  ,  Chiles (I)  13 %  (Quinnipiac University)

Daniel G.

June 9, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , | 3 Comments

Blanche Lincoln Wins the Democratic Primary for her Senate seat in Arkansas!

The Dog is very Happy to be wrong…..

And is happy to see that the Democratic voters of Arkansas are smart enough to NOT have someone run… that absolutely had NO chance to win against Boozman in November…

The Dog salutes everyone…. including Daniel and myself who got this wrong!

My apologizes to Bill Clinton** who campaigned for her and finally got a win!


I might have got it wrong…

But I got it right…

Halter ran with Union, Progressive and left support….

I said it couldn’t be done…

It wasn’t…..

Damn Right!

Washington (CNN) – Arkansas Sen. Blanche Lincoln has defeated Lt. Gov. Bill Halter in Tuesday’s Senate Democratic primary runoff, the Associated Press projects.

Democratic Senate primary runoff:
Blanche Lincoln (incumbent) – 112,811 51.7%
Bill Halter – 105,352 48.3%

80% of precincts reporting

*Vote totals compiled by the Associated Press

** The Dog just wasn’t thinking about Bill Clinton in Arkansas….This guy was FROM Arkansas……Duh!…

There’s a reason that Bill Clinton was making the closing argument for Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) just days before today’s runoff, while the senator has made strides to separate herself from President Obama.

This is Clinton country.

Yes, Clinton is from the state, but it also went hugely for his wife in the 2008 presidential primary — 70 percent to 26 percent to be exact. The state was one of Obama’s worst showings in the general election too.

Arkansas is an extreme example, but many 2010 battles are being waged in similar territory. In fact, a majority of top 2010 races are being held in districts and states where Obama struggled in the Democratic primary fight two years ago.

Much has been made of Republican efforts to win the four dozen (or so) Democratic-held districts where Obama lost to John McCain in 2008. But looking at places where Obama lost to Hillary Clinton can also be instructive when it comes to understanding how the President, who is not on the ballot this fall, will nonetheless impact the fight for congressional control.

According to a Fix analysis, of the 27 Democratic-held House seats and 10 Senate races listed as toss-ups by the Cook Political Report, Obama lost roughly half of each by wide margins to Clinton during the primary season.

Obama lost to Clinton in seven of the 10 states with top Senate races, and in about 60 percent of the top 27 House districts. Five of those states and 13 of those House districts went for Clinton by double digits.

Continue reading this post »

June 8, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , | 2 Comments

Daniel….. Welcome to "The Dogs" Super Tuesday MEGA Primary Night Coverage …..

Hello Dog Pound!

Here we go!

11 States are holding Primaries and Run-Off Elections Today.

A Special Election will also being held in Georgia  to determine the Replacement for U. S. Rep. Nathan Deal (R-GA) who resigned in March.

Our “Special Primary Night Coverage” is starting at 6pm ET One Hour before the first Polls are closing.

Here is an Election Guide for the competitive Races we’re following throughout the Night:

7pm ET Poll Closing (Virginia, South Carolina & Georgia 9th Congressional District Special Election)

In South Carolina we’re looking at both Governor Races as well as Republican House Primaries in SC-1, SC-2 & SC-4

ln Virginia we’re looking at the competitive Republican Primaries in VA-2, VA-5 & VA-11 to determine the GOP Challengers for U. S. Representatives Glenn Nye (D-VA 2), Tom Perriello (D-VA-5) and Gary Connolly (D-VA-11)

Georgia 9th Congressional District Special Election

John Thomas “Tom” Graves Jr. (R)
B. Lee Hawkins (R)

8pm ET Poll Closing (Maine & New Jersey Primaries)

In Maine we’re looking at both Governor Primaries. Governor John Baldacci (D-ME) is term-limited and can’t run for Re-Election.

In New Jersey we’re looking at the Republican Primaries for Congressional Districts NJ-3 and NJ-7

8.30pm ET Poll Closing (Arkansas Run-Off Elections)

We’re looking at the Arkansas Democratic Senate Run-Off between Lincoln and Halter. We’re also looking at the Democratic Run-Offs in AR-1 & AR-2 as well as the Republican Run-Off in AR-3.

9pm ET Poll Closing (South Dakota & North Dakota Primaries)

In South Dakota we’re looking at the Republican Governor Primary as well as the Republican At-Large House Primary to determine which Republican Candidate will face U. S. Rep. Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D-SD) in November.

In North Dakota we’re looking at the House At-Large Republican Primary between State Representative Richard A. Berg (R-ND) and J. D. Donaghe (R-ND). The Winner will face U. S. Rep. Earl Pomeroy (D-ND) in November.

10pm ET Poll Closing (Iowa, Montana & Nevada Primaries)

In Iowa we’re looking at the Republican Governor Primary, the Democratic Senate Primary as well as Republican House Primaries in IA-2 and IA-3

In Montana we’re looking at the Democratic House At-Large Primary who will face U. S. Rep. Denny Rehberg (R-MT) in November.

And in Nevada we’re looking at the Republican Primaries for Governor & Senate as well as Republican House Primary in NV-3

11pm ET Poll Closing (California Primary)

We’re looking at CA-SEN (R), CA-GOV (R) and the House Primaries CA-11 (R), CA-36 (D) and CA-42 (R)


Election Results Can be found Here…..

South Carolina

http://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/16117/27055/en/summary.html

South Dakota

http://electionresults.sd.gov/applications/st25cers3/?AspxAutoDetectCookieSupport=1

California

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/

Nevada

http://www.silverstate2010.com

Virginia

Hold on…..

We’ll be here for a while

Daniel G….You Host….

…….with a little help from SE and The Dog……

June 8, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Entertainment, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , | 82 Comments