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commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Egypt Update 2/4/11…..Large Rally….Things calm down…..Mubarak still isn’t leaving anytime soon….

 

A couple of points……

The fact the Obama Administration is having back channel talks with Mubarak and Suleiman about leaving isn’t playing that well with the Egyptians , Israeli’s and the rest of the region…

Mohamed Ebaradei isn’t mentioned as a likely front runner for the President’s job reflecting his ties to the West….

But addition names are being mentioned to run in the fall ….or whenever elections are held in Egypt….

Shuleiman…Mubarak’s new Vice President is probably the White House’s choice to run the country which would make the all important Army happy…

But has stuck to defending Mubarak’s wait till the fall

And

The Army seems to have adopted a ‘wait and see’ posture…..

Tens of thousands of Egyptians are taking part in a “day of departure” to try to oust President Hosni Mubarak.

There is an increased army presence in Cairo’s Tahrir Square after unrest that has led to hundreds of casualties.

After Friday prayers were held in a relaxed atmosphere, the crowd started chanting for Mr Mubarak to go.

Mr Mubarak has said he is “fed up” with being in power but is resisting mounting pressure to resign as he says it will leave Egypt in chaos.

In his first interview since anti-government protests began, he told ABC News he would like to resign immediately. But he repeated that the country’s banned Islamist opposition group – the Muslim Brotherhood – would fill the power vacuum left by his absence.

Opposition leader Mohamed ElBaradei took issue with the president’s remarks, saying: “We as a people are fed up as well, it is not only him.

“The idea that there would be chaos is symptomatic of a dictatorship. He thinks if he leaves power the whole country will fall apart.”

A senior member of the Muslim Brotherhood, Issam al-Aryan, also denied that it would put forward someone for the presidency, telling the BBC that it would prefer the opposition to nominate a consensus candidate.

“We want a civil state, based on Islamic principles. A democratic state, with a parliamentary system, with freedom to form parties, press freedom, and an independent and fair judiciary,” he added…….

More….

This is from Politicicaldog101…..

 

February 4, 2011 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Law, Media, Military, Politics, Updates | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Is Karzai with us?……

The Dog has been following the stories running for the last week about Hamid Karzai the President of Afghanistan…..

They have gotten more and more bazar as the days go by…..

First he’s criticizing the US, and the West because of questions associated with the recent election and corruption in his government.

Then he threatens to ally himself with the Taliban

Then he hurriedly calls Secretary Clinton to ask for ‘clarification’ of the American position on his county….

Now we get a presser where the White House Press Secretary refuses to stay if Karzai is a ‘Ally’….

WTF????

What is going on here?

The United States and NATO are fighting on Afghan soil…and we don’t know if the President of that country is on our side???


Asked at the daily press briefing if the U.S. considers Karzai an ally, Gibbs said “Karzai is the democratically elected leader of Afghanistan.”
Pressed on the issue, Gibbs said that “the remarks he’s made I can’t imagine that anyone in this country found them anything other than troubling…when the Afghan leaders take steps to improve governance and root out corruption, then the president will say kind words.”

More……..……Read the comments from this The Hill piece….

April 6, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Military, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , , , , | 3 Comments

Counterpoint…….What if 2010 is Like 1982?

This from Mydd.com…..One never knows…Do one?

by Jonathan Singer, Fri Jan 08, 2010 at 02:43:19 PM EST

I want to loop back and write a little bit more about something I touched on earlier this week: That if the 2010 midterms look like the 1982 midterms — which isn’t inconceivable considering that Barack Obama’s approval rating today looks a lot like Ronald Reagan’s did at the same point in the 1982 cycle — it wouldn’t be terrible news for the Democrats.

Chuck Todd, among others, has written that close Senate elections in a given year don’t tend to split evenly between the two parties, but rather that one party manages to win virtually all the close races. “Check out the competitive races from the last five cycles,” Todd writes. “It’s a remarkable pattern.”

Todd is largely right — close Senate elections do tend to break in one party’s favor. In 2008, Democrats won seven of the eight contests decided by fewer than 10 percentage points; in 2006, they won five of seven; in 2000, they won seven of 10; and in 2004, Republicans won seven of eight such races. (The2002 elections, when the Republicans won six of ten single-digit elections, is somewhat of an exception to this general rule).

But it’s worth looking back to the 1982 midterm elections to bear out an exceedingly important point that is overlooked when reciting the general rule that close Senate elections tend to break in a particular party’s favor: The party winning the close elections isn’t necessarily the one you might expect.

The 1982 midterm elections saw a whopping 11 Senate elections decided by fewer than 10 percentage points. Considering that Ronald Reagan’s approval rating lagged at 43 percent and that the economy, while improving, was still in the doldrums, one might have expected most of these races to have broken in favor of the opposition Democrats. Indeed, in House elections that year, the Democrats were able to capitalize, picking up a net 26 seats.

Yet come election day, the races didn’t break overwhelmingly in the Democrats’ favor. In fact, the opposite occurred, with Reagan’s Republicans winning nine of 11 single-digit Senate elections. Take a look:

Republican Win Democratic Win
California: Pete Wilson 51.5/Jerry Brown 44.8 New Jersey: Frank Lautenberg 50.9/Millicent Fenwich 47.8
Connecticut: Lowell Weicker 50.4/Toby Moffett 46.1 New Mexico: Jeff Bingaman 53.8/Harrison Schmitt 46.2
Indiana: Richard Lugar 53.8/Floyd Fithian 45.6
Minnesota: Dave Durenberger 52.6/Mark Dayton 46.6
Missouri: John Danforth 50.8/Harriet Woods 49.1
Nevada: Chic Hecht 50.1/Howard Cannon 47.7
Rhode Island: John Chafee 51.2/Julius Michaelson 48.8
Vermont: Robert Stafford 50.3/James Guest 47.2
Virginia: Paul trible 51.2/Richard Joseph Davis 48.8

Going into November 1982, there was little reason to believe that the close races would swing for the GOP. The Democrats had strong candidates in most of these states — a Governor, Jerry Brown; an elected state Attorney General, Julius Michaelson; an elected Lieutenant Governor, Richard Joseph Davis; an elected Secretary of State, James Guest; and multiple-term Congressmen Toby Moffett and Floyd Fithian. Reagan’s numbers, as noted above, were in the tank, and the economy was still weak.

But the races mostly swung away from the opposition Democrats. After all the dust settled, the Senate remained firmly in control of the Republicans.

So close Senate races do tend to trend towards one party in a particular cycle, though not every year (see: 2002). When they do, it’s not always to the party you might expect. Sometimes this trend can actually help the party in power, even when that party is headed by a President with an approval rating in the low-40s at a time when the economy is still weaker than expected.

January 8, 2010 Posted by | Government, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | Leave a comment