Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Merlin on Indiana Senate Race and the entry of Dan Coats…..

Hello Dog!


This surely will make you happy. A new Statewide Survey in the Hoosier State shows Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) has BIG leads over 2 potential Republican Opponents.

Research 2000 / DailyKos Survey

Indiana Senate 2010

General Election

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  55 %
former Senator Daniel Ray Coats (R)  35 %
Undecided  10 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  53 %
former U. S. Rep. John N. Hostettler (R)  37 %
Undecided  10 %

Favorables

President Obama

Favorable  46 %
Unfavorable  49 %

Governor Mitch Daniels (R)

Favorable  56 %
Unfavorable  34 %

Senator Richard Lugar (R)

Favorable  64 %
Unfavorable  29 %

Senator Evan Bayh (D)

Favorable  61 %
Unfavorable  33 %

The Full Poll can be seen here:  http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/2/10/IN/443

Merlin’s Observation:

This Poll is highly, highly dubious to me especially because Research 2000 claims Bayh has a 40-Point lead!?!? with Independent Voters. That’s simply not true, it can’t be. Every other National or Statewide Poll is showing Indies moving away from Democrats.

There is one highly respected Pollster who hopefully starts polling this Race very shortly: The Iowa Selzer & Co. Polling Company. They nailed the 2008 Presidential Contest right on the notch for Obama.

Merlin

First of all look at Bayh’s favorables…….

The Dog isn’t happy for the Democrats in this race…The Dog has simply said from the start that Dan Coats is not a good choice to run against Evan Bayh…..other polls will confirm this….Coats has not been in politics for a decade..he has led a good life that makes problems for someone who re-enters politics…. which has an unrealistic  expectation for people to live up to……

February 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , , | 3 Comments

Merlin…on the NRSC’s desperate try to sign up someone to take on Sen. Evan Bayh (D) in Indiana….

Hello Dog!

This really took me by surprise yesterday evening when Local TV Stations in the Hoosier State were reporting term-limited Secretary of State Todd Rokita (R-IN) said he’s weighing a challenge to Senator Evan Bayh.

Rokitas interest maybe be sorely attributed to Bayh’s mediocre Poll Numbers. If he only leads Hostettler by 3 Points he’s likely vulnerable to other Hoosier Statewide Officials. Still Rokitas Interest caught me by surprise because I thought he would run for Governor in 2012. But with Pence maybe gunning for the States Top Job Rokita could go to the Senate.

It seems NRSC Chair John Cornyn (R-TX) is trying EVERYTHING to get a credible Candidate to challenge Bayh.,

Merlin

Here are the Links:

http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/politics/Rokita-considers-run-at-US-Senate-seat

http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/22364062/detail.html

http://www.indystar.com/article/20100128/NEWS05/1280478/1008/LOCAL19/Secretary-of-state-may-join-GOP-race-to-take-on-Bayh

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/rokita-may-challenge-bayh.html

January 28, 2010 Posted by | Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 12 Comments

Merlin…on the NRSC's desperate try to sign up someone to take on Sen. Evan Bayh (D) in Indiana….

Hello Dog!

This really took me by surprise yesterday evening when Local TV Stations in the Hoosier State were reporting term-limited Secretary of State Todd Rokita (R-IN) said he’s weighing a challenge to Senator Evan Bayh.

Rokitas interest maybe be sorely attributed to Bayh’s mediocre Poll Numbers. If he only leads Hostettler by 3 Points he’s likely vulnerable to other Hoosier Statewide Officials. Still Rokitas Interest caught me by surprise because I thought he would run for Governor in 2012. But with Pence maybe gunning for the States Top Job Rokita could go to the Senate.

It seems NRSC Chair John Cornyn (R-TX) is trying EVERYTHING to get a credible Candidate to challenge Bayh.,

Merlin

Here are the Links:

http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/politics/Rokita-considers-run-at-US-Senate-seat

http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/22364062/detail.html

http://www.indystar.com/article/20100128/NEWS05/1280478/1008/LOCAL19/Secretary-of-state-may-join-GOP-race-to-take-on-Bayh

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/eyeon2010/2010/01/rokita-may-challenge-bayh.html

January 28, 2010 Posted by | Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 12 Comments

Merlin on Mike Pence (R-Ind) not running for the Indianna Senate seat Evan Bayh has…..

Hello Dog!

House Republican Policy Chair Mike Pence (R-IN 6) won’t be running for Senate..

Statement:

Open Letter to Friends and Supporters

As many of you are aware, I have been approached about running for the United States Senate in 2010. Karen and I have been humbled by the outpouring of support and encouragement which we received from across Indiana, especially since there are several capable and qualified candidates already seeking the Republican nomination.

After much prayer and deliberation, I have decided to remain in the House and to seek reelection to the 6th Congressional District in 2010.
I am staying for two reasons. First because I have been given the responsibility to shape the Republican comeback as a member of the House Republican Leadership and, second, because I believe Republicans will win back the majority in the House of Representatives in 2010.
One year ago I was unanimously elected chairman of the House Republican Conference, the third ranking position in House Republican leadership. I accepted that responsibility because I believed that if Republicans returned to their conservative roots, they could win back the confidence of the American people. And I see it happening every day.

As a Republican leader, I have the opportunity to shape the policy and strategy that will return a Republican majority to the Congress in 2010. So my duty is here, in the House, serving my constituents and my colleagues as we fight to restore a conservative majority to the Congress of the United States. I am not going to leave my post when the fate of the House hangs in the balance. My place is here, in that fight, with the brave men and women who will be winning that victory for the American people.

I also am staying because I believe we will win back the majority in the House of Representatives in 2010, and I am excited to be a part of it. While the opportunity to serve in the United States Senate is significant, I believe the best chance this nation has to restore fiscal discipline, common sense and common values to Washington, D.C., is for conservatives to retake the House in 2010. When we win back the House, we will make history and we will have the power to stop the big government plans of this administration and to steer our nation to a more secure, free and prosperous future.

Last fall, Karen and I completed our first full marathon. We finished the 26.2 miles in just under seven hours despite the rigors on this 50 year-old body and despite many opportunities to step off the track and call it a day. Our inspiration for the day came from a verse in the Bible that reads, “let us run with perseverance the race marked out for us.”

I believe the race marked out for me in 2010 is in the House of Representatives. I believe that if we run that race with conviction and endurance, we can win back the Congress for the common sense and the common values of the American people, turn this tide of big government back and set the stage for a boundless American future.

Thanks to you all who prayed our little family through this difficult decision. I hope that God will someday permit me to perform some wider service to the people of Indiana and the country, but for now my focus must remain on finishing the job I was elected to do by my constituents and my Republican colleagues; representing conservative values in Congress and winning back the House of Representatives.

Merlin

Evan Bayh gets a break……

January 26, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Updates | , , | 4 Comments

Merlin on Indiana's Senate Race…Evan Bayh…and some Job approval numbers….

Hello Dog!

Bad News are continuing to come for Senate Democrats. Should Republican House Policy Chair Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN 6) announce for Senate he would start the Race in a statistical tie with Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) a new Poll shows.

Rasmussen Survey

Indiana Senate 2010

Rep. Mike Pence (R)  47 %
Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  7 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Former Rep. John Hostettler (R)  41 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  12 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  45 %
State Senator Marlin Stutzman (R)  33 %
Others  5 %
Undecided  16 %

Job Approvals

President Obama

Approve  43 %
Disapprove  56 %

Governor Mitch Daniels (R)

Approve  70 %
Disapprove  29 %

Merlin’s Take:

Man, this is really striking. How worse have things gotten for Senator Evan Bayh.  He can’t even break 45 % against lesser known Opponents like Stutzman and Hostettler. That shows you in how bad shape he is. Unfortunately Rasmussen doesn’t give us Job Approvals for Bayh but my guess is that his Numbers are in the low 50’s and maybe even below that.

As someone who supports Republican Candidates I’d say “Run Mike Run”

Merlin

Ok…the Dog is a little confused with Merlin working at warp speed and all today…..somewhere today the Dog made the comment that this race with Bayh is connected to the Healthcare Bill and that when the Bill is passed, and the issue dies down Bayh will be in better shape…..

January 25, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 6 Comments

Merlin on Indiana’s Senate Race…Evan Bayh…and some Job approval numbers….

Hello Dog!

Bad News are continuing to come for Senate Democrats. Should Republican House Policy Chair Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN 6) announce for Senate he would start the Race in a statistical tie with Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) a new Poll shows.

Rasmussen Survey

Indiana Senate 2010

Rep. Mike Pence (R)  47 %
Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  7 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Former Rep. John Hostettler (R)  41 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  12 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  45 %
State Senator Marlin Stutzman (R)  33 %
Others  5 %
Undecided  16 %

Job Approvals

President Obama

Approve  43 %
Disapprove  56 %

Governor Mitch Daniels (R)

Approve  70 %
Disapprove  29 %

Merlin’s Take:

Man, this is really striking. How worse have things gotten for Senator Evan Bayh.  He can’t even break 45 % against lesser known Opponents like Stutzman and Hostettler. That shows you in how bad shape he is. Unfortunately Rasmussen doesn’t give us Job Approvals for Bayh but my guess is that his Numbers are in the low 50’s and maybe even below that.

As someone who supports Republican Candidates I’d say “Run Mike Run”

Merlin

Ok…the Dog is a little confused with Merlin working at warp speed and all today…..somewhere today the Dog made the comment that this race with Bayh is connected to the Healthcare Bill and that when the Bill is passed, and the issue dies down Bayh will be in better shape…..

January 25, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 6 Comments