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Daniel……Florida Senate: Governor Crist’s Senate Campaign Chairman, former Florida Senator Connie Mack (R-FL) QUITS …..

Hello Dog Folks!

POLITICO reports that the Chairman of Governor Charlie Crist’s (R-FL) Senate Campaign, former Florida Senator Connie Mack (R-FL) HAS QUIT the Campaign.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0410/35918.html

On the heels of that MSNBC’s FIRST READ is reporting this:

*** What does Crist do? First Read has learned that Crist is getting much of his political advice nowadays from GOP strategist Mitch Bainwol, and they are considering two options right now: 1) making an independent bid, which would turn the general election into a toss-up; and 2) dropping out of the race altogether and turning his sights to a 2012 Senate challenge against Bill Nelson (D). But right now, no one is seriously talking about Crist staying in a GOP primary he’s trailing by double digits. The filing deadline is at the end of this month.

PLEASE CHARLIE, DROP OUT AND RUN AGAINST BILL NELSON IN 2012.

Daniel G.

I second that!…….Drop out Charlie…so Meek can run against Rubio!

This from PoliticalWire also…..

Crist’s Next Move

First Read has learned that Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) “is getting much of his political advice nowadays from GOP strategist Mitch Bainwol, and they are considering two options right now: 1) making an independent bid, which would turn the general election into a toss-up; and 2) dropping out of the race altogether and turning his sights to a 2012 Senate challenge against Bill Nelson (D-FL).”

The filing deadline is at the end of this month.


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April 16, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , | 32 Comments

Daniel……Florida Senate: Governor Crist's Senate Campaign Chairman, former Florida Senator Connie Mack (R-FL) QUITS …..

Hello Dog Folks!

POLITICO reports that the Chairman of Governor Charlie Crist’s (R-FL) Senate Campaign, former Florida Senator Connie Mack (R-FL) HAS QUIT the Campaign.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0410/35918.html

On the heels of that MSNBC’s FIRST READ is reporting this:

*** What does Crist do? First Read has learned that Crist is getting much of his political advice nowadays from GOP strategist Mitch Bainwol, and they are considering two options right now: 1) making an independent bid, which would turn the general election into a toss-up; and 2) dropping out of the race altogether and turning his sights to a 2012 Senate challenge against Bill Nelson (D). But right now, no one is seriously talking about Crist staying in a GOP primary he’s trailing by double digits. The filing deadline is at the end of this month.

PLEASE CHARLIE, DROP OUT AND RUN AGAINST BILL NELSON IN 2012.

Daniel G.

I second that!…….Drop out Charlie…so Meek can run against Rubio!

This from PoliticalWire also…..

Crist’s Next Move

First Read has learned that Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) “is getting much of his political advice nowadays from GOP strategist Mitch Bainwol, and they are considering two options right now: 1) making an independent bid, which would turn the general election into a toss-up; and 2) dropping out of the race altogether and turning his sights to a 2012 Senate challenge against Bill Nelson (D-FL).”

The filing deadline is at the end of this month.


April 16, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , | 32 Comments

Daniel….. Florida Senate: Crist trails Rubio BIG in Republican Primary but could win an Independent Bid according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey ……

Hello Dog Folks and Good Morning!

What will Florida Governor Charlie Crist (R-FL) do with his Senate Race?

There is now INCREASING Speculation that Crist could just change his mind and run as Independent in November.
The Wall Street Journal reported just YESTERDAY that Key Advisors of the Crist Campaign pushing for an Independent Senate Bid AND Crist himself dodged a Question on the Senate Race to a Reporter in Tampa.

On the heels of all this buzz Quinnipiac University is out with a Survey today showing Crist would do MUCH BETTER should he decide to run as Independent.

Crist leads Rubio in a 3-way Race for the General Election in November BY TWO POINTS.

Quinnipiac Unversity Survey

Florida Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio  56 %
Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist  33 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  10 %

General Election

[ Crist, Rubio and Meek ]

Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (R)  48 %
U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  34 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  14 %

Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  42 %
U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  38 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  17 %

3-way General Election with Crist running as Independent

Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (I)  32 %
Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  30 %
U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  24 %
Undecided  12 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

https://www.marcorubio.com/
http://charliecrist.com/
http://www.kendrickmeek.com/

Job Approvals

Governor Charlie Crist (R)

Approve  49 %
Disapprove  39 %
Not Sure  12 %

Senator Bill Nelson (D)

Approve  43 %
Disapprove  30 %
Not Sure  26 %

Senator George Lemieux (R)

Approve  20 %
Disapprove  21 %
Not Sure  59 %

Analysis:

IF Crist runs as Independent Meek is the BIG Loser.

IF Crist stays BUT also wins the Republican Primary Meek is FINISHED too.
A Rubio – Meek Race is currently a Toss-Up.
One interesting Caveat: How will the Health Care Issue play with Florida Senior Voters come November? MEEK IS SO STAUNCHLY LIBERAL that regardless how the Numbers against Rubio look like today I’m still not nervous.
The DSCC WILL CEDE Florida come August. Meek won’t get one Penny from them.

Daniel G.

Daniel…I ‘m still for  Rubio/Meek general……

And I think that Healthcare is finished as a factor in most of the November races……

April 15, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , , , , , | 12 Comments

Daniel…..Crist as an Independent in Florida’s Senate race?

Florida Senate:

Governor Crist Political Advisors pushing him to ABANDON his Republican Primary Campaign and run as Independent.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304604204575182411691733770.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

More:

After putting up a Statement just last week saying he wouldn’t run as Indie Crist today dodged a Question about his Political Future.

http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20100414/APP/1004142711?tc=ar

The Filling Deadline in Florida is April 30th. The Florida Legislature Session ends this month.

Even More:

Quinnipiac to release Florida Poll early tomorrow morning on the Florida GOP Primary as well as testing Crist as Republican and as Independent in the General Election.

http://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/12178740919

Daniel G.

Gosh!…sometimes politcs IS fun……

April 14, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Projections, Updates | , | Leave a comment

Daniel…..Crist as an Independent in Florida's Senate race?

Florida Senate:

Governor Crist Political Advisors pushing him to ABANDON his Republican Primary Campaign and run as Independent.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304604204575182411691733770.html?mod=googlenews_wsj

More:

After putting up a Statement just last week saying he wouldn’t run as Indie Crist today dodged a Question about his Political Future.

http://www.heraldtribune.com/article/20100414/APP/1004142711?tc=ar

The Filling Deadline in Florida is April 30th. The Florida Legislature Session ends this month.

Even More:

Quinnipiac to release Florida Poll early tomorrow morning on the Florida GOP Primary as well as testing Crist as Republican and as Independent in the General Election.

http://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll/status/12178740919

Daniel G.

Gosh!…sometimes politcs IS fun……

April 14, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Projections, Updates | , | Leave a comment

As Crist goes…..Meek goes…….

The Dog is watching the Crist and Rubio do their dance…….

If Crist stays in this race as an Independent…..

Well then Rep. Kendrick Meek could very well become the next Senator from Florida……

I’m not sure whether or not to trust this release. On the one hand, it sounds pretty firm, but on the other hand, if Crist really is thinking about running as an Independent, of course he’ll deny it right up the last second. Surely he learned a lesson from the Lieberman in-primary backlash. One also wonders why he would mention Teddy Roosevelt in his press release in this day of Tea Parties. Glenn Beck has demonized TR, turning him into one of America’s most feared historical enemies, and the GOP primary base is eating it up. That sounds more like general election talk than Repub primary speak to me.

Be that as it may, all of this is good news for the Democratic candidate, Rep. Kendrick Meek. TheRCP polling average shows a Crist-Meek matchup at 46.5-32.3 for Crist, with Crist topping 50% in one poll and Meek never doing better than a 9 point loss. Rubio-Meek, however, is just 44.3-35.5, and Meek even pulls within one point in a Research 2000 poll from 3/15-3/17. Throw Crist in the mix and you have to assume he takes more votes from Rubio than from Meek………

More from Nathan Empsall @ MyDD.Com ……

April 8, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Counterpoints, Family, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates | , , , | Leave a comment

Marco Rubio raises $3.6 million in the first quarter of 2010……

Not too shabby, huh?

In spite of that….. Charlie Crist isn’t going anywhere folks……

Rubio’s total doesn’t quite match Gov. Charlie Crist’s (R) $4.3 million effort in the second quarter of 2009 — his first quarter of fundraising when he was the presumptive nominee — but it does serve notice that the formerly popular governor’s days of being the financially superior GOP candidate are long past.

Crist’s big entree into Floriday’s GOP Senate primary stacked up well against the $340,000 Rubio raised between April and June last year, but since then, the table have turned considerably.

More……..

April 7, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , , | 7 Comments

Marco Rubio hits a bump….little or large?

The mud-slinging is about taxes on expenses……

Marco Rubio speaks at CPAC. | AP Photo

Here’s the piece from Politico.…..

Rubio’s expenses

Florida politics is abuzz today with the leak of the statements for a Republican Party American Express card held by Marco Rubio, which shows some charges for things that look like personal expenses.

Rubio quickly denounced the story as a low blow from the Crist-controlled party, and he has the advantage that the sums he’s accused of spending are far lower than those Crist’s allies at the parties spent.

But the way this kind of story can become truly damaging — for him and for other Florida Republicans — is if it emerges that they spent party money on their own and didn’t pay taxes on the imputed income. It’s often the taxing, not the spending, that brings pols down in situations like this.

NOTE: Rubio says he paid back all the personal expenses which, if true, would eliminate any problem. [The paper reported:

Records show Rubio sent payments to American Express totaling $13,900 for his personal expenses during his tenure as House speaker. But those payments were not made monthly. He made no contributions to the bill during a six-month stretch in 2007, records show.]

Posted by Ben Smith

February 25, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Entertainment, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Updates | , , | 12 Comments

From Merlin…..Rubio catches Crist in Florida's US Senate Race!…..

Hello Dog!

What a stunner: Rubio takes lead over Crist for the first time in a scientific Poll.

Just to recap this Race:  In June last year Florida Governor Charlie Crist led Rubio by 31!!! Points.
Crist’s Job Approval is pegged at 50 % right now. What a difference 7 months makes. So what’s Crist going to do now. Drop out? That would be odd. Pull a Lieberman and run as Independent? That seems odd too. He’s in a world of hurt right now.
Crist made one colossal mistake: He endorsed Obama’s Stimulus Plan and then didn’t watch over to other States like Pennsylvania .

We’re now seeing the same Trend that happened in Pennsylvania when Specter was still a Republican…..happen now here in Florida. Specter looked at his Numbers, pulled the trigger, and switched Parties because he couldn’t win the Republican Primary. Will Crist do the same? I doubt it. What’s clear is that he won’t win the GOP Primary because Conservatives, who only can vote in those closed Primaries, view him as too moderate.

Look for Rubio stretching out his lead over the coming months.

Quinnipiac Survey

Florida Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Former State House Speaker Marco Rubio  47 %
Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist  44 %
Undecided  8 %

The Pollster.com Average now shows Rubio with a slight lead over Crist

http://www.pollster.com/polls/fl/10-fl-sen-reppr-wc.php

General Election

Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (R)  48 %
Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  36 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  12 %

Former State House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  44 %
Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  35 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  18 %

Merlin’s thoughts:

Republicans can only hope should Rubio win the Primary that he doesn’t move to far to the right because if he does there’s a slight chance Meek could benefit from that and pull out one of the biggests upsets this Cycle. For that to happen the Political Climate for Democrats needs to get better somewhat.

Note:

Quinnipiac is likely to release a Florida Governor Poll tomorrow morning.

Merlin

The Dog is so happy for Marco Rubio!……and hopes he goes on to send Crist packing…..Merlin does not point out that difference between Crist/Meek and Rubio/Meek is what the Democrats and Meek people are happy with….Meek is only 9% points behind Rubio verses 12% behind Crist…Merlin is correct in worrying that a Rubio / Meek race would be much tighter than a Crist / Meek race….


January 26, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , , | 6 Comments

From Merlin…..Rubio catches Crist in Florida’s US Senate Race!…..

Hello Dog!

What a stunner: Rubio takes lead over Crist for the first time in a scientific Poll.

Just to recap this Race:  In June last year Florida Governor Charlie Crist led Rubio by 31!!! Points.
Crist’s Job Approval is pegged at 50 % right now. What a difference 7 months makes. So what’s Crist going to do now. Drop out? That would be odd. Pull a Lieberman and run as Independent? That seems odd too. He’s in a world of hurt right now.
Crist made one colossal mistake: He endorsed Obama’s Stimulus Plan and then didn’t watch over to other States like Pennsylvania .

We’re now seeing the same Trend that happened in Pennsylvania when Specter was still a Republican…..happen now here in Florida. Specter looked at his Numbers, pulled the trigger, and switched Parties because he couldn’t win the Republican Primary. Will Crist do the same? I doubt it. What’s clear is that he won’t win the GOP Primary because Conservatives, who only can vote in those closed Primaries, view him as too moderate.

Look for Rubio stretching out his lead over the coming months.

Quinnipiac Survey

Florida Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Former State House Speaker Marco Rubio  47 %
Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist  44 %
Undecided  8 %

The Pollster.com Average now shows Rubio with a slight lead over Crist

http://www.pollster.com/polls/fl/10-fl-sen-reppr-wc.php

General Election

Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (R)  48 %
Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  36 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  12 %

Former State House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  44 %
Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  35 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  18 %

Merlin’s thoughts:

Republicans can only hope should Rubio win the Primary that he doesn’t move to far to the right because if he does there’s a slight chance Meek could benefit from that and pull out one of the biggests upsets this Cycle. For that to happen the Political Climate for Democrats needs to get better somewhat.

Note:

Quinnipiac is likely to release a Florida Governor Poll tomorrow morning.

Merlin

The Dog is so happy for Marco Rubio!……and hopes he goes on to send Crist packing…..Merlin does not point out that difference between Crist/Meek and Rubio/Meek is what the Democrats and Meek people are happy with….Meek is only 9% points behind Rubio verses 12% behind Crist…Merlin is correct in worrying that a Rubio / Meek race would be much tighter than a Crist / Meek race….


January 26, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , , | 6 Comments