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Ed Case will not run for the Hawaii 1st District in November……

[ Case , Hanabusa and Djou who recently won the seat….]

This welcomed news for the White House and Hawaii’s democratic Party…

This should clear the way fir Colleen Hanabusa to win the seat in November….since the Democratic vote will not be split….

What is interesting is that The Dog and Daniel have both pointed out that part of the problem here was that natives have pushed Case out of the race……

Former Rep. Ed Case (D-Hawaii), who recently finished third in a House special election, says he will not run in November against newly-minted GOP Rep. Charles Djou.

In an e-mail to supporters Sunday afternoon titled, “Heart Says Yes, Head Says No,” Case announced that, “today I’m withdrawing my candidacy for the U. S. House of Representatives from Hawai‘i’s great First District for the upcoming 112th Congress.”

The announcement came one week after Case and state Senate President Colleen Hanabusa split the Democratic vote in the May 22 special election for the Honolulu-based seat former Democratic Rep. Neil Abercrombie vacated to run for governor. Case finished in third place, an unexpected outcome for the former Democratic congressman.

Case, who faced fierce opposition during the campaign from the state Democratic establishment, initially said after the loss that he planned to run for the Democratic nomination for the full term. But Case told supporters Sunday that, “My heart tells me to stay in this fight, but my head says this has become the wrong fight.”

More……..

From Daniel……

Hello Folks!

WHAT A STUNNER THIS EVENING. We’ve BREAKING NEWS out of the “Aloha State”. Former U. S. Rep. Ed Case (D-HI) has ENDED his Campaign for the Hawai’i First Congressional District Race POLITICO reports.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/37960.html

It’ll be Hanabusa vs. Djou in November and with now likely 2 NATIVES atop of the Hawai’i Ticket (Hannemann & Inouye) this Race should now be rated as Likely Democratic for November.

I bet there was mounting Pressure from Senators Inouye and Akaka to Case to drop his Bid.

Daniel G.

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May 30, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , | 6 Comments

Case will run again…..For now…..

After the split of the democratic vote in the Hawaii Special House seat election you’d think  Ed Case would get the message….

Give it up!

But right now his bruised ego won’t let him do that….

From 5,000 miles away the Dog can see that the race in November is going to be a native one….

Djou against Hanabusa…..

It’s not pretty but Case is going to find himself standing alone….The voters will migrate to Hanabusa….

I’m sure some polling will show this in the next month or two….

While the Dog…and everyone else thought it would be the other way……Daniel seems to right in this race……

Any mention of Obama…even though he’s hometown favorite….hurts the candidate…..

I said this about Hanabusa …and I was wrong…..Now I repeat this for Case…..

Give it up Ed…..For the parties sake….leave it for Colleen (Hanabusa )…..

Despite a disappointing third-place finish in the Hawaii special election, former Democratic Rep. Ed Case said Monday he will still compete for the Democratic nomination and declared that there is no way state Sen. Colleen Hanabusa can defeat Rep.-elect Charles Djou in November.

“I went surfing; I went to the beach; I did look at the results, and I made the decision that I’m running again,” Case told POLITICO.

“My basic message to my party is that Hanabusa cannot beat Djou and I will. The results prove that in spades. … He will hold his votes and enough of the people that voted for me will vote for Djou to get him over 50 percent.”

His comments make clear that the bad blood between Case and Hanabusa during the special election has not subsided, and that both are headed towards a repeat of their divisive special election feud, which led to Republican Charles Djou winning Hawaii’s traditionally Democratic 1st District this past weekend.

Djou won the seat with 40 percent of the vote, but Hanabusa finished in second place with 31 percent, a surprising finish since most pre-election public polls showed her lagging well behind in third place. Case instead brought up the rear, with 28 percent of the vote.

Case attributed his third-place finish to being attacked by both Djou, who viewed him as the strongest challenger, and third-party labor and women’s groups, which poured money into the district on Hanabusa’s behalf.

More……..

May 25, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , | 1 Comment

Daniel……Hawaii 1st Congressional District Special Election Coverage….

Hello Dog Pound!

The Deadline to drop off Ballots in the Hawaii 1st Congressional District Special Election will be over in one Hour.

State Election Officials in the Aloha State are preparing to announce a Winner shortly after the Deadline.

Meanwhile Republicans are pretty confident that Honolulu City Councilman Charles Djou (R-HI) will prevail.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/37639.html

Daniel G.

The Vote Totals…….

Congressional District I

98 of 98

(R) DJOU, Charles 67,274 39.5%*

(D) HANABUSA, Colleen 52,445 30.8%

(D) CASE, Ed 47,012 27.6%

(D) DEL CASTILLO, Rafael (Del) 654 0.4%

(N) STRODE, Kalaeloa 489 0.3%

(N) BREWER, Jim 269 0.2%

(D) LEE, Philmund (Phil) 254 0.1%

(R) COLLINS, Charles (Googie) 192 0.1%

(R) AMSTERDAM, C. Kaui Jochanan 169 0.1%

(D) BROWNE, Vinny 149 0.1%

(N) TATAII, Steve 123 0.1%

(R) CRUM, Douglas 107 0.1%

(R) GIUFFRE, John (Raghu) 82 0.0%

(N) MOSELEY, Karl F. 79 0.0%

Blank Votes: 134

Over Votes: 880 0.5%

0.1%

REGISTRATION AND TURNOUT

****************************************

****************************************

SPECIAL

TOTAL REGISTRATION

TOTAL TURNOUT

ABSENTEE TURNOUT

317,337

52.9%

0.7%

PRECINCT TURNOUT

170,312 53.7%

168,010

2,302

OVERSEAS TURNOUT

****************************************

****************************************

OVERSEAS BALLOTS CAST

1ST CONGRESSIONAL

2ND CONGRESSIONAL

285

0

285 0.0%

May 22, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Projections, Updates, Women | , | 29 Comments

48% of tomorrows Hawaii Special Election ballots are already in by mail…..

From Politicalwire….

Saturday’s Election is Already Half Over

Although the special election to replace Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D-HI) isn’t until Saturday, KITV-TV reports that as of Wednesday, 48% of the ballots were already turned in by mail.

Colleen Hanabusa (D), Ed Case (D) and Charles Djou (R) are the frontrunners in the race.


May 21, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Updates, Women | | 1 Comment

Daniel…..Hawaii Special: Who are the real Power Brokers in Hawaii? It's certainly not the DCCC or President Obama

Hello Folks and Good Morning!

A few weeks back when it became apparent that the Republicans could win the Hawaii Special Congressional Election I told “The Dog” that EVEN the President has NO POWER in his Home State.

He laughed at me and suggested that it can’t be true because Obama won the State with 74 % of the Vote in 2008 and the 1st Congressional District with 70 %. I told him about Senators Inouye and Akaka. I WAS RIGHT.

There are at least two People who have more Power in Hawaii then the entire Democratic Establishment including the DCCC and the President: Senators Inouye and Akaka.

Both combined have an age of 170 years. Both are 85 years old and Hawaiians are listening to them when it comes to Politics.

When Senator Daniel Ken Inouye (D-HI) throw his OUTSPOKEN Support behind State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI) you instantly knew Democrats were bracing for battle.

The DCCC made a colossal error of Judgement not throwing their Support behind Hanabusa. Now they should know that they HAVE TO LISTEN to these two Senior Senators.

Politico has this Piece here describing the Tensions between the DCCC and Inouye:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/37172.html

To the Dog:

Read the Full 3 Pages and you will know a lot of Insights from the “Aloha State”. Your claim Hanabusa won’t run against Case in a Democratic Primary in September is COMPLETELY FALSE if you read that Politico Piece. Inouye HIMSELF will make sure Hanabusa will win the Democratic Primary in September and face Djou in November. Hanabusa will then be elected Congresswoman and will succeed either Akaka in 2012 or Inouye in 2016. For the first Time EVER Democrats will have 4 Asian-Americans in Congress from Hawaii.

So, STOP BLAMING Hanabusa. BLAME INOUYE if you lose that Seat. Ha, the Hawaii Machine is more powerful then your President.

Daniel G.

Ok….Daniel……

Listen very carefully….Hanabusa is NOT running in November…..

Your whole arguement is Ok…..so is Politico……

But the most important thing is November…and getting the seat back…..

Even Inouye has to deal with that……
The Dog

May 13, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , | 3 Comments

Daniel…..Hawaii Special: Who are the real Power Brokers in Hawaii? It’s certainly not the DCCC or President Obama

Hello Folks and Good Morning!

A few weeks back when it became apparent that the Republicans could win the Hawaii Special Congressional Election I told “The Dog” that EVEN the President has NO POWER in his Home State.

He laughed at me and suggested that it can’t be true because Obama won the State with 74 % of the Vote in 2008 and the 1st Congressional District with 70 %. I told him about Senators Inouye and Akaka. I WAS RIGHT.

There are at least two People who have more Power in Hawaii then the entire Democratic Establishment including the DCCC and the President: Senators Inouye and Akaka.

Both combined have an age of 170 years. Both are 85 years old and Hawaiians are listening to them when it comes to Politics.

When Senator Daniel Ken Inouye (D-HI) throw his OUTSPOKEN Support behind State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI) you instantly knew Democrats were bracing for battle.

The DCCC made a colossal error of Judgement not throwing their Support behind Hanabusa. Now they should know that they HAVE TO LISTEN to these two Senior Senators.

Politico has this Piece here describing the Tensions between the DCCC and Inouye:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/37172.html

To the Dog:

Read the Full 3 Pages and you will know a lot of Insights from the “Aloha State”. Your claim Hanabusa won’t run against Case in a Democratic Primary in September is COMPLETELY FALSE if you read that Politico Piece. Inouye HIMSELF will make sure Hanabusa will win the Democratic Primary in September and face Djou in November. Hanabusa will then be elected Congresswoman and will succeed either Akaka in 2012 or Inouye in 2016. For the first Time EVER Democrats will have 4 Asian-Americans in Congress from Hawaii.

So, STOP BLAMING Hanabusa. BLAME INOUYE if you lose that Seat. Ha, the Hawaii Machine is more powerful then your President.

Daniel G.

Ok….Daniel……

Listen very carefully….Hanabusa is NOT running in November…..

Your whole arguement is Ok…..so is Politico……

But the most important thing is November…and getting the seat back…..

Even Inouye has to deal with that……
The Dog

May 13, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , | 3 Comments

Hawaii …….Djou will win as Daniel wants…..But the seat goes back to Democrats in January…..

Yea Daniel gets another one…..

But as he so correctly pointed out to me yesterday…….

Djou is just babysitting the seat (he’ll have it for 7 months )….

Colleen Hanabusa has pulled her papers on running in November….( As I thought she would )

Thus Richard Case will easily win the seat back for the Demeocrats in Novemeber….which is why the DCCC turned the money off in the race…..

Charles Djou is smelling victory in the winner-take-all for the 1st Congressional District. But it may be short-lived.

Recall Hawaii’s special election of 1986. Democrat Neil Abercrombie won the race to replace Democrat Cec Heftel in Congress, who resigned to run for governor (and lost).

But Abercrombie’s term was only for three and a half months. He lost the primary that year to Mufi Hannemann, and Hannemann lost the general to Republican Pat Saiki.

Should Djou prevail over Democrats Ed Case and Colleen Hanabusa in the May 22 special election, as polls now suggest, his will serve in Congress from May 24 until early January 2011 — about seven months (including an August recess).

Who’s looking ahead to September? Colleen Hanabusa has already pulled papers to run in the primary along with two other Democrats.

Two Republicans and a nonpartisan candidate have pulled papers, too. Djou and Case? Not yet.

More……..

May 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , | 6 Comments

Daniel….Hawaii Special Election: BREAKING NEWS; DCCC is pulling the plug on the Hawaii 1st Congressional District Special Election POLITICO reports

Hello Folks!

WHEW. We’ve BREAKING NEWS out of the Aloha State. I KNEW this would happen. The DCCC and his Campaign Chief Chris Van Hollen (D-Maryland) OFFICIALLY DECIDED to pull the Plug on Hawaii.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/36997.html

Daniel G.

Hanabusa  will be pressured to drop out……One way or another…Wait and see…..This race will  be won by Case……
The Dog

May 10, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , | 13 Comments

Daniel….Hawaii 1st Congressional District Special Election: WHEW, Democrats may pull out of Hawaii….

Hello Folks!

Just WOW. What the heck is happening in Hawaii? POLITICO reports that the DCCC is considering dropping out of Hawaii.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/36886.html

This is getting even more weird here. All the negative Attacks on Djou ain’t working it seems.

On the heels of that State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa (D-HI) said that she WON’T drop out:

[ Colleen Hanabusa ]

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0510/36855.html

Analysis:

Looks like Dems are on the brink here.

Daniel G.

If Hanabausa doesn’t get the message her name is going to be mud to the Democratic party…..

Your story Daniel is just about pressure being put on Hanabusa…..

She’s get something offered to her and drop out before November…Wait and see…

Crist said he’d run only as a Republican, right?………

May 6, 2010 Posted by | Boats, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Projections, Updates, Women | , , , | 2 Comments

Hawaii Special Election….Democrats will go with Case….They want Hanabusa to drop out….

[ Ed Case and his wife Audrey Nakamura ]

I keep saying one of the two Democrats in the race has to DROP OUT……

It appears the Rep. Ed Case is the stronger Democrat in the polling…

The hard part will be for Democrats on the Island, and the mainland, to get Hawaii State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa to drop her bid for the spot……..

The White House and top Democratic officials are circulating a new, private poll to suggest that only one of two Democrats splitting votes in a tightly contested Hawaii special election has a chance of winning the race.

The White House and Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee see former Rep. Ed Case as a stronger candidate than State Senate President Colleen Hanabusa in a race that has divided Democrats. Hanabusa has the support of much of the state’s establishment, including both senators and key labor unions.

“Our April 24 to 26 survey among 506 likely voters in Hawaii’s 1st CD special election shows Democrat Ed Case virtually tied with Republican Charles Djou, but leading on every dimension over Democrat Colleen Hanabusa,” pollster Paul Harstad wrote in a memo accompanying the DNC survey, both obtained by POLITICO.

Harstad’s poll is the latest weapon in intense efforts to push Hanabusa out of the race, or at least move some of her institutional supporters to Case’s side.

“It is clear from this data — as from all the public polling – that Ed Case is the best chance that our party has of holding on to that seat,” said a senior White House official. “Given where Hanabusa is in al of this research, one has to be concerned about what the likely out come is if the dynamic remains unchanged.”

There are “a lot of conversations” under way between Washington Democrats and Hanabusa’s key supporters, the official said, though the official declined to make the White House’s goal explicit.

Harstad’s poll found Case the most popular candidate, with a 63% favorable rating to 55% for Republican Charles Djou and just 41% for Hanabusa.

The survey found Djou with 36% and Case with 34% to Hanabusa’s 20%, a Republican lead that widened among the most likely voters and “illustrate[s] the vulnerability of losing this seat to the Republicans,” Harstad wrote of the survey, which found Case more popular than Hanabusa even among women.

“The bottom line is that with a split-Democratic vote, this congressional is more likely than not to fall into Republican hands…….

More……..

May 3, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , | 1 Comment