Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Indiana Senator Evan Bayh will not run for re-election……..

This from the Washington Post’s The Fix.……

Evan Bayh to retire……

Indiana Sen. Evan Bayh will not seek re-election this year, a decision that hands Republicans a prime pickup opportunity in the middle of the country.

“After all these years, my passion for service to my fellow citizens is undiminished, but my desire to do so by serving in Congress has waned,” Bayh will say.

Bayh will announce the decision at a press conference later today. He was first elected to the Senate in 1998 and was re-elected easily in 2004. National Republicans had recruited former Sen. Dan Coats to challenge Bayh in 2010 although polling suggested Bayh began the race with a 20-point edge. He also had $13 million in the bank at the end of the year.

Prior to being in the Senate, Bayh served two terms as governor of the Hoosier State. He also served briefly as Secretary of State.

Update from Merlin.….

Bayh’s Move could prove brilliant:

Here is why:

The Democratic States Central Committee will select their Candidate at a later Date AND if either fmr. DNC Chairman Joe Andrew or 9/11 Commission Member Tim Roemer runs Republicans are SCREWED

The Dog wondered about the timing of this announcement…..

Update#2.………

UPDATE 2:

This isn’t a DONE DEAL.

Bayh has ALREADY a Democratic Primary Opponent:

http://www.tamyraforsenate.com/

Tamyra d’Ippolito

Democrats MUST NOW HOPE that she can’t garner enough signatures by Friday. If she DOES Democrats can’t select a Replacement via the States Central Committee.

To Merlin…..from the Dog…

your scenario will play out…you got it right…..

this is serious now……

UPDATE 3:

Mike Pence (R-IN) is RECONSIDERING. Come On Mike now. Run.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0210/32973.html

Update#4.…..

Hello Dog!

It looks like you’ve your Candidate. According to the Evansville Courier-Press Congressman Brad Ellsworth (D-IN Eigth) is making a Statement this afternoon.

From the Evansville Courier-Press:

Ellsworth is seen by many as the leading candidate. An aide for Ellsworth said the former Vanderburgh County sheriff and two-term House member will comment this afternoon.

One possible scenario could involve Ellsworth running for Bayh’s Senate seat and Democrats choosing Weinzapfel to replace him for the House.

Weinzapfel is the Mayor of Evansville and would likely be the Favourite to hold Ellsworth’s House Seat.

http://www.courierpress.com/news/2010/feb/15/bayh-says-he-wont-seek-re-election/

Advertisements

February 15, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates | , , | 42 Comments

From Merlin….The GOP can’t find someone to run against Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind)……..

Hello Dog!

BREAKING NEWS out of Indiana:

Republican NRSC Chairman John Cornyn (R-IN) has been dealt another Setback in expanding the Senate Map for Republicans. Secretary of State Todd Rokita who mulled over a Senate Challenge to Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) chosed instead to run for the 4th Congressional District Rep. Steve Buyer (R-IN 4) is vacating.

Links……
http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0210/Another_GOP_recruiting_setback_in_Indiana.html?showall

http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/rokita-plans-to-run-for-buyers-seat

http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/22399228/detail.html

http://www.wthr.com/Global/story.asp?S=11912615

http://www.indystar.com/article/20100201/NEWS05/100201012/Rokita-will-seek-to-replace-Rep.-Buyer
Merlin

February 1, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Updates | , , | 17 Comments

From Merlin….The GOP can't find someone to run against Sen. Evan Bayh (D-Ind)……..

Hello Dog!

BREAKING NEWS out of Indiana:

Republican NRSC Chairman John Cornyn (R-IN) has been dealt another Setback in expanding the Senate Map for Republicans. Secretary of State Todd Rokita who mulled over a Senate Challenge to Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) chosed instead to run for the 4th Congressional District Rep. Steve Buyer (R-IN 4) is vacating.

Links……
http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0210/Another_GOP_recruiting_setback_in_Indiana.html?showall

http://www.wishtv.com/dpp/news/rokita-plans-to-run-for-buyers-seat

http://www.theindychannel.com/politics/22399228/detail.html

http://www.wthr.com/Global/story.asp?S=11912615

http://www.indystar.com/article/20100201/NEWS05/100201012/Rokita-will-seek-to-replace-Rep.-Buyer
Merlin

February 1, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Updates | , , | 17 Comments

Merlin on Indiana’s Senate Race…Evan Bayh…and some Job approval numbers….

Hello Dog!

Bad News are continuing to come for Senate Democrats. Should Republican House Policy Chair Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN 6) announce for Senate he would start the Race in a statistical tie with Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) a new Poll shows.

Rasmussen Survey

Indiana Senate 2010

Rep. Mike Pence (R)  47 %
Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  7 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Former Rep. John Hostettler (R)  41 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  12 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  45 %
State Senator Marlin Stutzman (R)  33 %
Others  5 %
Undecided  16 %

Job Approvals

President Obama

Approve  43 %
Disapprove  56 %

Governor Mitch Daniels (R)

Approve  70 %
Disapprove  29 %

Merlin’s Take:

Man, this is really striking. How worse have things gotten for Senator Evan Bayh.  He can’t even break 45 % against lesser known Opponents like Stutzman and Hostettler. That shows you in how bad shape he is. Unfortunately Rasmussen doesn’t give us Job Approvals for Bayh but my guess is that his Numbers are in the low 50’s and maybe even below that.

As someone who supports Republican Candidates I’d say “Run Mike Run”

Merlin

Ok…the Dog is a little confused with Merlin working at warp speed and all today…..somewhere today the Dog made the comment that this race with Bayh is connected to the Healthcare Bill and that when the Bill is passed, and the issue dies down Bayh will be in better shape…..

January 25, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 6 Comments

Merlin on Indiana's Senate Race…Evan Bayh…and some Job approval numbers….

Hello Dog!

Bad News are continuing to come for Senate Democrats. Should Republican House Policy Chair Rep. Mike Pence (R-IN 6) announce for Senate he would start the Race in a statistical tie with Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D-IN) a new Poll shows.

Rasmussen Survey

Indiana Senate 2010

Rep. Mike Pence (R)  47 %
Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  7 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  44 %
Former Rep. John Hostettler (R)  41 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  12 %

Incumbent Senator Evan Bayh (D)  45 %
State Senator Marlin Stutzman (R)  33 %
Others  5 %
Undecided  16 %

Job Approvals

President Obama

Approve  43 %
Disapprove  56 %

Governor Mitch Daniels (R)

Approve  70 %
Disapprove  29 %

Merlin’s Take:

Man, this is really striking. How worse have things gotten for Senator Evan Bayh.  He can’t even break 45 % against lesser known Opponents like Stutzman and Hostettler. That shows you in how bad shape he is. Unfortunately Rasmussen doesn’t give us Job Approvals for Bayh but my guess is that his Numbers are in the low 50’s and maybe even below that.

As someone who supports Republican Candidates I’d say “Run Mike Run”

Merlin

Ok…the Dog is a little confused with Merlin working at warp speed and all today…..somewhere today the Dog made the comment that this race with Bayh is connected to the Healthcare Bill and that when the Bill is passed, and the issue dies down Bayh will be in better shape…..

January 25, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 6 Comments

Merlin on the Survey USA.. AR-2, OH-1 and NY-1 House races…..

Ok….This is all Merilin’s House races….

Hi Dog!

Man, I’m so greatful Survey USA finally got of the hock this year, and did some House District Polls. I’m listing the newest Poll first…….

Indiana 9th

fmr. Rep. Mike Sodrel (R)  49 %
Rep. Baron Hill (D)  41 %
Undecided  10 %

New York 1st

Rep. Tim Bishop (D)  47 %
Randy Altschuler (R)  45 %
Undecided  8 %

Ohio 1st

fmr. Steve Chabot (R)  56 %
Rep. Steve Driehaus (D)  39 %
Undecided  5 %

Arkansas 2nd

Tim Griffin (R)  55 %
Rep. Vic Snyder (D)  39 %
Undecided  5 %

Note: One Day after this Poll came out Snyder announced his Retirement.

Merlin Take:

I talked a lot in my Ohio Projections about Hamilton County which is a Swing County. Well, OH-1 is in Hamilton County, and I’d have to say….. things are looking ominous for Driehaus. Without Obama on the Ballot, he’s unlikely to win.

Ditto for Rep. Baron Hill, who lives in a Swing District, and a potential Pence Candidacy would make matters worse.

Bishop is in the Race for his Political Life  also.

Full Results at http://elections.firedoglake.com

Merlin

January 21, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , , | Leave a comment