Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Pataki will not run for the Senate……

I’ve got to be good here……

George Pataki…..will not run for the US Senate from New York State…..

But I have badgered Daniel….mercelessly about this……..

Just yesterday…..I was on his case…..

Pataki never made any move to even acknowledge he would want to do this…..

I pointed out that he would have to run on his record as Governor of New York where he left the state with a budget deficit that remains…..

Finally, folks I’ll repeat this…..WTF has Kirsten Gillibrand got?….No Shit!…….No One…I mean No one of any substance will challenge her!

Be they Democrat …or Republican……..

I don’t get it?

Here’s the Pataki piece……

Former New York Republican Gov. George E. Pataki has decided not to mount an election challenge against Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand this fall.

Instead, he said in an interview Tuesday that he would create a new national organization aimed at building support to repeal the recently enacted health-care overhaul.

Mr. Pataki’s decision to bypass the Senate race marks another major coup for Ms. Gillibrand, who has been enormously successful in knocking out competition on both sides of the aisle despite appearing to be vulnerable politically. Were he to enter the race, Mr. Pataki would be leading Ms. Gillibrand by 45% to 40%, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday.

Mr. Pataki, 64 years old, said he believed his plan to form the organization, called Revere America, would be the ideal way to play a role on the national political stage.

“When you look at what is happening in Washington, it’s just a disaster for our future,” said Mr. Pataki, who served three terms as New York’s chief executive from 1995 through 2006. “It’s just more government spending, more government borrowing, government control over our health-care system.”

More……..

Advertisements

April 13, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , | 6 Comments

Daniel……New York Governor & Senate: Cuomo leads General Election, Lazio the Republican Primary for Governor; Pataki would still beat Gillibrand IF he after all decides to run according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey

Hello Dog!

Still undeclared Candidate, State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) would CRUSH Republicans in November according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey.

Meanwhile IF after all former Governor George Pataki (R-NY) decides to run he would beat the States Junior Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) by 5 Points; Otherwise Gillibrand is heavily favored to win the Senate Special Election this year.

Quinnipiac University Survey

New York Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio  34 %
Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy  11 %
Real Estate Developer Carl Paladino  11 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  40 %

General Election

[ Cuomo and Lazio ]

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  55 %
Former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio (R)  26 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  15 %

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  57 %
Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy (R)  24 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  15 %

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  60 %
Real Estate Developer Carl Paladino (R)  24 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  14 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://lazio.com/
http://www.levyforgovernor.com/
http://paladinoforthepeople.com/

New York Senate Special Election 2010

Republican Primary

Former New York Governor George Pataki  64 %
Former Nassau County Legislator Bruce Blakeman  15 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  19 %

General Election

Former New York Governor George Pataki (R)  45 %
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  40 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  13 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  47 %
Former Nassau County Legislator Bruce Blakeman (R)  25 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  18 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.kirstengillibrand.com/
http://blakeman2010.com/

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama (D)

Approve  62 %
Disapprove  33 %

Governor David A. Paterson (D)

Approve  25 %
Disapprove  65 %

Senator Charles “Chuck” Schumer (D)

Approve  61 %
Disapprove  26 %

Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)

Approve  47 %
Disapprove  25 %

Analysis:

“The Dog” keeps arguing with me over “Undeclared Candidates” like Thompson, Rossi or Pataki. May I ask him why Cuomo hasn’t declared yet? Maybe Cuomo doesn’t want to be Governor?

Daniel G.

Ha, ha, ha…That’s funny Daniel…..

Meanwhile…… what is Pataki gonna do?………..

I’m not a Gillibrand fan..but she’s got something going on…maybe its politician repellant…nobody….. from both parties….. wants to go at her?

April 13, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates, Women | , , | 9 Comments

Daniel……New York Senate Special: New Marist Poll spells some HUGE Trouble for Gillibrand EVEN without Pataki…..

Hello Dog!

A new Statewide Survey in the Empire State spells some huge Trouble for Junior Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY). True this isn’t reflected in the Head-to-Head Match-Ups BUT if you have only a 27 %!!! Job Approvals you’re in some serious dudu. So even if Pataki doesn’t run (which as of now doesn’t seem likely) DON’T COUNT OUT other Candidates like Bruce Blakeman (R-NY).

2008 Recap: Who would have thought then Senator Elizabeth Dole (R-NC) would lose against a little known State Senator named Kay Hagan (D-NC)? Candidates do matter and if you run a decent Campaign you can still win even if you’re the UNDERDOG.

Marist Research Survey

New York Senate Special 2010

Republican Primary (with Pataki)

George Pataki  62 %
Joseph DioGuardi  7 %
Bruce Bakeman  4 %
David Malpass  2 %
Daniel Senor  2 % (Note: Senor dropped out last week)
Undecided  23 %

Republican Primary (without Pataki)

Joseph DioGuardi  18 %
Bruce Blakeman  10 %
David Malpass  9 %
Daniel Senor  4 % (Note: Senor dropped out last week)
Undecided  59 %

General Election

Former New York Governor George Pataki (R)  47 %
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  45 %
Undecided  8 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  54 %
Attorney Bruce Blakeman (R)  25 %
Undecided  21 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  54 %
Former U. S. Rep. Joseph DioGuardi (R)  27 %
Undecided  19 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  54 %
Economist David Malpass (R)  25 %
Undecided  21 %

Major Candidates Websites (Links):

http://www.kirstengillibrand.com/home

http://blakeman2010.com

http://www.truthingovernment.org (DioGuardi )

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama (D)

Approve  53 %
Disapprove  47 %

Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)

Approve  27 %
Disapprove  51 %

Senator Charles “Chuck” Schumer (D)

Approve  51 %
Disapprove  45 %

Full Results at:

Note: Remainder: May I say to you that Cuomo still isn’t in the Governor Race so plenty of time for Pataki to decide.

Analysis:

This doesn’t look good for Gillibrand with a 27 % JA EVEN if she leads DioGuardi & Blakeman by around 20 Points. That can disappear very fast once a Campaign gets started. AND until Pataki goes before CAMERA and says NO I’m still hopeful. The Filling Deadline in New York isn’t until June 14th.

Daniel G.

Daniel….I TOLD YOU…..I TOLD YOU….ITOLD YOU!…she is not the best candidate the Democrats could have……I am not at all surprised…she may win…but she is going be skating on very thin ice till November 5th……

March 29, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , | 21 Comments

Daniel…..New York Governor & Senate: Cuomo clobbers Lazio & Levy; Lazio leads Levy BIG; Gillibrand still trails Pataki but beats Blakeman; Interestingly Dan Senor wasn’t polled?………….

Hello Dog!

“The Dog” teased this Poll this morning so I’ll just have an more in depth look at the Numbers. A new Statewide Survey in the Empire State shows State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) clobbering his Republican Opposition. What’s more surprising is that former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio (R-NY) starts out the Primary Election Campaign with a HUGE Advantage over Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy (R-NY) who announced his Campaign on Friday. I don’t buy these Numbers at all. I think Levy will beat Lazio in the end.

In the Senate Special Election Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) still trails former New York Governor George Pataki (R-NY) by 6 Points but beats her Main Republican Rival Bruce Blakeman (R-NY) by 24 Points. Most surprisingly for me is that New York’s Local Pollster left out Daniel “Dan” Senor (R-NY).

Siena Research Institute Survey

New York Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Lazio and Levy

Former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio  45 %
Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy  16 %

General Election

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  59 %
Former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio (R)  21 %
Attorney Warren Redlich (L)  3 %
Undecided  17 %

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  63 %
Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy (R)  16 %
Attorney Warren Redlich (L)  4 %

Major Candidate Websites:

http://lazio.com/
http://www.levyforgovernor.com/

Note: Cuomo has still his Attorney General Campaign Website up but that will change soon.

New York Senate Special Election

General Election


Former New York Governor George Pataki (R)  45 %
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  39 %
Undecided  15 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  48 %
Attorney Bruce Blakeman (R)  24 %
Undecided  28 %

Major Candidate Websites:

http://www.kirstengillibrand.com/home
http://blakeman2010.com/

Analysis:

Very surprising they left out Senor.

Daniel G.

Yea Daniel I agree…He hasn’t declared…… but he’s running….Why was he left out?

Keep an eye on Levy….he’s known to be a little bit of a ‘all over the place guy’….and he may not do as well as everyone thinks outside of his native Suffolk County….the fact remains this is Cuomo’s to lose…and with numbers like his (they will go down a bit ) he looks very much like a winner…..

That would be a father son team…like the ….He, he, he Bush’s……….

March 22, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Daniel…..New York Governor & Senate: Cuomo clobbers Lazio & Levy; Lazio leads Levy BIG; Gillibrand still trails Pataki but beats Blakeman; Interestingly Dan Senor wasn't polled?………….

Hello Dog!

“The Dog” teased this Poll this morning so I’ll just have an more in depth look at the Numbers. A new Statewide Survey in the Empire State shows State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D-NY) clobbering his Republican Opposition. What’s more surprising is that former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio (R-NY) starts out the Primary Election Campaign with a HUGE Advantage over Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy (R-NY) who announced his Campaign on Friday. I don’t buy these Numbers at all. I think Levy will beat Lazio in the end.

In the Senate Special Election Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY) still trails former New York Governor George Pataki (R-NY) by 6 Points but beats her Main Republican Rival Bruce Blakeman (R-NY) by 24 Points. Most surprisingly for me is that New York’s Local Pollster left out Daniel “Dan” Senor (R-NY).

Siena Research Institute Survey

New York Governor 2010

Republican Primary

Lazio and Levy

Former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio  45 %
Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy  16 %

General Election

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  59 %
Former U. S. Rep. Rick Lazio (R)  21 %
Attorney Warren Redlich (L)  3 %
Undecided  17 %

State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo (D)  63 %
Suffolk County Executive Steve Levy (R)  16 %
Attorney Warren Redlich (L)  4 %

Major Candidate Websites:

http://lazio.com/
http://www.levyforgovernor.com/

Note: Cuomo has still his Attorney General Campaign Website up but that will change soon.

New York Senate Special Election

General Election


Former New York Governor George Pataki (R)  45 %
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  39 %
Undecided  15 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  48 %
Attorney Bruce Blakeman (R)  24 %
Undecided  28 %

Major Candidate Websites:

http://www.kirstengillibrand.com/home
http://blakeman2010.com/

Analysis:

Very surprising they left out Senor.

Daniel G.

Yea Daniel I agree…He hasn’t declared…… but he’s running….Why was he left out?

Keep an eye on Levy….he’s known to be a little bit of a ‘all over the place guy’….and he may not do as well as everyone thinks outside of his native Suffolk County….the fact remains this is Cuomo’s to lose…and with numbers like his (they will go down a bit ) he looks very much like a winner…..

That would be a father son team…like the ….He, he, he Bush’s……….

March 22, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , , , , | 7 Comments

Dan Senor…..Possible New York Senate Republican candidate……

[Dan Senor is expected to decide within a month on a candidacy.]

Ah, what about all that Fox Cable time…..does that help?

And Rick Lazio needs to start a new career guess, huh?

Mr. Senor, 38, who is married to the CNN anchorwoman Campbell Brown, is expected to decide in the next month whether to run. The discussions between Mr. Senor and the Republican leaders reflect their dissatisfaction with the existing field of Republican candidates in the state and their consensus that Ms. Gillibrand remains vulnerable to a challenger in the election this fall.

In recent weeks, as Democratic political prospects have soured, a number of big-name Republicans — including Rudolph W. Giuliani, the former mayor and presidential candidate — have urged Mr. Senor to consider running.

“Rudy is very impressed with him and pleased that he is considering running,” said Anthony V. Carbonetti, a senior adviser to Mr. Giuliani, who said the former mayor had lunch with Mr. Senor a few days ago.

Among others who have encouraged him are Senator John Cornyn of Texas, the chairman of theNational Republican Senatorial Committee; Michael R. Long, the leader of the New York Conservative Party; and Edward F. Cox, the chairman of the state’s Republican Party, according to people with direct knowledge of the conversations

The Republican leaders, who cautioned that they were not backing any single candidate, have told Mr. Senor that his deep ties in the party, expertise on national security and background as a businessman would make him a formidable candidate. His New York roots do not hurt, either: he was born in Utica, which could appeal to upstate voters wary of his Manhattan address.

Mr. Senor declined to be interviewed for this article.

Ms. Gillibrand, who was appointed to the Senate last year by Gov. David A. Paterson, appears to be cruising toward the Democratic nomination, but the depth of her support across the state is unclear. National Democratic leaders have aggressively, and successfully, sought to elbow out potential primary challengers to Ms. Gillibrand, like Representative Steve Israel and Harold E. Ford Jr., a former United States representative from Tennessee.

She has had lackluster poll ratings, and with Democrats headed into difficult midterm elections, Republicans see a chance to win a Senate seat in New York. So far, two Republicans have said they will run: Bruce A. Blakeman, who dropped out of the New York mayoral race last year, and David Malpass, a former economist at Bear Stearns who worked in the Reagan administration.

As a late entry into the race, Mr. Senor would need to raise an estimated $15 million over the next seven months to compete in the primary and then against Ms. Gillibrand, who is known as a thoroughbred in the Democratic fund-raising world. Republican Party leaders have pledged to aid him, and a number of influential donors have told him that they will raise money for him if he runs.

Powerful surrogates are already vouching for Mr. Senor (pronounced See-NOR). Last weekend, Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, promoted Mr. Senor as a possible Senate candidate during a speech to big donors of the Republican Jewish Coalition in Las Vegas, Mr. Graham’s office confirmed.

A Senor Senate candidacy could complicate the work of his wife, whose nightly program on CNN emphasizes its nonpartisan approach to news and politics. Her program at one point embraced the tagline “No bias. No bull.”

More…….

March 11, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Entertainment, Family, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Updates, Women | , , , , , | 5 Comments

From Daniel G……New York Senate Races: Possible Reason Ford dropped out; He was facing long odds…..

Hello Dog!

Here is a possible Reason why Ford didn’t get in to challenge Gillibrand. He would have faced very long odds. In a new Statewide Survey in the Empire State completed last Night Gillibrand would have led Ford by 31 Points.

Marist Research Survey

New York Senate Special

Democratic Primary

Incumbent Senator Kirsten E. Gillibrand  50 %
Former U. S. Rep. Harold Ford, Jr.  19 %
Jonathan Tasini  3 %
Undecided  28 %

General Election

Former New York Governor George Pataki (R)  48 %
Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  45 %
Undecided  7 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  59 %
NY Daily News Publisher Mort Zuckerman (R)  26 %
Undecided  15 %

Incumbent Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D)  58 %
Bruce Blakeman (R)  28 %
Undecided  14 %

New York Senate Regular


Incumbent Senator Charles E. “Chuck” Schumer (D)  69 %
CNBC Host Larry Kudlow (R)  24 %
Undecided  7 %

Full Result can be found at:

http://maristpoll.marist.edu

With Ford’s Departure we can now effectively put the Pataki Speculation to bed I think. That said Gillibrand will win BUT not with 60 % of the Vote in a bad Democratic Year. Ditto to Schumer. These Pollsters are jerks.

Daniel G.

Interesting Daniel…..You don’t think Pataki jumps in after all, eh?

March 2, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , | 8 Comments