Jamesb101.com

commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

John Brennan…the White House guy overlooking counterterrorism announces 'No smoking gun' on the NW235 incident….

Is anybody surprised?

I’m not…this story is now a bona fide political story…..and hype……

Link …….

Link……

January 3, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Crime, Government, Law, Media, Men, Politics, September 11, Updates | , , | Leave a comment

John Brennan…the White House guy overlooking counterterrorism announces ‘No smoking gun’ on the NW235 incident….

Is anybody surprised?

I’m not…this story is now a bona fide political story…..and hype……

Link …….

Link……

January 3, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Crime, Government, Law, Media, Men, Politics, September 11, Updates | , , | Leave a comment

You are the President of the United States 24/7 anywhere on the planet…..

The Washington Post does a process piece on the President’s vacation in Hawaii…pointing out that even while on vacation he has to manage the nation’s problems……this time is was the over reaction by the media on the NW 235 incident…which was exacerbated by the republicans getting on his DHS Secretary’s novice comments…….

Janet Napolitano made no mistakes on the caper really…she just failed to follow the cardinal rule of equivocating on a breaking story until something solid is known and she finds out the White House line…..She won’t make that mistake again…..

The reason for the story  is to put the administration’s side that the president has the situation on his radar and is doing “SOMETHING”…to feed the media voracious appetite ……

Media hype is alive a well in the new year……..especially when presidents try to get away……

Note:…..I was on his case about getting away for summit ‘hangouts’ every month earlier, but the guy and his family, certainly deserve a vacation…I wish I could afford one…..

January 2, 2010 Posted by | Family, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Travel | , , , | Leave a comment

NW 235 bomber may take out DHS head Napolitano as collateral damage…

It seems that the media is going after the Homeland Security Head Janet Napolitano in its frenzied response to the NW235 incident…Her first reaction to the incident was to say the system worked…a mistake any crisis manager knows not to do….you always give we’ll wait and see answers…because things always change in these situations…

But to go after her job…is utterly ridiculous…..

Sure they didn’t connect the dots…but the ball was dropped by everyone else…..NOT Homeland Security…..

The State Department approved the VISA, the subject was on a watch list, the subject was screened outside the United States!

Give us a break …and calm down people!….

There is no way you can completed stop this stuff from happening…..The security people need to be their toes…..But American security people were not involved in this except for the U.S. State Department …….

December 29, 2009 Posted by | Breaking News, Crime, Government, Law, Media, Politics, September 11, Women | , , | 2 Comments

Terrorist incident per airplane departure statistitcs…..reality vs media bite….

The Odds of Airborne Terror

by Nate Silver @ 1:58 PM from FiveThirtyEight.Com

Not going to do any editorializing here; just going to do some non-fancy math. James Joyner asks:

There have been precisely three attempts over the last eight years to commit acts of terrorism aboard commercial aircraft. All of them clownishly inept and easily thwarted by the passengers. How many tens of thousands of flights have been incident free?

Let’s expand Joyner’s scope out to the past decade. Over the past decade, there have been, by my count, six attempted terrorist incidents on board a commercial airliner than landed in or departed from the United States: the four planes that were hijacked on 9/11, the shoe bomber incident in December 2001, and the NWA flight 253 incident on Christmas.

The Bureau of Transportation Statistics provides a wealth of statistical information on air traffic. For this exercise, I will look at both domestic flights within the US, and international flights whose origin or destination was within the United States. I will not look at flights that transported cargo and crew only. I will look at flights spanning the decade from October 1999 through September 2009 inclusive (the BTS does not yet have data available for the past couple of months).

Over the past decade, according to BTS, there have been 99,320,309 commercial airline departures that either originated or landed within the United States. Dividing by six, we get one terrorist incident per 16,553,385 departures.

These departures flew a collective 69,415,786,000 miles. That means there has been one terrorist incident per 11,569,297,667 mles flown. This distance is equivalent to 1,459,664 trips around the diameter of the Earth, 24,218 round trips to the Moon, or two round trips to Neptune.

Assuming an average airborne speed of 425 miles per hour, these airplanes were aloft for a total of 163,331,261 hours. Therefore, there has been one terrorist incident per 27,221,877 hours airborne. This can also be expressed as one incident per 1,134,245 days airborne, or one incident per 3,105 years airborne.

There were a total of 674 passengers, not counting crew or the terrorists themselves, on the flights on which these incidents occurred. By contrast, there have been 7,015,630,000 passenger enplanements over the past decade. Therefore, the odds of being on given departure which is the subject of a terrorist incident have been 1 in 10,408,947 over the past decade. By contrast, the odds of being struck by lightning in a given year are about 1 in 500,000. This means that you could board 20 flights per year and still be less likely to be the subject of an attempted terrorist attack than to be struck by lightning.

Again, no editorializing (for now). These are just the numbers.

Nuff said………

December 28, 2009 Posted by | Breaking News, Education, Fiction, Government, Health, Media, Politics, Travel | , | Leave a comment