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Daniel…. Oregon Governor and Senate Races: Kitzhaber (D-OR) in MAJOR Trouble, Wyden appears SAFE for November according to an exclusive Survey USA Poll

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

We’ve the first Post Primary Poll from Survey USA in Oregon and it shows former Governor John Kitzhaber (D-OR) has some work to do this November. Former NBA Basketball Pro Chris Dudley (R-OR) leads Kitzhaber by 7 Points.

In the Senate Race this November Incumbent Ronald “Ron” Wyden (D-OR) appears to be a SAFE bet for Re-Election at this Point as he leads Republican Jim Huffman (R-OR) by 13 Points.

Note: THE ENTIRE ELECTION WILL BE DONE BY MAIL.

KATU-TV / Survey USA Poll

Oregon Governor

Former NBA Professional Chris Dudley (R)  47 %
Former Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber (D)  40 %
Businessman Jerry Wilson (Progressive Party)  6 %
Undecided  7 %

Oregon Senate

Incumbent Senator Ronald Lee “Ron” Wyden (D)  51 %
Law School Professor Jim Huffman (R)  38 %
Financial Planner Marc Delphine (Libertarian)  4 %
Psychatrist Rick Staggenborg (Green Party)  2 %
Undecided  5 %

Analysis:

5 Months Till Oregon Votes, Former Trailblazer Edges Former Governor for Statehouse; Wyden Strong in US Senate Re-Elect Bid: In an election for Oregon governor today, 06/10/10, Republican Chris Dudley edges Democrat John Kitzhaber, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland.

Dudley, a former professional basketball player, has a 14-point lead among men. Among women, the race is tied. When men and woman are combined today, the Republican Dudley has a 47% to 40% advantage. A third candidate, Progressive Jerry Wilson, today gets 6% of the overall vote, 12% of the vote among Independents. Third party candidates have until August 24 to file to appear on the ballot; additional candidates may enter the race.

The Democrat Kitzhaber, Governor of Oregon from 1995-2003, leads only among the youngest, and often least-reliable, voters. Among voters age 35+, Dudley leads. 87% of those who support the Tea Party vote Republican. 80% of those who oppose the Tea Party vote Democrat.
In an election today for United States Senator from Oregon, Incumbent Democrat Ron Wyden is elected to a third full term, defeating Republican law school professor Jim Huffman. Wyden leads by 22 points in greater Portland; Huffman leads by 4 points in the rest of Oregon. When those two regions are combined today, the Democrat Wyden has a 51% to 38% advantage.

Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 Oregon adults 06/07/10 through 06/09/10. Of them, 711 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 566 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election. Incumbent Governor Ted Kulongoski is constitutionally term limited to two consecutive terms. The election is 100% by mail; ballots will be mailed in October.

Daniel G.

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June 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | 2 Comments

The Oregon Senate Race Rasmuseen Poll…..and some comments on the Rasmussen Polls leanings….

From Rasmussen Polling……

The first Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 telephone survey of likely voters in Oregon finds incumbent Democratic Senator Ron Wyden with a 49% to 35% lead over law professor Jim Huffman, the most prominent Republican reportedly considering running against him.

Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and nine percent (9%) are undecided.

Given Oregon’s political leanings, it’s a tough struggle for any Republican candidate against a popular Democrat like Wyden. Still, an incumbent who polls less than 50% at this stage of the campaign is viewed as potentially vulnerable, and this week’s surprise announcement by Indiana Senator Evan Bayh that he will not seek reelection has sent shock waves through Democratic ranks.

It’s interesting to note, too, that Huffman, a political newcomer, is an unknown quantity to 43% of the voters in Oregon, while just nine percent (9%) don’t know enough about Wyden to have an opinion of him. This suggests Huffman may be getting some support just because he isn’t the Democrat.

Oregon Survey of 500 Likely Voters
February 16, 2010

Jim Huffman (R)              35%
Ron Wyden (D)                 49%
Some Other Candidate      7%
Not Sure                               9%

Note:……Folks something I gotta say here…I know Merlin swore by these guys ……but something is cheesy here…..the poll boy right above this has the Republican who is 10% down on the as the top listing…..second the narrative has the Democrat ahead but alludes to Rasmussen mystery 50% rule…….WTF????…a candidate has to be ahead and jump over these guys 50% threshold to get a ‘atta boy’ from these people?


February 17, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 18 Comments