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Daniel……Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election: Cook moves the Seat from “Toss-Up” into “Leans Republican”

Hello Folks!

Looks like the Pundits falling in Line for the Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election:

Charlie Cook just moved the Race from “Toss-Up” into “Leans Republican”

Cook’s Write-Up:

[ Critz and Burns ]

Three weeks out, most polls show the PA-12 race to replace deceased Democratic Rep. John Murtha a dead heat, with GOP businessman Tim Burns and former Murtha district director Mark Critz hovering around 40 percent of the vote. But polls don’t always paint the whole picture, and for special election watchers who think this is the same kind of animal we saw in NY-20 and NY-23 last year, it’s time to think again. In this climate and corner of Pennsylvania, Democrats’ path to 50 percent is considerably more uphill than Republicans’, and the GOP is well-positioned to snap its disheartening string of special election losses.

http://cookpolitical.com/races/house/chart.php

Daniel G.

Here’s a CNN piece on the race…….

Two hard-hitting new ads are heating up the Pennsylvania battle for the late Rep. Jack Murtha’s congressional seat.

Republican Tim Burns is facing off against Democrat Mark Critz in a the May 18 special election. The race has stepped up in intensity in recent weeks, with both campaigns as well as national party committees going up with television ads.

The Burns campaign came out Tuesday with a new television commercial that questions the ethics of Critz, a longtime aide to Murtha, a Democrat who represented the district for 18 terms until he passed away earlier this year.

“Mark Critz. A Washington bureaucrat bankrolled by Pelosi. Critz was investigated by the congressional ethics office and Critz was in charge of the finances for a company caught on paying their taxes,” says the narrator in the ad.

More……..….Check the comments…Daniel could be on to something..although the District was solid Democrat…..



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April 27, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | 1 Comment

Daniel……Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election: Cook moves the Seat from "Toss-Up" into "Leans Republican"

Hello Folks!

Looks like the Pundits falling in Line for the Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election:

Charlie Cook just moved the Race from “Toss-Up” into “Leans Republican”

Cook’s Write-Up:

[ Critz and Burns ]

Three weeks out, most polls show the PA-12 race to replace deceased Democratic Rep. John Murtha a dead heat, with GOP businessman Tim Burns and former Murtha district director Mark Critz hovering around 40 percent of the vote. But polls don’t always paint the whole picture, and for special election watchers who think this is the same kind of animal we saw in NY-20 and NY-23 last year, it’s time to think again. In this climate and corner of Pennsylvania, Democrats’ path to 50 percent is considerably more uphill than Republicans’, and the GOP is well-positioned to snap its disheartening string of special election losses.

http://cookpolitical.com/races/house/chart.php

Daniel G.

Here’s a CNN piece on the race…….

Two hard-hitting new ads are heating up the Pennsylvania battle for the late Rep. Jack Murtha’s congressional seat.

Republican Tim Burns is facing off against Democrat Mark Critz in a the May 18 special election. The race has stepped up in intensity in recent weeks, with both campaigns as well as national party committees going up with television ads.

The Burns campaign came out Tuesday with a new television commercial that questions the ethics of Critz, a longtime aide to Murtha, a Democrat who represented the district for 18 terms until he passed away earlier this year.

“Mark Critz. A Washington bureaucrat bankrolled by Pelosi. Critz was investigated by the congressional ethics office and Critz was in charge of the finances for a company caught on paying their taxes,” says the narrator in the ad.

More……..….Check the comments…Daniel could be on to something..although the District was solid Democrat…..



April 27, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | 1 Comment

Daniel……Pennsyvania – 12 Special Election: Burns leads Critz by 3 (44-41); However all PA Democratic Officials are BADLY “Underwater” according to a new Public Policy Polling Survey…..

Hello all!

Rougly one month before the Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election to replace the late John Murtha (D-PA) a new Districtwide Survey by Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows Republican Businessman Tim Burns (R-PA) leading former Murtha-Aide Mark Critz (D-PA) by 3 Points, 44-41.

Despite of the closeness of this Race there’re some VERY OMINOUS SIGNS for the Democrat:

Critz trails by 20 Points among Independents. 57 % of Republicans saying there’re very excited to Vote in this Election compared to 38 % for the Democrats. 57 % Disapprove of the Job President Obama is doing and by a 47-37 margin Toomey beats Specter in this District. All Democratic PA Officials have their Approvals down BIG.

Public Policy Polling Survey

Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District Special Election

[ Critz and Burns ]
Businessman Tim Burns (R)  44 %
former Murtha-Aide Mark Critz (D)  41 %
Undecided  15 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.timburnsforcongress.com/
http://www.critzforcongress.com/

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama

Approve  33 %
Disapprove  57 %
Not Sure  10 %

Governor Edward “Ed” G. Rendell (D)

Approve  24 %
Disapprove  63 %
Not Sure  13 %

Senator Arlen Specter (D)

Approve  28 %
Disapprove  60 %
Not Sure  12 %

Analysis:

Folks, we’ve a leg up on this one UNLESS Critz can turn out the same kind of Numbers Obama turned out in this District in 2008.

Daniel G.

Only 3% difference , huh Daniel?….

April 20, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , | 6 Comments

Daniel……Pennsyvania – 12 Special Election: Burns leads Critz by 3 (44-41); However all PA Democratic Officials are BADLY "Underwater" according to a new Public Policy Polling Survey…..

Hello all!

Rougly one month before the Pennsylvania – 12 Special Election to replace the late John Murtha (D-PA) a new Districtwide Survey by Public Policy Polling (PPP) shows Republican Businessman Tim Burns (R-PA) leading former Murtha-Aide Mark Critz (D-PA) by 3 Points, 44-41.

Despite of the closeness of this Race there’re some VERY OMINOUS SIGNS for the Democrat:

Critz trails by 20 Points among Independents. 57 % of Republicans saying there’re very excited to Vote in this Election compared to 38 % for the Democrats. 57 % Disapprove of the Job President Obama is doing and by a 47-37 margin Toomey beats Specter in this District. All Democratic PA Officials have their Approvals down BIG.

Public Policy Polling Survey

Pennsylvania 12th Congressional District Special Election

[ Critz and Burns ]
Businessman Tim Burns (R)  44 %
former Murtha-Aide Mark Critz (D)  41 %
Undecided  15 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.timburnsforcongress.com/
http://www.critzforcongress.com/

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama

Approve  33 %
Disapprove  57 %
Not Sure  10 %

Governor Edward “Ed” G. Rendell (D)

Approve  24 %
Disapprove  63 %
Not Sure  13 %

Senator Arlen Specter (D)

Approve  28 %
Disapprove  60 %
Not Sure  12 %

Analysis:

Folks, we’ve a leg up on this one UNLESS Critz can turn out the same kind of Numbers Obama turned out in this District in 2008.

Daniel G.

Only 3% difference , huh Daniel?….

April 20, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , | 6 Comments