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Daniel with Part 1,2 and 3 of the May 18 Primary Primer…… A Viewers Guide for Kentucky, Arkansas, Pennsylvania and Oregon………..

Hello Folks!

Today is  “The Dogs” GIGANTIC Multiple State Primaries  ………..IT’S TIME to preview our “HOT RACES” for this May18th.

We’ll will have the “Special Election Night Results Thread” starting at 5pm ET on May 18th + GET READY FOR A POTENTIALLY VERY LONG NIGHT.

To keep EVERYBODY updated about those 4 States here is the Viewer Guide:

Kentucky (Bluegrass State): First Polls close at 6pm ET and all Polls will be closed at 7pm ET:

Two “Hot Races” here:

KY-SEN Republican Primary:

Establishment Candidate C. M. “Trey” Grayson vs. Challenger Dr. Randall “Rand” Paul

Will the Tea Parties claim another Scalp of Republicans? Republican Senate Minority Leader  Mitch McConnell (R-KY) handpicked Grayson for this Race, yet the Kentucky Secretary of State ran a horrible Campaign to date and didn’t really connect with Conservative Voters. Paul is leading in the Polls from anywhere between 10-15 Points.

I expect Paul to prevail over Grayson 45-35.

KY-SEN Democratic Primary:

Lt. Governor Daniel “Dr. Dan” Mongiardo vs. Attorney General Jack Conway

Mongiardo was endorsed by his Chief Governor Steve Beshear (D-KY) early on in this Campaign while Attorney General Conway ramped up the Washington Insider Endorsements from the DSCC and his two Kentucky Congressman John Yarmuth and Ben Chandler. Auditor “Crit” Luallen endorsed him also. Both, Chandler and Luallen themselves briefly considered jumping into this Race. Conway was pretty much flat-footed until the Final Weeks of the Campaign and closed the early Polling Gap with Mongiardo.
Will it be enough?

Toss-Up Race for me. Impossible to predict a Winner. Race could go into the later Hours of the Evening. I will re-evaluate this Race over the coming Days.

KY 6th Congressional District (Incumbent Democrat A. B. “Ben” Chandler):

6 Republicans vying to face Chandler in the Fall with former Attorney & Congressional Aide Andy Barr (R-KY) looking the strongest Candidate. Until the Defeat of Rep. Mollohan in WV Chandler had little to fear. Now that Mollohan was defeated and KY-6 borders WV-1 this Seat could move in more competitive Regions.

I expect Barr to prevail over his 5 Challengers.

Daniel G.

Note:…….There are two more parts to the May 18 preview….check below…….

Daniel’s Page #2…….Link……..Pennsylvana and Oregon

Daniel’s Page #3…….Link……..Arkansas

May 13, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Open thread, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , , , , , , , | 65 Comments

Daniel…. Pennsylvania Governor & Senate Primaries: Specter & Corbett hold big leads in their Primaries; Democratic Governor Primary is a Toss-Up according to a new Quinnipiac University Poll……..

Hello Dog!

Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Republican Attorney General Tom Corbett (R-PA) hold big leads in their respective Primaries according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey released today. Meanwhile Q-Pac finds that the Democratic Governor Primary is a Toss-Up.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Pennsylvania Governor 2010

Democratic Primary

Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato  20 %
Former U. S. Rep. Joe Hoeffel  15 %
State Auditor General Jack Wagner  13 %
State Senator Anthony Williams  5 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  47 %

Republican Primary

State Attorney General Tom Corbett  58 %
State Representative Sam Rohrer  7 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  35 %

Pennsylvania Senate 2010

Democratic Primary

Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter  53 %
U. S. Rep. Joseph A. “Joe” Sestak  32 %
Undecided  15 %

The Primaries are being held May 18th.

Note: Links for Campaign Websites will be added tomorrow when the General Election Survey is being released.

Analysis:

With one month to go Specter & Corbett does seem to have this in the bag. The interesting Race besides the PA – 12 Special Election will be the Democratic Governor Primary.

Daniel G.

April 7, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | 1 Comment

Ole' Arlen is still in the lead……….

People who think the senior senator from Pennsylvania is going to get rolled in the upcoming democratic primary, after switching parties, will be in for a surprise………..He currently leads Sestak by 27% points, and in the general election he would beat Toomey by 8% points…….There is a but here…big undecideds right now…….46% in the primary and 25% in the general………..

He’s holding his own right now………stay tuned…….

September 3, 2009 Posted by | Politics | , , , , | Leave a comment

Ole’ Arlen is still in the lead……….

People who think the senior senator from Pennsylvania is going to get rolled in the upcoming democratic primary, after switching parties, will be in for a surprise………..He currently leads Sestak by 27% points, and in the general election he would beat Toomey by 8% points…….There is a but here…big undecideds right now…….46% in the primary and 25% in the general………..

He’s holding his own right now………stay tuned…….

September 3, 2009 Posted by | Politics | , , , , | Leave a comment