CD…..Alabama Governor's race Polling numbers……

Public Policy Polling:

Alabama Governor’s race…..
Former State Senator Bradley Byrne (R-Fairhope): 50%
US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL): 33%

Tim James (R): 49%
Davis (D): 35%

Davis (D): 44%
Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R): 40%

Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) doesn’t do much better either against the GOP hopefuls.

Byrne (R)-43%
Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D)-33%

James (R)-38%
Sparks (D)-34%

Sparks (D)-40%
Moore (R)-35%

More from CD…

The Alabama chapter of the United Mine Workers have thrown US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) under the bus and have endorsed his primary opponent, Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) in the June 1st Democratic gubernatorial primary.

http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/article/20100504/NEWS/100509831/1007

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CD…..Alabama Governor’s race Polling numbers……

Public Policy Polling:

Alabama Governor’s race…..
Former State Senator Bradley Byrne (R-Fairhope): 50%
US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL): 33%

Tim James (R): 49%
Davis (D): 35%

Davis (D): 44%
Former Alabama Supreme Court Chief Justice Roy Moore (R): 40%

Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) doesn’t do much better either against the GOP hopefuls.

Byrne (R)-43%
Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D)-33%

James (R)-38%
Sparks (D)-34%

Sparks (D)-40%
Moore (R)-35%

More from CD…

The Alabama chapter of the United Mine Workers have thrown US Rep. Artur Davis (D-AL) under the bus and have endorsed his primary opponent, Alabama State Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks (D) in the June 1st Democratic gubernatorial primary.

http://www.tuscaloosanews.com/article/20100504/NEWS/100509831/1007

North Carolina Senate Poll……Marshall expands lead, many still undecided……

A shift among black voters has allowed Elaine Marshall to expand her lead in the closing days of the North Carolina Democratic Senate primary, but with 33% of voters still undecided it remains unclear who will come out ahead on Tuesday night.

Marshall leads Cal Cunningham 28-21, a week after she led 26-23. Marshall is now up 21-12 with black voters, a turnaround after Cunningham had led the previous three polls in that demographic including a 19-13 advantage in last week’s survey. Cunningham has been under attack by the leading African American candidate in the race, Kenneth Lewis, and whether the change in the last seven days is because of that or Marshall going on the air with television advertisements it’s made a difference in the race.

The news isn’t all bad for Cunningham though. 70% of his voters are firmly committed to him, compared to 60% of Marshall’s who say the same of her. In what’s likely to be a very low turnout race having the most passionate supporters could really make a difference. Also, the largest amount of undecided voters are in the greater Charlotte area where Cunningham is running television ads and Marshall is not.

It continues to be clear that this is a two person race. Lewis leads the second tier contenders with 9%, followed by Marcus Williams at 4%, Ann Worthy at 3%, and Susan Harris at 2%…….

[ Marshall and Cunnigham ]

PPP Poll…..

North Carolina Senate Democratic Primary  Race….

Elaine Marshall ……………………………………….. 28%

Cal Cunningham……………………………………… 21%

Kenneth Lewis ………………………………………… 9%

Marcus Williams………………………………………. 4%

Ann Worthy…………………………………………….. 3%

Susan Harris …………………………………………… 2%

Undecided………………………………………………. 33%

The piece suggests that Cunnigham is in a better position to win this primary……

The Dog

Daniel…..Arizona Senate Republican Primary: McCain holds 11-Point lead over Hayworth according to a Public Policy Polling Survey…..

Hello Folks!

Despite taking a hit in his Job Approvals Arizona Incumbent Senator John McCain (R-AZ) holds an 11-Point lead over former U. S. Rep. J. D. Hayworth (R-AZ) according to PPP.

Public Policy Polling Survey

Arizona Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Incumbent Senator John McCain  46 %
Former U. S. Rep. J. D. Hayworth  35 %
Navy Veteran Jim Deakin  7 %
Undecided  12 %

Candidates Websites:

http://www.johnmccain.com/
http://www.jdforsenate.com/
http://jimdeakin.com/

Survey Link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_429.pdf

Analysis:

I’m a little bit surprised this Race isn’t closer.

Daniel G.

I’m not…….

Daniel……North Carolina Primaries: PPP confirms Survey USA Poll; Marshall and Cunningham headed for a Run-Off …..

Hello Folks!

We’ve confirmed Numbers from Public Policy Polling that the North Carolina Democratic Primary is likely headed into a Run-Off between Marshall and Cunningham.

Public Policy Polling Survey

North Carolina Senate 2010

Democratic Primary

Secretary of State Elaine F. Marshall  26 %
Former State Senator J. Calvin “Cal” Cunningham  23 %
Attorney Kenneth R. Lewis  7 %
Attorney Marcus Williams  4 %
Accountant Susan Harris  3 %
Minister W. Ann Worthy  3 %
Undecided  34 %

Note: If you want to see the Republican Primary Numbers also just click on the Survey Link at the end of the Post.

Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.elainemarshall.com/
http://www.calfornc.com/home
http://kenlewisforsenate.com/

Survey Link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_NC_427.pdf

Daniel G.

Daniel……Arizona Senate: McCain leads Glassman, Hayworth trails him according to a new Survey from Public Policy Polling

Hello Folks!

2008 Presidential Candidate John McCain (R-AZ) has taken a BIG hit in his Approvals according to a new Survey from Public Policy Polling.

He still though leads Democrat Rodney Britz Glassman (D-AZ) by 13 Points in a General Election Match-Up.

What will certainly create more buzz around Democratic Circles is that Glassman leads McCain’s Chief Republican Rival J. D. Hayworth (R-AZ) by 3 Points.

Public Policy Polling Survey

Arizona Senate 2010

General Election

Incumbent Senator John McCain (R)  49 %
Tuscon City Councilman Rodney Britz Glassman (D)  33 %
Undecided  18 %

Tuscon City Councilman Rodney Britz Glassman (D)  42 %
Former U. S. Rep. J. D. Hayworth (R)  39 %
Undecided  19 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.johnmccain.com/
http://www.jdforsenate.com/
http://www.rodneyglassman.com/

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama (D)

Approve  45 %
Disapprove  51 %
Not Sure  4 %

Senator John McCain (R)

Approve  34 %
Disapprove  55 %
Not Sure  11 %

Senator Jon Kyl (R)

Approve  35 %
Disapprove  39 %
Not Sure  25 %

Poll Link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_428.pdf

Note to Readers: PPP is set to release Numbers for the Republican Primary in the Senate Race tomorrow.

Analysis:

Okay, we know McCain wouldn’t be in trouble against a Democrat.

Crunching out these Numbers I REALLY REALLY wonder how close Hayworth is in the GOP Primary.

McCain MUST be in BIG TROUBLE there. See, McCain could be facing the same fate as Utah Senator Robert “Bob” Bennett (R-UT). That would be CURIOUS if McCain would lose giving Democrats a shot at his Senate Seats.

More: HAD Obama not chosen former Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano (D-AZ) as his Homeland Sec. McCain could be heading into a very competitive TOSS-UP Race or EVEN DEFEAT. I’m anxiously waiting on these Primary Numbers.

Bottom Line:

With McCain Dems have ZERO Chance, without him it’s a TOSS-UP.

Daniel G.

Daniel……Arizona Governor: Public Policy Polling contradicts RAS; Has Goddard ahead of all Republican Challengers …..

Hello Folks!

A new Statewide Survey in Arizona contradicts the Rasmussen Reports Survey from a week ago and shows State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D-AZ) leading all of his Republican Challengers though some very narrowly.

Public Policy Polling Survey

Arizona Governor 2010

General Election

[ Goddard and Brewer ]

State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D)  47 %
Incumbent Governor Jan Brewer (R)  44 %
Undecided  9 %

State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D)  47 %
Maricopa County Sheriff Joseph M. “Joe” Arpaio (R)  44 %
Undecided  10 %

State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D)  47 %
State Treasurer Dean Martin (R)  36 %
Undecided  17 %

State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D)  45 %
Owen “Buz” Mills (R)  37 %
Undecided  18 %

State Attorney General Terry Goddard (D)  46 %
Former State GOP Chair John Munger (R)  31 %
Undecided  23 %

Job Approval

Governor Jan Brewer (R)

Approve  35 %
Disapprove  46 %
Not Sure  18 %

Survey Link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AZ_427.pdf

Daniel G.

Hey Daniel…… could this be a pushback on the Immigration Bill?…when did the polling finish up?

We did do a  post on how crazy things have been in the state…..

Answer……

PPP surveyed 813 Arizona voters from April 23rd to 25th………

From the New York Times….. Arizona Enacts Stringent Law on Immigration By RANDAL C. ARCHIBOLD Published: April 23, 2010 PHOENIX — Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona signed the nation’s toughest bill on illegal immigration into law on Friday. Its aim is to identify, prosecute and deport illegal immigrants.

Damn Daniel….. she’s taking a beating in her own State after signing the Bill!

Things ARE crazy in that state.…..

Daniel……New Hampshire Governor: Is Governor John Lynch (D-NH) vulnerable? He doesn't seem immun against the hostile Electoral Mood against Democrats ……

Hello Dog Folks!

Might New Hampshire Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D-NH) vulnerable.

We’ve a little bit confirmation that his fourth Campaign for Governor might not be all that easy according to a new Public Policy Polling Survey.

EVEN he can’t escape the daunting Electoral Mood against Democrats.

Lynch ranked up lopsided Victories in 2006 (74 %) and 2008 (70 %). He only leads his potential strongest Challenger, former State HHS Commissioner John Stephen (R-NH) by only 11 Points.

A somewhat competitive Governor Race would be a HUGE benefit for former Attorney General Kelly A. Ayotte (R-NH) who is running for Senate.

Public Policy Polling Survey

New Hampshire Governor 2010

General Election

Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D)  47 %
Former State HHS Commissioner John Stephen (R)  36 %
Undecided  18 %

Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D)  47 %
Businessman Jack Kimball (R)  35 %
Undecided  18 %

Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D)  47 %
Religious Right Activist Karen Testerman (R)  29 %
Undecided  23 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.lynchcommittee.com/
http://www.johnstephen.com/
http://jackforgov.com/
http://www.karentesterman.net/

Job Approval

Governor John Lynch (D)

Approve  44 %
Disapprove  42 %
Not Sure  14 %

Analysis:

Let me be clear: I doubt Lynch is going to lose.

That being said I also doubt he’s going to rank up that huge margins like he did in 2006 & 2008.

If we can hold Lynch around 55 % we’ve probably a decent good change holding the Senate Seat and winning the two Congressional Races.

Daniel G.

Daniel……New Hampshire Governor: Is Governor John Lynch (D-NH) vulnerable? He doesn’t seem immun against the hostile Electoral Mood against Democrats ……

Hello Dog Folks!

Might New Hampshire Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D-NH) vulnerable.

We’ve a little bit confirmation that his fourth Campaign for Governor might not be all that easy according to a new Public Policy Polling Survey.

EVEN he can’t escape the daunting Electoral Mood against Democrats.

Lynch ranked up lopsided Victories in 2006 (74 %) and 2008 (70 %). He only leads his potential strongest Challenger, former State HHS Commissioner John Stephen (R-NH) by only 11 Points.

A somewhat competitive Governor Race would be a HUGE benefit for former Attorney General Kelly A. Ayotte (R-NH) who is running for Senate.

Public Policy Polling Survey

New Hampshire Governor 2010

General Election

Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D)  47 %
Former State HHS Commissioner John Stephen (R)  36 %
Undecided  18 %

Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D)  47 %
Businessman Jack Kimball (R)  35 %
Undecided  18 %

Incumbent Governor John Lynch (D)  47 %
Religious Right Activist Karen Testerman (R)  29 %
Undecided  23 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.lynchcommittee.com/
http://www.johnstephen.com/
http://jackforgov.com/
http://www.karentesterman.net/

Job Approval

Governor John Lynch (D)

Approve  44 %
Disapprove  42 %
Not Sure  14 %

Analysis:

Let me be clear: I doubt Lynch is going to lose.

That being said I also doubt he’s going to rank up that huge margins like he did in 2006 & 2008.

If we can hold Lynch around 55 % we’ve probably a decent good change holding the Senate Seat and winning the two Congressional Races.

Daniel G.

Daniel……New Hampshire Congressional Districts 1 and 2: Guinta edges out Shea-Porter; Bass leads his 2004 Foe Katrina Swett (D-NH) by 15 Points according to a new Public Policy Polling Survey…….

Hello Dog Folks!

If Republicans want a shot at the House Majority in November they have to do well in some of the North-Eastern Congressional Districts like New Hampshire for example. The Granite State could play a big part of it. Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta (R-NH) edges out U. S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D-NH) by 1 Point so this Race has to be considered as a TOSS-UP.

Meanwhile in the 2nd Congressional District (Hodes is running for the Senate) former U. S. Rep. Charles “Charlie” Bass (R-NH) holds an 15-Point lead over his 2004 Foe Katrina Swett (D-NH).

Both Survey were done by the known Public Policy Polling as Part of their New Hampshire Survey.

Public Policy Polling Survey

New Hampshire 1st Congressional District

General Election

Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta (R)  46 %
Incumbent U. S. Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D)  45 %
Undecided  10 %

Candidates Websites:

http://www.sheaporter.com/
http://www.teamguinta.com/

New Hampshire 2nd Congressional District (Open Seat)

Former U. S. Rep. Charles “Charlie” Bass (R)  47 %
2004 Democratic Nominee Katrina Swett (D)  32 %
Undecided  21 %

Candidates Websites:

http://www.votebass.com/
http://www.swettforcongress.com/

Analysis:

If we win those two Seats a Majority seems possible.

Daniel G.