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SE on the 2010 New Mexico races……

From SE………….

Here’s a rundown of how I think the NM races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor Bill Richardson is term-limited. The Democrats have unified behind Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish. On the GOP side, State Representative Janice Arnold-Jones, Attorney Pete Domeneci Jr., Doña Ana County District Attorney Susana Martinez, Public Relations Firm Owner Doug Turner, and former State GOP Chairman Allen Weh are in the running. The GOP Primary is a tossup. Denish will defeat whoever the GOP nominates. DEM HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish is running for Governor. On the Democratic side, State Representative Joe Campos, former State Democratic Party Chairman Brian Colón, State Senators Linda Lopez and Jerry Ortiz y Pino, former Albuquerque Chief Administrative Officer Lawrence Rael, and Sante Fe County Sheriff Greg Solano are in the running. On the GOP side, Cardiologist JR Damron and former State Representative Brian Moore are in the running. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. I expect Moore to defeat Damron 69-31, and lose to whoever the Democrats nominate. DEM HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Marty Herrera is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Herrera. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Auditor: Incumbent Democratic State Auditor Hector Balderas is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Balderas. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer James Lewis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lewis. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Gary King is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind King. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Commissioner of Public Lands: Incumbent GOP State Commissioner of Public Lands Pat Lyons is retiring. On the GOP side, retired Law Enforcement Officer Errol Chavez and State Public Regulation Commission Employee Bob Cornelius are in the running. On the Democratic side, Santa Fe County Commissioner Mike Anaya and Harry Montoya, State Public Regulation Commission Chairwoman Sandy Jones, and former State Land Commissioner Ray Powell are in the running. I expect Cornelius to prevail 77-23 over Chavez. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. I expect Whoever the Democrats nominate to defeat Cornelius. DEM GAIN.

NM-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Martin Heinrich is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Heinrich. The GOP has unified behind former State GOP Vice Chair Jon Barela. The Constitution Party has unified behind Religious Right Activist Jerry Scott. The Libertarians have unified behind Attorney Alan Woodruff. I expect Heinrich to defeat Barela 57-42. DEM HOLD.

NM-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Harry Teague is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Teague. The GOP has unified behind former Congressman Steve Pearce. I expect Pearce to prevail 52-48. GOP GAIN.

NM-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Ben Ray Lujan is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lujan. On the GOP side, Iraq War Veteran Adam Kokesh and Businessman Tom Mullins are in the running. The GOP Primary is a tossup. Lujan will defeat whoever the GOP nominates. DEM HOLD.

SE – 779

February 11, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates | , , | 3 Comments

SE on the Rhode Island Races……

From SE……

Here’s a rundown of how I think the RI races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Donald Carcieri is term-limited. The GOP has unified behind former Gubernatorial Aide John Robitaille. On the Democratic side, General Treasurer Frank Caprio and Attorney General Patrick Lynch are in the running. The Cool Mooses have unified behind Attorney Bob Healey Jr. On the Independent side, former US Senator Lincoln Chaffee and General Contractor Todd Giroux are in the running. I expect Caprio to defeat Lynch 52-48, and lose to Chaffee 41-37, with Robitallie receiving 22%. INDY GAIN.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Elizabeth Roberts is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Roberts. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Ralph Mollis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Mollis. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Patrick Lynch is running fcr Governor. On the Democratic side, Smithfield City Councilman Steve Archambault, Providence City Solicitor Joe Fernandez, and State House Majority Whip Peter Kilmartin. The GOP has unified behind former Special Assistant Attorney General Erik Wallin. I expect Kilmartin to prevail big time, and defeat Wallin 59-41. DEM HOLD.

General Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic General Treasurer Frank Caprio is running for Governor. The Democrats have unified behind Software Engineer Tom Sgouros. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

RI-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Patrick Kennedy is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Kennedy. The GOP has unified behind State House Minority Whip John Loughlin. In this climate I expect Loughlin to narrowly prevail by about 491 votes. GOP GAIN.

RI-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Langevin is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Langevin and former State Representative Betsy Dennigan are in the running. On the GOP side, Attorney Michael Gardiner and former North Kingston Town Councilman Mark Zaccaria are in the running. I expect Langevin to thump Dennigan 60-40 and Zaccaria to defeat Gardiner 67-33. I expect Langevin to take Zaccaria out to pasture 64-36. DEM HOLD.

SE-779

February 9, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates | , , | 4 Comments

SE on the 2011 Governor races……

This from SE……
Here’s an early take on the 2011 Gubernatorial races:

Mississippi: Incumbent GOP Governor Haley Barbour is term-limited. Lieutenant Governor Phil Bryant is the only announced GOP candidate. Potential candidates for the Republicans are Commercial Building Contractor Dave Dennis, former Lieutenant Governor Amy Tuck, Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann Jr., State Auditor Stacey Pickering, State Treasurer Tate Reeves, State Agriculture & Commerce Commissioner Lester Spell Jr., State Insurance Commissioner Mike Chaney, former Congressman Chip Pickering, Senator Roger Wicker, and Congressman Gregg Harper. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Attorney’s John Arthur Eaves and Bill Luckett, Attorney General Jim Hood, former Attorney General Mike Moore, State Representative Steve Holland, and Congressmen Travis Childers, Bennie Thompson, and Gene Taylor. Considering the quality of the candidates on both sides and the political climate in 2011, I rate this one LEANS REPUBLICAN.

Kentucky: Incumbent Democratic Governor Steve Beshear is running for re-election, and has chosen Louisville Mayor Jerry Abramson as his running mate. Demolition Contractor Otis “Bullman” Hensley Jr. has announced his challenge to Beshear in the Democratic Primary. Potential candidates for the Republicans are Congressmen Ed Whitfield, S. Brett Guthrie, and Geoff Davis, Secretary of State Trey Grayson(if he fails at his Senate run), Physician Rand Paul(if he fails at his Senate run), former State Superintendent of Public Instruction John Stephenson, and State Agriculture Commissioner Richie Farmer. TOSSUP.

Louisiana: Incumbent GOP Governor Bobby Jindal is running for re-election. Minister Dennis “Dan” Northcutt has announced his challenge to Jindal in the Republican Primaries. Potential candidates for the Democrats are Lieutenant Governor Mitch Landireu(if he fails in his bid for New Orleans Mayor), State Senator Eric LaFleur, former Congressman Don Cazayoux, State Representatives Damon Baldone, Fred Mills, Gary Smith, Mike Powell, and Michael Jackson, Attorney General James “Buddy” Caldwell, former Attorneys General Richard Ieyoub and Charles C. Foti Jr., former State Commissioner of Agriculture and Forestry Bob Odom, State Natural Resources Secretary Scott Angelle, Ascension Parish Sheriff Jeffrey Wiley, Congressman Charlie Melancon(if he fails at his Senate bid), former Governor Kathleen Blanco, former PSC Commissioner Foster Campbell, and State Senator Walter Boasso. LIKELY REPUBLICAN.

SE-779

February 6, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates | , , | 1 Comment

From SE……New York’s Governor David Paterson is about to be embarrassed….

SE has a teaser……The Dog has heard about it also……

From Times Union:

No one, that is, except for reporters, editors and lawyers at the New York Times, which has according to an avalanche of first-, second- and third-hand accounts been working on a piece about Gov. David Paterson that, depending on who you talk to, could prove to be anything from mildly embarrassing to politically apocalyptic.

The last few weeks have brought two major eruptions of rumors concerning Paterson’s private life: reports of nuzzling at a New Jersey restaurant and being caught in semi-flagrante in a utility closet in the Governor’s Mansion — stories that Paterson and his press office have vehemently denied.

According to sources who have actually been interviewed for the Times’ story, its central narrative is the role played by members of Paterson’s inner circle in his personal and political activities.

Rumors about a possibly publication date for the story have ranged from Monday to today; the latest suggests Sunday, but it’s hard to believe that the Times would hold the story much longer when knowledge that it’s pending has put every other reporter in the Capitol and elsewhere on the scent. Possible reasons for delay include editorial fine-tuning and thorough legal review.

Someday, a sociologist might be able to use an analysis of the rumors currently flying around the Capitol as their dissertation topic. Information from credible sources slowly becomes wilder as it spreads out. Sometimes, the chain of information is circular: A calls B, who calls C; then C calls A, who discovers that the story has changed markedly on its journey.

The Times, of course, won a Pulitzer for breaking the story of Eliot Spitzer’s transgressions. Living in anxiety that the paper could be on the verge of dropping something of similar impact won’t make for a happy weekend at the Governor’s Mansion.

This, my friends, is pretty f*cking big, and will end Paterson’s career FOREVER. Your thoughts.

SE-779

Ah, SE…his career is already over……I was hoping that Obama could get him out of the way….that may no longer be possible…..this IS going to be embarrasing…….

February 6, 2010 Posted by | Family, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Updates | , | 4 Comments

From SE……New York's Governor David Paterson is about to be embarrassed….

SE has a teaser……The Dog has heard about it also……

From Times Union:

No one, that is, except for reporters, editors and lawyers at the New York Times, which has according to an avalanche of first-, second- and third-hand accounts been working on a piece about Gov. David Paterson that, depending on who you talk to, could prove to be anything from mildly embarrassing to politically apocalyptic.

The last few weeks have brought two major eruptions of rumors concerning Paterson’s private life: reports of nuzzling at a New Jersey restaurant and being caught in semi-flagrante in a utility closet in the Governor’s Mansion — stories that Paterson and his press office have vehemently denied.

According to sources who have actually been interviewed for the Times’ story, its central narrative is the role played by members of Paterson’s inner circle in his personal and political activities.

Rumors about a possibly publication date for the story have ranged from Monday to today; the latest suggests Sunday, but it’s hard to believe that the Times would hold the story much longer when knowledge that it’s pending has put every other reporter in the Capitol and elsewhere on the scent. Possible reasons for delay include editorial fine-tuning and thorough legal review.

Someday, a sociologist might be able to use an analysis of the rumors currently flying around the Capitol as their dissertation topic. Information from credible sources slowly becomes wilder as it spreads out. Sometimes, the chain of information is circular: A calls B, who calls C; then C calls A, who discovers that the story has changed markedly on its journey.

The Times, of course, won a Pulitzer for breaking the story of Eliot Spitzer’s transgressions. Living in anxiety that the paper could be on the verge of dropping something of similar impact won’t make for a happy weekend at the Governor’s Mansion.

This, my friends, is pretty f*cking big, and will end Paterson’s career FOREVER. Your thoughts.

SE-779

Ah, SE…his career is already over……I was hoping that Obama could get him out of the way….that may no longer be possible…..this IS going to be embarrasing…….

February 6, 2010 Posted by | Family, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Updates | , | 4 Comments

SE on the Democrats in Kansas…….

From SE……

KS-SEN: What Strong Candidates do the Democrats have?

With the current field of Democratic candidates in the running to run for Senate against whomever comes out of a bloddy Primary between GOP Congressmen Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt, it looks like there will be a GOP win. Which strong Democrats can take advantage of the bloody Primary that the GOP is having to go through? Well, I’ve done some research on who can run for the Democrats, and I found some interesting names.

1. Attorney General Stephen N. Six: After taking office as the 43rd Attorney General of Kansas, Stephen Six has made a commitment to fighting crime, protecting consumers and making Kansas a safer place to live, work, and raise a family. Six cracked down on individuals who commit fraud and scams and significantly increased the money recovered by his consumer protection division. Six has the statewide experience and public service going for him if he runs. One problem, however, is that he has never been elected statewide. He was appointed by Sebelius in early 2008 to fill the post of former AG Paul Morrison. Six appears set on running for re-election to his current post.

2. State treasurer Dennis McKinney: After taking office as the 38th State Treasurer of Kansas, Dennis McKinney has been emphasizing the importance of working with Kansas leaders to strengthen the state’s economy, increase good-paying jobs for hard working Kansans, and to encourage fiscal responsibility. As administrator of the state’s Learning Quest 529 Education Savings program, Treasurer McKinney believes that it is important that Kansas families have access to an affordable education following high school. Like Six, McKinney has the statewide experience and public service going for him if he runs. One problem, however, is that he has never been elected statewide. He was appointed by Sebelius in early 2008 to fill the post of former Treasurer Lynn Jenkins. McKinney, like Six, appears set on running for re-election to his current post.

3. State Senator Chris Steineger: As State Senator, Chris Steineger has made several important votes. Steineger voted nay on the Premium Assistance Amendment, voted yea to the Highway Advertising Regulation & Fees Amendment, voted nay to the Employment Verification Amendment, voted nay to the Late-Term/Partial Birth Abortion Amendment, voted yea to the State Employee Pay Increase Amendment to name several. Steineger would be a fresh face to the political arena if he ran, but he is largely unknown outside of his State Senate District and appears set on running for Secretary of State.

4. Former Congresswoman Nancy Boyda: During her time as Congresswoman, she supported research toward renewable forms of energy, particularly ethanol and biodiesel production that could benefit Kansas agriculture. She also served on the Armed Services and Agricultural Committees. While she would make a good candidate for Senate, she is pretty much unknown outside of her Congressional District and was ousted 51%-47% in 2008.

5. Former Lieutenant Governor John E. Moore: During his tenure as Lieutenant Governor, Moore also served as Chairman of the Governor’s Strategic Military Planning Commission. The Commissions purpose was to preserve and grow military presence in Kansas during the 2005 Base Realignment and Closure process. He also served as Chairman of the Kansas Health Care Cost Containment Commission which focuses upon reducing the cost of health care administration in Kansas. Moore was also the Kansas Secretary of Commerce until 2004 when he stepped down to become the state’s first full time Lieutenant Governor. As Secretary of Commerce, he headed the Prosperity Summit process to develop the Economic Revitalization Act and the Economic Growth Act which were enacted into law in 2004. Like Six and McKinney, Moore has the statewide experience going for him if he runs. Moore, like McKinney and Six, are also considering running for KS-GOV in 2010.

6. State Senator Raj Goyle: During his tenure as State Senator, Raj Goyle has made several important votes. Goyle voted yea for Health Care Reform, voted nay for Capital Improvements Funding, voted yea for Mandatory Drug Testing for Drivers Causing Serious Accidents, voted yea for Income Tax Reductions and Sales Tax Exemptions, voted yea for the English as the Official Language Amendment to name several. Goyle would be a fresh face to the political arena if he ran, but he is largely unknown outside of his State Senate District and is currently set on running for Congressman Todd Tiahrt’s open seat.

7. Congressman Dennis Moore: During his tenure as a Congressman, Dennis Moore has served on the Budget and Financial Services Committees. He sponsored HR-5055, which would have raised the death gratuity paid to the family of a soldier who died in combat from $12,000 to $50,000, which was later raised again to $100,000. He also sponsored House Resolution 387 in 2003 calling on the Department of Defense to cover all travel costs for troops from Iraq and Afghanistan granted leave under the Rest & Recuperation Program. It was made law in 2004. Congressman Moore would be a decent candidate if he ran because he is known somewhat outside of his Congressional district. He also recently declined interest in a Gubernatorial run and is retiring from Congress.

8. Former Congressman and Agriculture Secretary Dan Glickman: During his time in Congress from 1976-1994, Glickman was a leading congressional expert on general aviation policy and wrote landmark legislation providing product liability protection for small airplane manufacturers. He was later the chairman of the House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence. He held open hearings to bring the intelligence community’s post-Cold War activities to light and began a committee investigation into the Aldrich Ames espionage case. Glickman would be a somewhat weak candidate if he ran, though. He’s been out of office in Kansas since January 1995.

Am I forgetting anything?

POSTED BY SE-779

February 5, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates, Women | , , | 5 Comments

SE on the Kansas races……

Here’s a rundown of how I think the Kansas races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor Mark Parkinson is retiring. The Democrats have unified behind Disabled Paramedic Herb West III. The GOP has unified behind US Senator Sam Brownback. I expect Brownback to roll West 72-28. GOP GAIN.

Secretary of State: Incumbent GOP Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh is retiring. On the GOP side, former Business Lobbyist JR Claceys and former State GOP Chairman Kris Kobach are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State Securities Commissioner Chris Biggs and State Senator Chris Steineger are in the running. I expect Kobach to prevail over Claeys 58-42. I also expect Biggs to defeat Steineger 56-44. I expect Kobach to prevail over Biggs 55-45. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Stephen N. Six is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Six. On the GOP side, former Assistant Attorney General Ralph DeZago and State Senate Majority Leader Derek Schmidt are in the running. I expect Schmidt to defeat DeZago 54-46 and upend Six 53-47. GOP GAIN.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer Dennis McKinney is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind McKinney. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Insurance Commissioner: Incumbent GOP State Insurance Commissioner Sandy Praeger is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Praeger and Insurance Agent David Powell are in the running. The Democrats have no announced or potential candidates. Praeger will defeat Powell 68-32. GOP HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Governor. On the GOP side, Congressmen Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt are in the running. On the Democratic side, Retired Communications Executive Charles Schollenberger and Attorney Stanley Wiles are in the running. I expect Moran to defeat Tiahrt 53-47 and Schollenberger to defeat Wiles 59-41. I expect Moran to crush Schollenberger 65-35. GOP HOLD.

KS-01: Incumbent GOP Congressman Jerry Moran is running for US Senate. On the GOP side, State Senators Jim Barnett and Tim Huelskamp, College Instructor Sue Boldra, Attorney Marck Cobb, Commercial Realtor Tracey Mann, former Salina Mayor Monte Shadwick, and former Chief of Staff to US Senator Sam Brownback Rob Wasinger are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind former Salina Mayor Alan Jilka. I expect Huelskamp to emerge from his Primary and defeat Jilka 62-38. GOP HOLD.

KS-02: Incumbent GOP Congresswoman Lynn Jenkins is running for re-election. On the GOP side, Jenkins and State Senator Dennis Pyle are in the running. On the Democratic side, there are no announced candidates, but State Senator Tom Holland is considering the race. I expect Jenkins to defeat Pyle 54-46 and either run unopposed or defeat Holland if he runs. GOP HOLD.

KS-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Dennis Moore is retiring. The Democrats have no announced candidates, but potential candidates include State House Minority Leader Paul Davis, Governor Mark Parkinson, Kansas City Mayor Joe Reardon, and State Senator and current Secretary of State candidate Chris Steineger. On the GOP side, former State Senators Mark Gilstrap and Nick Jordan, Iraq War Veteran Daniel Gilyeat, former State Representative Patricia Lightner, Businessman John Rysavy, Database Consultant Thomas Scherer, and State Representative Kevin Yoder. The GOP frontrunners are Jordan and Yoder. Whichever one makes it out of the Primary has the edge. GOP GAIN.

KS-04: Incumbent GOP Congressman Todd Tiahrt is running for US Senate. On the GOP side, Printing Company Owner Jim Anderson, Oil Company CEO Wink Hartman, State Senator Dick Kelsey, Manufacturing Executive Mike Pompeo, and State Senator Jean Schodorf are in the running. On the Democratic side, State Representative Raj Goyle and Retiree Robert Tillman are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Nurse Susan Ducey. I expect Kelsey and Goyle to emerge from their Primaries. Kelsey will defeat Goyle 56-44. GOP HOLD.

February 5, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates, Women | , , | Leave a comment