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commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

SE on the political races in Connecticut…..

My Take on the 2010 CT Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the CT races will go:

Governor: Incumbent GOP Governor Jodi Rell is retiring. On the GOP side, former Congressman Larry DeNardis, Lieutenant Governor Michael Fedele, and former US Ambassador to Ireland Tom Foley are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State House Speaker Jim Amann, former State Representative Juan Figueroa, Simsbury First Selectman Mary Glassman, Businessman Ned Lamont, State Senator Gary LeBeau, Stamford Mayor Dan Malloy, and Rigefield First Selectman Rudy Marconi are in the running. I expect Fedele and Lamont to emerge from their Primaries. I expect Fedele to pick Foley as his running mate and Lamont to pick Amann as his running mate. I expect Lamont/Amann to prevail over Fedele/Foley 52-48. DEM GAIN.

Secretary of State: Incumbent Democratic Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz is running for Attorney General. On the Democratic side, New Haven Alderman Gerry Garcia, Jonathan Harris, State House Majority Leader Denise Merrill, and State Representatives Kevin Roldan and James Spallone are in the running. On the GOP side, former Cheshire Town Registrar of Voters Richard Abbate and Attorney Corey Brinson are in the running. I expect Merrill to emerge from her Primary. I expect Abbate to defeat Brinson 64-36. Merrill will defeat Abbate 60-40. DEM HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Richard Blumenthal is running for the US Senate. On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz and former State Senate Majority Leader George Jepsen are in the running. There are no announced candidates on the GOP side, but potential candidates are State Representatives Bill Hamzy, Themis Klarides, and Arthur O’Neill, Attorney John Pavia, and State Senator Andrew Roraback. I expect Bysiewicz to pummel Jepsen 67-33 and defeat whoever the GOP nominates. DEM HOLD.

State Treasurer: Incumbent Democratic State Treasurer Denise Nappier is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Nappier. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

State Comptroller: Incumbent Democratic State Comptroller Nancy Wyman is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Wyman. The GOP has no announced or potential candidates. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent US Senator Chris Dodd is retiring. On the Democratic side, Software Executive Merrick Alpert, Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, and former Greenwich First Selectman Roger Pearson are in the running. On the GOP side, former Worl Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon, former Congressman Rob Simmons, and Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Shiff are in the running. I expect Blumenthal to crush his Primary opposition easily, 80-14-6 over Alpert and Pearson. I also expect Simmons to bodyslam McMahon 49-38. Blumenthal will crush Simmons 69-31. DEM HOLD.

US Congress: Democrats will retain Districts 1 and 3.

CT-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Joe Courtney is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Courtney. On the GOP side, Hebron Board of Finance Member Matthew Daly and Homeland Security Consultant Daria Novak are in the running. The Green Party has unified behind Montville School Board Chair G. Scott Deshefy. The Libertarians have unified behind Writer Dan Reale. I expect Daly to emerge from his Primary 71-29 and lose to Courtney 56-41. DEM HOLD.

CT-04: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Himes is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Himes. On the GOP side, State Senator Dan Debicella, Non-Profit Group Executive Director Will Gregory, Businessmen Rob Merkle and Rick Torres, and former State Senator Rob Russo are in the running., I expect Debicella to prevail 50-42-5-2-1 over Gregory, Russo, Merkle, and Torres, and upend Himes 51-49. GOP GAIN.

CT-05: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Chris Murphy is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Murphy. On the GOP side, former Non-Profit Group Executive Director Justin Bernier, State Senator Sam Calguri, Health Care Executive Dan Carter, Businessmen Bill Evans and Mark Greenberg, and Attorney Kie Westby. I expect Calguri to prevail over Bernier 55-39 and upend Murphy 53-47. GOP GAIN.

POSTED BY SE-779

Update:…..we have been told that Daley has dropped out of the CT-02….Novak is said to have backing…But Se calls this Dem hold anyways…..

Update#2..……From SE…..’.You do know the stuff about Daly is stuff generated by the Novak people to gain traction. It’s incorrect. I don’t think my time is needed on a follow-up.’

January 30, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , | 22 Comments

SE does the Deleware senate race………

Seems like everyone is looking the state….This from our buddy SE…….

Delaware Polls

Via Pollster.com:

2010 Senate

56% Castle(R), 27% Coons(D)

Favorable / Unfavorable

Chris Coons: 47 / 30

Mike Castle: 66 / 25

Job Approval / Disapproval

Pres. Obama: 50 / 49

Gov. Markell: 57 / 36

Certainly good news for the GOP in a very Democratic state like Delaware. 27% for a Democrat in this state is flat out horrible. Factor in Obama’s favorables and you have the Perfect Storm for the GOP. And I thought Coons was well know enough as a County Executive(there’s 3 counties in DE) to do better, but in this climate, I guess not. Your thoughts.

POSTED BY SE-779

January 27, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , | 7 Comments

SE on West Virginia House races……

My Take on the 2010 WV Races

Here’s a rundown of how I think the WV races will go:

WV-01: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Alan Mollohan is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Mollohan and Steel Worker RJ Smith are in the running. On the GOP side, Realtor Cindy Hall, GOP Activist Patricia Van Gilder Levenson, former State GOP Chair David McKinley, Coal Mine Contracting Company Executive R. Scott Smith, Custom Furniture Maker Tom Stark, Financial Executive Daniel Swisher, and Attorney Mac Warner are in the running. I expect McKinley to prevail in the Primary with 55% and Mollohan in his Primary 89-11. In this climate, I think McKinley will defeat Mollohan 52-48. GOP GAIN.

WV-02: Incumbent GOP Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind Capito. On the Democratic side, Elementary School Principal Virginia Lynch Graf and David Harless are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Teacher Phil Hudok. I expect Graf to prevail in the Primary 87-13 and lost to Capito 63-37. GOP HOLD.

WV-03: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Nick Rahall is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Rahall and State Delegate Ralph Rodighiero are in the running. On the GOP side, Nurse Anesthetist Lee Bias, Sign Company Sales Executive Marty Gearhart, and Attorney Conrad Lucas are in the running. The Democratic Primary is a tossup. I expect Lucas to prevail over Gearhart and Bias 54-41-5. Whoever the Democrats nominate will defeat Lucas, 57-43 Rahall or 59-41 Rodighiero. DEM HOLD.

Posted by SE – 779

January 26, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 8 Comments

SE on the New Hamsphire Races……

From SE……

Here’s a rundown of how I think the NH races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lynch. On the GOP side, Businessman Jack Kimball and Religious Right Activist and Author Karen Testerman are in the running. I expect Kimball to prevail 63-37 and lose by a lesser than expected margin(59-41) to Lynch. DEM HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent GOP US Senator Judd Gregg is retiring. On the GOP side, former State Representative Tom Alciere, former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Businessmen Jim Bender and Bill Binnie, and former State Board of Education Chair Ovide LaMontage are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind US Representative Paul Hodes. The Libertarians have unified behind Realtor Ken Blevens. I expect LaMontage to teabag Ayotte to death in the Primary and defeat Hodes 51-47. GOP HOLD.

NH-01: Incumbent Democratic Congresswoman Carol Shea-Porter is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Shea-Porter. On the GOP side, Defense Contractor Rich Ashooh, Businessman and Economist Peter Bearce, International Banking Executive Bob Bestani, Cook Mike Castaldo, Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta, and Kevin Rondeau are in the running. I expect Guinta to handily defeat the rest of the field and prevail over Shea-Porter 53-47. GOP GAIN.

NH-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Paul Hodes is running for US Senate. On the Democratic side, State Representative John DeJoie, Attorney Ann McLane Kuster, and Political Consultant Katrina Swett are in the running. On the GOP side, former Congressman Charlie Bass, former State Representative Bob Giuda, Bristol Town Budget Committee Chairman Andrew Hemingway, Radio Talk Show Host Jennifer Horn, and Milford School Board Member Len Mannino are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Howie Wilson. I expect DeJoie and Bass to emerge from their Primaries. I predict Bass over DeJoie 50-48. GOP GAIN.

January 21, 2010 Posted by | Government, Media, Other Things, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates | , , | Leave a comment

SE posts on Martial Law….. the President of the United States….and His powers….

Se…our buddy from down South, just did a post about a piece mentioned in Alex Jones’ infowars.com……in SE’s piece and the infowars.com piece it is mentioned the President Obama has set up a Council of Governors……here’s SE’s piece……

Now SE has mentioned that the establishment of the Council ‘could change my life’…….I don’t think so.

Here’s SE’s finish…..

This is by far the scariest story I’ve ever seen and as I stated above, I’ve seen coming for a year. Many people have and still do dismiss me as crazy, but I now firmly believe that Obama will declare Martial Law, abolish elections, and arrest people in the name of national security, saving the economy, etc. However, I don’t think he will go the way of Hitler or Stalin, though. The people are what keep the Government alive, so don’t expect Obama to go the way of the names above

Ok…lets take  a look at the subject….First ..Of all President’s set up Council’s of Governor’s all the time……..Here’s one…Council of Great Lakes Governors and here’s another…Governor’s Council to Address Sexual Assault & Domestic Violence or how about this one?……Governor’s Council on Physical Fitness & Sports…..

Ok…next…..the Council of Governor’s is just that…..The president is setting up a group of governors to….

Functions.

The Council shall meet at the call of the Secretary of Defense or the Co-Chairs of the Council to exchange views, information, or advice with the Secretary of Defense; the Secretary of Homeland Security; the Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism; the Assistant to the President for Intergovernmental Affairs and Public Engagement; the Assistant Secretary of Defense for Homeland Defense and Americas’ Security Affairs; the Commander, United States Northern Command; the Chief, National Guard Bureau; the Commandant of the Coast Guard; and other appropriate officials of the Department of Homeland Security and the Department of Defense, and appropriate officials of other executive departments or agencies as may be designated by the Secretary of Defense or the Secretary of Homeland Security. Such views, information, or advice shall concern:
(a) matters involving the National Guard of the various States;
(b) homeland defense;
(c) civil support;
(d) synchronization and integration of State and Federal military activities in the United States; and
(e) other matters of mutual interest pertaining to National Guard, homeland defense, and civil support activities.

Now SE and a batch of people out there are really bent out of shape about this…..

But the group is set up to do exactly what it says…..meet to….exchange views, information, or advice……

That’s all….

While SE and everyone else worries about the Council of Governors…they ought to read up on the……

National Emergency Powers Act……

Now that’s what I’m talking about……


Under the Act……

Federal law provides a variety of powers for the President to use in response to

crisis, exigency, or emergency circumstances threatening the nation. Moreover, they

are not limited to military or war situations. Some of these authorities, deriving from

the Constitution or statutory law, are continuously available to the President with little

or no qualification. Others—statutory delegations from Congress—exist on a standby

basis and remain dormant until the President formally declares a national

emergency. These delegations or grants of power authorize the President to meet the

problems of governing effectively in times of crisis. Under the powers delegated by

such statutes, the President may seize property, organize and control the means of

production, seize commodities, assign military forces abroad, institute martial law,

seize and control all transportation and communication, regulate the operation of

private enterprise, restrict travel, and, in a variety of ways, control the lives of United

States citizens. Furthermore, Congress may modify, rescind, or render dormant such

delegated emergency authority.

Until the crisis of World War I, Presidents utilized emergency powers at their

own discretion. Proclamations announced the exercise of exigency authority.

However, during World War I and thereafter, Chief Executives had available to them

a growing body of standby emergency authority which became operative upon the

issuance of a proclamation declaring a condition of national emergency. Sometimes

such proclamations confined the matter of crisis to a specific policy sphere, and

sometimes they placed no limitation whatsoever on the pronouncement. These

activations of stand-by emergency authority remained acceptable practice until the era

of the Vietnam war. In 1976, Congress curtailed this practice with the passage of the

National Emergencies Act.

The Act…linked above provides a frame work for President to evoke their powers…..in reading the link one finds that in most instances Presidents publicly

document the issuance of directives based on the act……

In the case of recent National Security Directives …those documentations have been done in secret……On would believe that those directives have been presented to both houses of Congress through their National Security Oversight committee’s…..

There has been  a bit of a snit that occurred when a member of Congress wanted to publicly find out about the countries plans for governance in the event of a terrorist situation…..

In July 2007, ( under the Bush Administration ) Congressman Peter DeFazio (D – OR) was asked by his constituents to see what was contained within the classified portion of the White House’s plan for operating the government after a terrorist attack.

Since DeFazio also sits on the Homeland Security Committee and has clearance to view classified material, the request would have appeared to be routine, but the Congressman was unceremoniously denied all access to view the documents, and the White House wouldn’t even give an excuse as to why he was barred.

“I just can’t believe they’re going to deny a member of Congress the right of reviewing how they plan to conduct the government of the United States after a significant terrorist attack,” DeFazio told the Oregonian.

“We’re talking about the continuity of the government of the United States of America,” DeFazio says. “I would think that would be relevant to any member of Congress, let alone a member of the Homeland Security Committee.”

Under the Obama administration that policy has continued…but one notices an uproar in Congress…..Why?

Because the heads of those committee’s …..The ones on the notification line know what’s in the directives….

The fact of the matter is the executive branch is the working arm of this country…..they respond to crisis, incidents and emergencies…not Congress…

A prime example is the Haitian situation…..in order to do their jobs…the country must trust them and their leader….The Conmmander-in -Chief……it can be no other way…..

The fact remains in the end that Presidents have always had the ability to do just what ever they need to do in emergencies…as matter of fact they now actually are supposed to tell the Congress when they do it…..

So when we vote for our Presidents we should always remember that….. With that vote….. We give that person the reigns to go and do a lot of things for 4 years…..

And we hope that they do ‘the right thing’….bBecausesome of them don’t…….

But we’re in for a ride with them come hell…or high water…….

January 18, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Government, Law, Media, Men, Military, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Updates | , , , , , | 2 Comments

Open Thread for January 9……..

How’s everyone doing!….The Peter Orszag post has blasted off the charts!…….check the original post about his switch in girlfriends and the follow-up letting us know where he works and what he does……Merlin has had a good time supplying the Dog with his good insight and polling numbers….SE is bringing up the rear with his information and views on the Southern states….JSin is getting us thinking, and the this Dog pound is walking in style!…..Thanks everbody and lets keep it rolling!

As always……..Subscribe……Subscribe……Subscribe………and step up and hit that keyboard, and send us some comments…..

Thanks…..Ruff….Ruff……..

January 8, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Media, PoliticalDog Calls, PoliticalDogs Merlin, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls, Up 4 Discussion | , , , | 86 Comments

A view of the 2010 Gerogia Races……..from SE…….

One of our posters has a good piece on the Races in Georgia for 2010………I will admit I don’t know too much about the races in the state so I’m putting his thoughts out to you……here’s some of the calls……

Insurance  Commissioner  and GOPer John Oxendine for Governor …..over Democrat, ex- Gov Ray Barnes……

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent GOP Lt. Gov. Casey Cagle is so far running for re-election and he probably won’t have much difficulty winning.

In the Secretary of State job….he’s picking guess who?…yea the GOPer State Senator Brian Kemp….against either democrat Attorney Gary Horlacher or Public Relations Executive Michael Mills.

For Attorney general…….Cobb County Commission Chair Sam Olens is favored…but is will run in a tight race against either State Representative Rob Teilhet or former Dougherty Circuit District Attorney Ken Hodges…..well looka here…he’s calling this race a tight one……

Here’s the link for the piece…..

Note:…..I do see a slight Republican bais…I hope he ‘s right for his sake…or he’ll never hear the end of it……

Thanks SE!……….

January 4, 2010 Posted by | Government, Media, PoliticalDogs SE posts, Politics, Polls | , , , | 7 Comments