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commentary on Politics and a little bit of everything else

Stop-gap spending Bill will be approved by BOTH House’s…No Government shut down for 2 Weeks….

The thing will be to fashion another stop-gap bill agreeement and then deal with the Federal Government deficit ceiling….

 

Then come back and handle the rest of the 2011 spending bill , and THEN on to 2012…..

(I don’t think Congress is going to easily deal with the huge cuts the GOP newbie’s want….)

The GOP maybe claiming victory…

But cuts are coming and most of these cuts approved are from things that the Democrats could live with…

Gonna be interesting to see what happens when the money is scrubbed from some of the local projects that state already thought would be funded…


Done deal on a $4 billion cut gives Republicans spending victory

The House approved a stopgap spending resolution in a landslide vote to slash spending by $4 billion over two weeks.…

 

House Passes Stopgap Spending Measure

 

House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH)

 

By a vote of 335-91 — including a majority of Democrats — the House voted Tuesday afternoon to slash $4 billion in federal spending between March 4 and March 18.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said the Senate should adopt this package word for word within 48 hours, which will prevent a government shutdown.

The real shutdown fight begins now, as House and Senate leaders put their heads together over a longer-term spending bill, to keep the government running through September.

 

 

 

Despite steep cuts, Reid says Senate Dems will pass House GOP plan

The Senate majority leader called short-term spending measures “a terrible way to govern” but said Democrats will pass it.…

This Post from Politicaldog101…..

 

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March 2, 2011 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Law, Media, Politics, Projections, The Economy, Updates | , , , , | Leave a comment

Daniel……Indiana Senate Polling has Coats ahead for the GOP…Ellesworth trailing all GOP candidates….

Hello Folks!

5 Days until the Indiana Republican Senate Primary and former Senator Daniel Ray Coats (R-IN) holds an 12-Point lead over his nearest Republican Rival, former U. S. Rep. John N. Hostettler (R-IN). State Senator Marlin Stutzman (R-IN) (whom I endorsed) coming in third with 18 % of the Vote.

Meanwhile all 3 Republicans leading Democrat Brad Ellsworth (D-IN) in a General Election Match-Up.

Note: Survey USA has released the Poll on its Website so I’ve no Crosstabs at this Point. I’m sure they’ll released the Survey some time this evening so I’ll probably Update this Post tomorrow.

Survey USA / Mike Downs Center Survey

Indiana Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Former Senator Daniel Ray Coats  36 %
Former U. S. Rep. John N. Hostettler  24 %
State Senator Marlin A. Stutzman  18 %
Financial Advisor Don Bates Jr.  6 %
Anti-Tax Activist Richard Behney  4 %
Undecided  13 %

General Election

Former Senator Daniel Ray Coats (R)  47 %
U. S. Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D)  31 %
Undecided  22 %

Former U. S. Rep. John N. Hostettler (R)  45 %
U. S. Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D)  32 %
Undecided  23 %

State Senator Marlin A. Stutzman (R)  41 %
U. S. Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D)  35 %
Undecided  25 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.ellsworthforindiana2010.com/
http://www.coatsforindiana.com/
http://www.johnhostettler.com/
http://www.gomarlin.com/

Analysis:

The General Election Match-Ups from SUSA look similar to Rasmussen.

Daniel G.

April 30, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Daniel G @ PolitcalDog, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 6 Comments

An In-depth look at Florida's politics……….

[ Crist, Rubio, Meek and Alex Sink  from Florida ]

This from a must read piece @ PolitcsDaily……

……meddling in the politics of Planet Florida has been something neither party has been able to resist since the infamous presidential recount of 2000. And one question Florida voters will answer in the Aug. 24 primaries and the Nov. 2 general election is which national political party inadvertently did the most harm to its own chances of victory.

It started with the Democrats. Calculating that Crist’s maddening popularity made the governorship beyond their grasp, the Democratic Party establishment decided to concentrate its efforts on picking off a Senate seat. The first step was anointing a candidate – under the theory that a hand-picked Democrat could save campaign money and energy for the general election and enter the fall contest not having been bloodied in a primary. This makes sense, as far as it goes, and leading Democrats in and out of Florida, most prominently including former President Bill Clinton, declared their early support for Rep. Kendrick Meek.

Meek, who inherited his House seat from his mother, Carrie Meek, is an attractive and skilled African-American congressman from Miami who is known for his hard work and fundraising ability. In this campaign, Bill Clinton has already hosted half-a-dozen fundraisers for him. The national Democrats backing Meek are consciously emulating the model used in 2008 by another African-American candidate, Barack Obama, who raised unheard-of sums of money and who carried the Sunshine State by 240,000 votes while winning the presidency. Last spring, Meek retained the services of Steve Hildebrand, a deputy campaign manager of the Obama campaign, and a field operative with a track record of positioning his candidates to appeal to centrists and independents.

To win, Meek will need bundles of such voters; but attracting them will be no easy feat. Since Obama’s 2008 victory, moderates have deserted the Democrats in Virginia, New Jersey, and even Massachusetts. And Meek is someone who has never run outside his overwhelmingly minority district, who is a classic liberal in a right-center “purple” state, and whose only known deviation from his party’s left flank is that he refuses, out of deference to South Florida politics, to smoke Cuban cigars.

“Congressman Meek has done a good job in Congress, and he’s done a good job locking up the support of key Democrats in this state and elsewhere,” says veteran Tallahassee Democratic operative Todd Wilder. “But if he’s the nominee, I think the politics of this state are going to catch up with his campaign.” Wilder is advising a long-shot challenger to Meek, 74-year-old Maurice A. Ferre, a former mayor of Miami. “Look, we’ve got to catch lightning in a bottle, no doubt, to get the nomination, but in a general election I think the congressman is tapped out at 35 percent of the vote.”

Several people has made this point about Re.p. Meek to the Dog…including Merlin…..

Ferre, not surprisingly, concurs with this analysis. He responds to a request for an interview – he apparently doesn’t get too many – immediately and phones from a car in San Juan, where he’s gone to raise money. (He’s asked how the fundraising is going. “Bad!” he replies. “That’s my major problem, raising money. It’s why I’m in Puerto Rico. I haven’t done well in Florida, so we’ll see how it goes here.”)

This kind of candor endears Ferre to journalists; whether it will work with voters is another question. He certainly has a case to make that, despite his advanced age, he’s a better fit statewide in Florida than his fellow Miamian Kendrick Meek. “I’ve no scientific proof, but I’m pretty certain that Meek cannot get elected in a primary, let alone a general election.”

Speaking off the cuff, Ferre breaks Florida down into five regions, gives the percentage of the Democratic vote in each one during the last few elections and explains how and why he thinks the Democrats’ 236,000 margin from 2008 has evaporated – and why Florida’s electorate today isn’t a whole lot different ideologically, anyway, from the way it was when he ran the state for centrist Democrat Scoop Jackson back in 1976. “I think our party’s establishment made a major mistake in trying to anoint Kendrick Meek,” he said. “The Democratic Party doesn’t recognize the threat – just the way they didn’t in Massachusetts.”

The same criticism can be made of the Republican Party establishment.

Determined not to lose yet another Senate seat, national GOP leaders countered with a bold gambit of their own: They’d talk Charlie Crist into giving up the governor’s mansion for a perch in Washington, where they envisioned him as U.S. Senator – and one of his party’s saviors. As it happens, Crist didn’t require a whole lot of arm-twisting, but Sen. John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, tipped the establishment’s hand by publicly endorsing Crist just a week after he said he’d remain neutral until after the August primary.

There was a problem with this play, and it had a name: Marco Rubio.

By the time Crist made Cornyn’s day, Rubio had already left the legislature, announced his candidacy, and set up a campaign operation. Which unleashed all manner of counter-reactions, starting with a grassroots backlash against Crist and a torrent of new support for the attractive and well-qualified young conservative already in the race. The backlash rippled out nationally. If conservatives outside of Florida hadn’t heard the name Marco Rubio before, they’ve heard it now. And those who might never have cared one way or another about The Hug learned all about it, too.

One upshot is that ten days from now, Rubio is slated to be the keynote speaker at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington, a prestigious slot that has gone to Republican icons such as Rush Limbaugh and Dick Cheney the last couple of years. In the meantime, Rubio has caught a nice wave. In late January, he pulled slightly ahead of Crist in a public opinion poll. To counter the flurry of pro-Rubio news coverage, Crist released his fundraising numbers early, which showed he’d collected nearly $2 million that quarter – only to watch as Rubio’s camp released it’s own numbers the following day: $1.7 million.

“Watch what happens next,” says Javier Manjarres, a Florida activist who operates the Conservative Republican Alliance political action committee. “Crist is not only going to agree to a debate – he has to if he’s behind – but he’ll go after Marco hard with negative attacks.”

The piece ends with this caveat……..

Perhaps none of this intramural conflict will, in the end, hurt the Republicans’ chances – polls show either Crist or Rubio defeating Kendrick Meek – but one thing seems certain: The GOP machinations have put the governor’s mansion in play. The most likely Republican nominee appears to be former congressman and current Attorney General Bill McCollum. His Democratic opponent in November is probably going to be Alex Sink.

February 8, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

An In-depth look at Florida’s politics……….

[ Crist, Rubio, Meek and Alex Sink  from Florida ]

This from a must read piece @ PolitcsDaily……

……meddling in the politics of Planet Florida has been something neither party has been able to resist since the infamous presidential recount of 2000. And one question Florida voters will answer in the Aug. 24 primaries and the Nov. 2 general election is which national political party inadvertently did the most harm to its own chances of victory.

It started with the Democrats. Calculating that Crist’s maddening popularity made the governorship beyond their grasp, the Democratic Party establishment decided to concentrate its efforts on picking off a Senate seat. The first step was anointing a candidate – under the theory that a hand-picked Democrat could save campaign money and energy for the general election and enter the fall contest not having been bloodied in a primary. This makes sense, as far as it goes, and leading Democrats in and out of Florida, most prominently including former President Bill Clinton, declared their early support for Rep. Kendrick Meek.

Meek, who inherited his House seat from his mother, Carrie Meek, is an attractive and skilled African-American congressman from Miami who is known for his hard work and fundraising ability. In this campaign, Bill Clinton has already hosted half-a-dozen fundraisers for him. The national Democrats backing Meek are consciously emulating the model used in 2008 by another African-American candidate, Barack Obama, who raised unheard-of sums of money and who carried the Sunshine State by 240,000 votes while winning the presidency. Last spring, Meek retained the services of Steve Hildebrand, a deputy campaign manager of the Obama campaign, and a field operative with a track record of positioning his candidates to appeal to centrists and independents.

To win, Meek will need bundles of such voters; but attracting them will be no easy feat. Since Obama’s 2008 victory, moderates have deserted the Democrats in Virginia, New Jersey, and even Massachusetts. And Meek is someone who has never run outside his overwhelmingly minority district, who is a classic liberal in a right-center “purple” state, and whose only known deviation from his party’s left flank is that he refuses, out of deference to South Florida politics, to smoke Cuban cigars.

“Congressman Meek has done a good job in Congress, and he’s done a good job locking up the support of key Democrats in this state and elsewhere,” says veteran Tallahassee Democratic operative Todd Wilder. “But if he’s the nominee, I think the politics of this state are going to catch up with his campaign.” Wilder is advising a long-shot challenger to Meek, 74-year-old Maurice A. Ferre, a former mayor of Miami. “Look, we’ve got to catch lightning in a bottle, no doubt, to get the nomination, but in a general election I think the congressman is tapped out at 35 percent of the vote.”

Several people has made this point about Re.p. Meek to the Dog…including Merlin…..

Ferre, not surprisingly, concurs with this analysis. He responds to a request for an interview – he apparently doesn’t get too many – immediately and phones from a car in San Juan, where he’s gone to raise money. (He’s asked how the fundraising is going. “Bad!” he replies. “That’s my major problem, raising money. It’s why I’m in Puerto Rico. I haven’t done well in Florida, so we’ll see how it goes here.”)

This kind of candor endears Ferre to journalists; whether it will work with voters is another question. He certainly has a case to make that, despite his advanced age, he’s a better fit statewide in Florida than his fellow Miamian Kendrick Meek. “I’ve no scientific proof, but I’m pretty certain that Meek cannot get elected in a primary, let alone a general election.”

Speaking off the cuff, Ferre breaks Florida down into five regions, gives the percentage of the Democratic vote in each one during the last few elections and explains how and why he thinks the Democrats’ 236,000 margin from 2008 has evaporated – and why Florida’s electorate today isn’t a whole lot different ideologically, anyway, from the way it was when he ran the state for centrist Democrat Scoop Jackson back in 1976. “I think our party’s establishment made a major mistake in trying to anoint Kendrick Meek,” he said. “The Democratic Party doesn’t recognize the threat – just the way they didn’t in Massachusetts.”

The same criticism can be made of the Republican Party establishment.

Determined not to lose yet another Senate seat, national GOP leaders countered with a bold gambit of their own: They’d talk Charlie Crist into giving up the governor’s mansion for a perch in Washington, where they envisioned him as U.S. Senator – and one of his party’s saviors. As it happens, Crist didn’t require a whole lot of arm-twisting, but Sen. John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, tipped the establishment’s hand by publicly endorsing Crist just a week after he said he’d remain neutral until after the August primary.

There was a problem with this play, and it had a name: Marco Rubio.

By the time Crist made Cornyn’s day, Rubio had already left the legislature, announced his candidacy, and set up a campaign operation. Which unleashed all manner of counter-reactions, starting with a grassroots backlash against Crist and a torrent of new support for the attractive and well-qualified young conservative already in the race. The backlash rippled out nationally. If conservatives outside of Florida hadn’t heard the name Marco Rubio before, they’ve heard it now. And those who might never have cared one way or another about The Hug learned all about it, too.

One upshot is that ten days from now, Rubio is slated to be the keynote speaker at the Conservative Political Action Conference in Washington, a prestigious slot that has gone to Republican icons such as Rush Limbaugh and Dick Cheney the last couple of years. In the meantime, Rubio has caught a nice wave. In late January, he pulled slightly ahead of Crist in a public opinion poll. To counter the flurry of pro-Rubio news coverage, Crist released his fundraising numbers early, which showed he’d collected nearly $2 million that quarter – only to watch as Rubio’s camp released it’s own numbers the following day: $1.7 million.

“Watch what happens next,” says Javier Manjarres, a Florida activist who operates the Conservative Republican Alliance political action committee. “Crist is not only going to agree to a debate – he has to if he’s behind – but he’ll go after Marco hard with negative attacks.”

The piece ends with this caveat……..

Perhaps none of this intramural conflict will, in the end, hurt the Republicans’ chances – polls show either Crist or Rubio defeating Kendrick Meek – but one thing seems certain: The GOP machinations have put the governor’s mansion in play. The most likely Republican nominee appears to be former congressman and current Attorney General Bill McCollum. His Democratic opponent in November is probably going to be Alex Sink.

February 8, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Government, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Merlin with more 2010 general number of Senate/House…… seat's won/lost predictions…..and Governor's….

Hello Dog!

Scott Elliott over at http://www.electionprojection.com right now predicts this:

Democrats to lose 5 Senate Seats

Democrats to lose 16 House Seats

Republicans will have a net gain of 2 Governorships

Senate Projections:

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/senate10.php

House Projections

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/house10.php

Governor Projections

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/governors10.php

Check it all out

Merlin

Update…..


He just changed Pennsylvania from “WEAK DEM Hold” into “WEAK GOP GAIN” so it’s now + 6 for the GOP in the Senate which means he’s giving the GOP:

North Dakota, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Colorado and Nevada.

In the House he predicts this:

From Dem to GOP:

Alabama – 2 (Bobby Bright)
Arkansas – 1 (Open)
Arkansas – 2 (Open)
Colorado – 4 (Betsy Markey)
Florida – 8 (Alan Grayson)
Idaho – 1 (Walter Minnick)
Kansas – 3 (Open)
Louisiana – 3 (Open)
Maryland – 1 (Frank Kratochvil)
Michigan – 7 (Mark Schauer)
Mississippi – 1 (Travis Childers)
New Mexico – 2 (Harry Teague)
Ohio – 1 (Steve Driehaus)
Ohio – 15 (Mary Jo Kilroy)
Pennsylvania – 7 (Open)
Tennessee – 6 (Open)
Tennessee – 8 (Open)
Virginia – 5 (Tom Perriello)
Washington State – 3 (Open)

From GOP to Dem:

Delaware At-Large (Open)
Illinois – 10 (Open)
Louisiana – 2 (Ahn Cao)

For Governors……

From Dem to GOP

Pennsylvania (Open)
Michigan (Open)
Wisconsin (Open)
Tennessee (Open)
Oklahomas (Open)
Kansas (Open)
Colorado (Open)
Wyoming (Open IF Freudenthal doesn’t challenge the States Term-Limits)

From GOP to Dem:

Hawaii (Open)
California (Open)
Minnesota (Open)
Vermont (Open)
Connecticut (Open)

Still in the Democratic Column are Ohio & Iowa which seems odd for me as both Incumbents trailing badly especially Culver in Iowa.

January 27, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 5 Comments

Merlin with more 2010 general number of Senate/House…… seat’s won/lost predictions…..and Governor’s….

Hello Dog!

Scott Elliott over at http://www.electionprojection.com right now predicts this:

Democrats to lose 5 Senate Seats

Democrats to lose 16 House Seats

Republicans will have a net gain of 2 Governorships

Senate Projections:

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/senate10.php

House Projections

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/house10.php

Governor Projections

http://www.electionprojection.com/2010elections/governors10.php

Check it all out

Merlin

Update…..


He just changed Pennsylvania from “WEAK DEM Hold” into “WEAK GOP GAIN” so it’s now + 6 for the GOP in the Senate which means he’s giving the GOP:

North Dakota, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, Colorado and Nevada.

In the House he predicts this:

From Dem to GOP:

Alabama – 2 (Bobby Bright)
Arkansas – 1 (Open)
Arkansas – 2 (Open)
Colorado – 4 (Betsy Markey)
Florida – 8 (Alan Grayson)
Idaho – 1 (Walter Minnick)
Kansas – 3 (Open)
Louisiana – 3 (Open)
Maryland – 1 (Frank Kratochvil)
Michigan – 7 (Mark Schauer)
Mississippi – 1 (Travis Childers)
New Mexico – 2 (Harry Teague)
Ohio – 1 (Steve Driehaus)
Ohio – 15 (Mary Jo Kilroy)
Pennsylvania – 7 (Open)
Tennessee – 6 (Open)
Tennessee – 8 (Open)
Virginia – 5 (Tom Perriello)
Washington State – 3 (Open)

From GOP to Dem:

Delaware At-Large (Open)
Illinois – 10 (Open)
Louisiana – 2 (Ahn Cao)

For Governors……

From Dem to GOP

Pennsylvania (Open)
Michigan (Open)
Wisconsin (Open)
Tennessee (Open)
Oklahomas (Open)
Kansas (Open)
Colorado (Open)
Wyoming (Open IF Freudenthal doesn’t challenge the States Term-Limits)

From GOP to Dem:

Hawaii (Open)
California (Open)
Minnesota (Open)
Vermont (Open)
Connecticut (Open)

Still in the Democratic Column are Ohio & Iowa which seems odd for me as both Incumbents trailing badly especially Culver in Iowa.

January 27, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , | 5 Comments

Merlin on Senator David Vitter in Louisiana…….

Hi Dog!

Despite some miss-steps in the past Louisiana Junior Senator David Vitter (R) looks safe for Reelection according to a new Poll.

The only Threat he had been a probable Primary Challenge from LA Secretary of State Jay Dardenne…. BUT today Dardenne announced he would not primary Vitter.

Rasmussen Survey

Louisiana Senate 2010

Senator David Vitter (R)  53 %
Rep. Charlie Melancon (D)  35 %
Others  4 %
Undecided  8 %

Secretary of State Jay Dardenne (R)  53 %
Rep. Charlie Melancon (D)  31 %
Others  6 %
Undecided  10 %

Merlin

Update.…Merlin provides a link on Louisiana SoS Jay Dardenne…..

January 19, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Media, Men, PoliticalDogs Merlin, Politics, Polls, Updates, Women | , , , , | 4 Comments

Obama is working the Healthcare Bill at the White House….

With House Ways and Means Chair Charlie Rangel yelling to the media that they where having trouble getting a Healthcare Bill together between the House and the Senate ….it was good to hear that the President has decided to get his hands dirty, and help his party, and Congress get the Bill done…..

Now all he has to do is get out there and convince American’s that the darn thing won’t eat them up…….

And maybe he can save a few democratic seats by the November elections, while he’s at it………

January 13, 2010 Posted by | Breaking News, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, The Economy, Updates | , , | Leave a comment

The final Healthcare Bill will be more like the tamer Senate version….

Pelosi spent two hours addressing her Caucus via conference call on Thursday for the first time since she agreed to let the Senate bill serve as the vehicle for delivering a congressional health reform bill to the White House.

While this whole thing was dominating the headlines…you had to know things where going to play out this way….it had to …..Pelosi and Reid let the liberals and progressive’s have their say in the house….they let them have their vote…..no big fight with all those people running for re-election….let them go on record…..

But in the end…. I said Obama just wanted a bill…and that’s how it played…..

From day one I said Liberal and Progressives got captured in Iowa.…. ‘on the cheap’….

A whole lot of Obama looks a lot like Hillary Clinton….. two year’s ago…..

She has to be shaking her head …a lot these days…..

Haley Barbour was right…this President can surely sell what he wants…….

And right now….I’ll buy in……

January 7, 2010 Posted by | Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, The Economy | , , , , | Leave a comment

From out in left field….How about a poll pitting Harold Ford Jr. against Kristen Gilibrand????

Seems a guy in New York got polled about Harold Ford Jr. running against Kristen Gilibrand  in the primary for the democratic New York Senate seat…..yea!…how about that??

Last time I heard Harold Ford Jr. was doing his thing in Tennesse…..

Here’s the link to thealbanyproject.com story…….

I wonder if someone is putting these guys on?……

Ah….I’ve done some checking around…..it might interest everyone to know two things …First of all, Ford’s wife is a New York public relations person for Carolina Herrara…Second, Ford is currently a visiting professor at New York University these days…..now I’d be willing to bet, he and his wife have diggs in New York City…making him a New Yorker these days…..well I’be darned…..now that would be a hell of race, huh?

Note: Carolyn McCarthy has come for Gilibrand …ONLY  IF SHE WINS THE DEMOCARTIC PRIMARY FOR SENATOR……does McCarthy know something we all don’t?

November 25, 2009 Posted by | Government, Media, Politics | , , , , , | 21 Comments