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Obama and Pelosi get a bounce in the polls….Boehner does not…….

From PolitcalWire…..

Obama Gets Small Health Care Bounce

The latest DailyKos/Research 2000 weekly tracking poll shows President Obama receiving a slight bounce in his favorability rating — up five points — since signing a health care reform bill earlier this week.

For comparison, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is up three points while House Minority Leader John Boehner is down five points. Congressional Democrats are up three points while Congressional Republicans are down seven points.

Read more: http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/03/26/obama_gets_small_health_care_bounce.html#ixzz0jIbanB24

I have no comment…..He, he, he…

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March 26, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Men, Other Things, PoliticalDog Calls, Politics, Polls, Updates | , , , , | Leave a comment

Nate Silver……If There's a Bounce, Will it Hold?

He, he, he…….

This stuff could drive ya crazy!

This from Nate Silver over @ FiveThirtyEigth…..

Democrats are understandably thrilled about a USA Today/Gallup poll that came out a few hours ago and which shows a fairly sizable 49 percent plurality in favor of their health care bills, against 40 percent opposed. The +9 net score in the poll, conducted in its entirety yesterday after the House passed its health care bill, is the best observed in any individual health care poll since October.

If I were a Republican, then I’m sure I’d have a little pang of fear right now. Any scenario in which health care reform actually turns out to be somewhat popular is an utter nightmare for them: they’ll have conceded a huge policy victory to the Democrats without improving their situation at the ballot box. Even the best case scenarios for Democrats, mind you, are not exactly great: perhaps a loss of 15-20 seats in the House and 2-4 in the Senate — about what a party usually loses at its first midterm. (I don’t think Democrats can do much better than that unless there’s also an unexpectedly robust recovery in the employment picture.) But it sure wouldn’t feel very good for Republicans, especially if the emergent narratives were that (i) the Republicans can get only so far with a strategy of obstructionism and (ii) Democrats benefit when they band together to pass major agenda items.

But — hold your horses. This is just one poll, and even if the bounce is real, it may very well evaporate.

More……..

March 25, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | Leave a comment

Nate Silver……If There’s a Bounce, Will it Hold?

He, he, he…….

This stuff could drive ya crazy!

This from Nate Silver over @ FiveThirtyEigth…..

Democrats are understandably thrilled about a USA Today/Gallup poll that came out a few hours ago and which shows a fairly sizable 49 percent plurality in favor of their health care bills, against 40 percent opposed. The +9 net score in the poll, conducted in its entirety yesterday after the House passed its health care bill, is the best observed in any individual health care poll since October.

If I were a Republican, then I’m sure I’d have a little pang of fear right now. Any scenario in which health care reform actually turns out to be somewhat popular is an utter nightmare for them: they’ll have conceded a huge policy victory to the Democrats without improving their situation at the ballot box. Even the best case scenarios for Democrats, mind you, are not exactly great: perhaps a loss of 15-20 seats in the House and 2-4 in the Senate — about what a party usually loses at its first midterm. (I don’t think Democrats can do much better than that unless there’s also an unexpectedly robust recovery in the employment picture.) But it sure wouldn’t feel very good for Republicans, especially if the emergent narratives were that (i) the Republicans can get only so far with a strategy of obstructionism and (ii) Democrats benefit when they band together to pass major agenda items.

But — hold your horses. This is just one poll, and even if the bounce is real, it may very well evaporate.

More……..

March 25, 2010 Posted by | Blogs, Breaking News, Counterpoints, Government, Healthcare, Law, Media, Other Things, Politics, Polls, Projections, Updates | , , , | Leave a comment