Another Tea Partier re-joins the GOP……..Rand Paul….

Am I surprised?

Nope…..

Politcs 101….

Primary Republicans run hard right….

General election come back to the middle right….

And…

Raise money…

Just as Sharron Angle is doing in Nevada….

Rand Paul is coming home to the GOP…..

Even though Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell stood with the GOP establishment candidate in his home state of Kentucky, he will now host a June 24 fundraiser in Washington for Paul hosted by the Republican Senatorial Committee, according to the Louisville Courier-Journal.

Asked if the embrace of the GOP national establishment might hurt Paul with his supporters, University of Virginia political scientist Larry Sabato told the Courier-Journal, “”I think they’re pretty set on him. They like him. They’re going to forgive a lot because they believe that deep down in his core he’s with them. They also understand he’s got to do some things to patch up the rift with McConnell and the mainstream, establishment Republicans.”

Back home in Kentucky, Republicans were trying to knit back together Paul’s movement with the wing of the party that backed Secretary of State Trey Grayson, the Lexington Herald-Leaderreported.

There are lingering resentments from the primary. The paper said that some Paul supporters feel the Grayson camp “drove the wedge deep” by not only challenging Paul on policy differences but trying to portray him as a candidate with fringe ideas. On the other side, some Republicans who have had a stake in party activities for years are feeling pushed aside by impatient Tea Party movement activists.

Nevertheless, McConnell, Grayson and the state party have all publicly rallied behind Paul

Women have a very good day June 8…….Lincoln, Whitman, Fiorina and Angle win their primaries….

[ Clockwise…..From top left.   Lincoln, Whitman, Fiorina and Angle ]

Well, Well, Well……..

Look at this !

When I went to sleep last night it didn’t sink in on me that it was strong female night…..

It has now……

My guys here who don’t like women in politics are going to have to swallow hard……

I already did a Lincoln post, He, he, he……

Again…..Am I ever happy to call a race wrong with voters doing the right thing, YES!

With women in California……

Same thing really….

Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina are both rich women who made their bones thru the business world…

Both where able to spend large amounts of money in their campaigns…..

They will both lose in the end…

But they will both put up good fights…..

Jerry Brown and Barbara Boxer are in for good fights…

Angle in Nevada is Reid’s dream candidate…

A Tea Partier…

She is going to get battered …….

We’ll see if her positions ring true with the general voters on that state…..

All in all not a bad day for the Democrats in general….

And a good day for women around the country……

CNN Link……

PoliticsDaily Link….

Simmons gives up in Connecticut…..MacMahon will run against Blumenthal for the Senate…Blumenthal releases internal poll numbers

Rob Simmons WILL drop out of the running for the Connecticut US Senate  seat as a Republican leaving Linda McMahon to run against Richard Blumenethal ….

Rob Simmons will hold a press conference for this morning in New London to announce he’s leaving the U.S. Senate race, sources said late today.
The former congressman and Vietnam War veteran lost the Republican convention’s endorsement on Friday to former World Wrestling CEO Linda McMahon.
Simmons entered the Senate race in the winter of 2009, when a politically ailing Sen. Christopher Dodd was the preumptive Democratic nominee. Throughout the spring and summer and into the fall, Simmons sat atop public opinion polls.
Then McMahon entered the race in September and began spending millions onf television ads and direct mail….

More……..

Meanwhile the Blumenthal campaign has released results from an internal poll that shows him up on McMahon by 15% points……..

Today Blumenthal’s campaign released an internal poll showing him ahead of likely Republican nominee Linda McMahon 55 percent to 40 percent, even though 91 percent of respondents had heard about the controversy regarding his statements about Vietnam. Last week the Republican-leaning pollster Rasmussen found Blumenthal ahead of McMahon 48 percent to 45 percentand leading former Representative Rob Simmons 50 percent to 39 percent. Not only could Blumenthal still win this race, he may still be favored to win. Charlie Cook declared this race a “tossup” just after the New York Times story broke.

More from desmoinesdem @ MyDD…….His By line on the piece is CT Senate….The SAky Is NOT Falling

ScottP…….Midterm Elections and The GOP…….Hispanic Voters in Az and Co….

I do think that during the midterms the GOP is going to do better than they have recently in western states like AZ and CO.

So they will think that their decision to double down on the aging white demographic is working.

But that will be due primarily to angry white voters being the disproportionate % of those who turn out in midterms.

In 2012 they will be hard pressed to win those states and others with similar demographics in a Presidential year.

…………………………………..

From Politicalwire:

“In Colorado and Arizona, Public Policy Polling sees Hispanic voters swinging dramatically towards Democrats in the wake of Arizona’s new immigration law.

“Hispanics in the Mountain West are leaning much more strongly toward the Democrats since the Arizona law was passed. The big question then becomes whether there are white voters who are going to go Republican this fall who wouldn’t have if that bill hadn’t been passed. We don’t see any evidence of that happening yet.”

Ben Smith: “This has always been Democrats’ belief about immigration politics: That among the voters for whom this is a single, motivating issue, whites may get more attention, but Hispanics are more numerous.”

Rand Paul news: Embraced by Mitch McConnell ….TalkandPolitcs……

While Republican Chairman Michael Steele clashed this weekend – Senate Minory Leader Mitch McConnell (who endorsed Pauls opponent Trey Greyson for the primary may 18th) now endorses last weeks statements by Kentucky Teaparty candidate for Senator Rand Paul.

U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell, who had endorsed Grayson in the primary race, called for Republicans to unify behind Paul in the general election and to reach out to Democrats.

“Dr. Rand Paul’s message can win this election,” McConnell said.

From the DailyKos

In the few days since Paul became Kentucky’s Republican senatorial nominee, his message has been … before he went into hiding from the national media, that is …  that businesses should be able to discriminate based on skin color, that making buildings accessible to the disabled is too much of a hardship, that the minimum wage could cause unemployment, and of course that the government should leave poor British Petroleum alone.

Which message does Mitch McConnell think is a winner?

More……..

Republican's stop the Wall Street Fianace Bill….for now….

Everybody knew this was going to happen…

The GOP will hold tight …looking for concessions in the bill…..

The president again will have to personally step in to get it done…..

This is Healthcare all over again….drama….but it’ll get passed…..

This is the way of the US Congress….

Enjoy the ride…..

Sensing political momentum at a time of deep public anger at Wall Street, Democratic leaders said they would keep the regulatory bill on the floor — and delay the rest of their busy legislative agenda — to ratchet up the pressure on the Republicans.

Democrats said they believed the fight over financial regulation — and signs of economic recovery in many parts of the country — could help turn the tide of anti-incumbent sentiment that has them bracing for substantial losses in November.

President Obama joined in criticizing Republicans for refusing to begin debate, and urged them to “put the interests of the country ahead of party.”

“We are as vulnerable as we are today in the waning days of April 2010 as we were in the fall of 2008,” said SenatorChristopher J. Dodd, Democrat of Connecticut and chairman of the banking committee, who is the primary sponsor of the bill. “Nothing has changed, except, of course, jobs have been lost, homes have gone into foreclosure, retirement incomes have evaporated, housing values have declined.”

Republicans, too, see major advantage in their stance, with the Senate minority leader, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, using the issue to bolster his overarching political argument this year: that the Democrats’ one-party rule in Washington is detrimental.

Mr. McConnell, in a floor speech on Monday, rattled off a list of major legislation that he said had not benefited Americans in the ways Democrats had promised, including the economic stimulus measures and the health care legislation. “The days of taking the Democrats’ word for it are over,” he said.

The vote on Monday was 57 to 41, as Democrats fell short of the 60 votes needed to cut off a filibuster of a motion to proceed.

More……..

Republican’s stop the Wall Street Fianace Bill….for now….

Everybody knew this was going to happen…

The GOP will hold tight …looking for concessions in the bill…..

The president again will have to personally step in to get it done…..

This is Healthcare all over again….drama….but it’ll get passed…..

This is the way of the US Congress….

Enjoy the ride…..

Sensing political momentum at a time of deep public anger at Wall Street, Democratic leaders said they would keep the regulatory bill on the floor — and delay the rest of their busy legislative agenda — to ratchet up the pressure on the Republicans.

Democrats said they believed the fight over financial regulation — and signs of economic recovery in many parts of the country — could help turn the tide of anti-incumbent sentiment that has them bracing for substantial losses in November.

President Obama joined in criticizing Republicans for refusing to begin debate, and urged them to “put the interests of the country ahead of party.”

“We are as vulnerable as we are today in the waning days of April 2010 as we were in the fall of 2008,” said SenatorChristopher J. Dodd, Democrat of Connecticut and chairman of the banking committee, who is the primary sponsor of the bill. “Nothing has changed, except, of course, jobs have been lost, homes have gone into foreclosure, retirement incomes have evaporated, housing values have declined.”

Republicans, too, see major advantage in their stance, with the Senate minority leader, Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, using the issue to bolster his overarching political argument this year: that the Democrats’ one-party rule in Washington is detrimental.

Mr. McConnell, in a floor speech on Monday, rattled off a list of major legislation that he said had not benefited Americans in the ways Democrats had promised, including the economic stimulus measures and the health care legislation. “The days of taking the Democrats’ word for it are over,” he said.

The vote on Monday was 57 to 41, as Democrats fell short of the 60 votes needed to cut off a filibuster of a motion to proceed.

More……..

Republicans will try to pick off Tea Partyer’s by bringing them into the fold…..

Realizing that the budding movement is primarily drawing its members from within the conservative wing of the GOP……the Republicans are trying to get those same Tea Partyer’s back into the Republican camp by doing voter outreach banks and having GOP candidates show up and work Tea Party events……

In Nevada, the Clark County Republican Party is opening a phone bank in Las Vegas later this week specifically for Tea Party members to conduct voter outreach, party officials said.

And from Tennessee to Arizona, Republican candidates are turning up at Tea Party-sponsored events to rail against government spending.

The debate over healthcare and the stimulus program galvanized conservative activists to become politically active much earlier this cycle.

“I think the RNC should be talking about those issues and making sure that the Tea Party folks know they have a home at the Republican Party,” said Chip Saltsman, a Republican consultant who ran for the RNC chairmanship last year.

Observers note that the lack of a robust party infrastructure to capture the Tea Party’s energy could hamper the GOP’s chances in November. Democrats don’t have fond memories of the 2004 cycle, when groups such as America Coming Together (ACT) and MoveOn.org drained money and volunteers away from Democratic campaigns. The liberal groups worked to defeat President George W. Bush and other Republican candidates, but they frequently duplicated the party efforts and were ultimately unsuccessful.

More……..

Republicans will try to pick off Tea Partyer's by bringing them into the fold…..

Realizing that the budding movement is primarily drawing its members from within the conservative wing of the GOP……the Republicans are trying to get those same Tea Partyer’s back into the Republican camp by doing voter outreach banks and having GOP candidates show up and work Tea Party events……

In Nevada, the Clark County Republican Party is opening a phone bank in Las Vegas later this week specifically for Tea Party members to conduct voter outreach, party officials said.

And from Tennessee to Arizona, Republican candidates are turning up at Tea Party-sponsored events to rail against government spending.

The debate over healthcare and the stimulus program galvanized conservative activists to become politically active much earlier this cycle.

“I think the RNC should be talking about those issues and making sure that the Tea Party folks know they have a home at the Republican Party,” said Chip Saltsman, a Republican consultant who ran for the RNC chairmanship last year.

Observers note that the lack of a robust party infrastructure to capture the Tea Party’s energy could hamper the GOP’s chances in November. Democrats don’t have fond memories of the 2004 cycle, when groups such as America Coming Together (ACT) and MoveOn.org drained money and volunteers away from Democratic campaigns. The liberal groups worked to defeat President George W. Bush and other Republican candidates, but they frequently duplicated the party efforts and were ultimately unsuccessful.

More……..

Daniel…..The Senate 2010: NRSC outraises DSCC in February…..

Hello Dog!

POLITICO reports the National Republican Senatorial Campaign Cmt. (NRSC) has outraised their Democrat Counterpart DSCC (Democratic Senatorial Campaign Cmt.) in February.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0310/34713.html

The Republicans slowly closing the Money Gap. Democrats only lead by 2,5 $ in that committees.

Going on Record I’m saying the Democrats will lose the following Senate Seats:

North Dakota (This is now Governor Hoeven’s Race to lose)

Indiana (Ellsworth’s YES Vote on Health Care guarantees us this Senate Seat)

Delaware (Castle will win over Coons)

Arkansas (Regardless who wins in the Democratic Primary Democrats will lose this Seat)

Colorado (particular if Bennet wins)

Nevada (Reid will lose to Lowden)

Pennsylvania (Specter will lose to Toomey)

California (Boxer will lose to Campbell)

For now I’m saying Democrats will hold Illinois BUT that’s subject to change

GAME CHANGERS:

Washington if Rossi runs

Wisconsin if Thompson runs

Personally I think they BOTH sitting on the Fence waiting what’s going to happen with Health Care. IF it passes I rate the likelihood for Thompson to nearly 80 % and to Rossi’s at 60 %.

Daniel G.