Daniel….Quinnipiac University Survey: Democratic Senate Candidate Kendrick B. Meek (D-FL) and Republican Governor Candidate William "Bill" McCollum (R-FL) having HUGE Problems in their Primaries

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

This is STUNNING and HUGELY surprising. After Q-Pac put up General Election Polling for Florida yesterday, they also polled the Primaries of both Contest showing Meek (D-FL) and McCollum (R-FL) in massive trouble for their August 24th Primaries.

Quinnipiac University

Florida Governor Race

Republican Primary

Businessman Rick Scott  44 %
State Attorney General William “Bill” McCollum  31 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  24 %

Florida Senate Race

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek  29 %
Businessman Jeff Greene  27 %
Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre  3 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  37 %

Analysis:

Meek’s Numbers clearly show how much a flawed Candidate he is. It’s now entirely possible Greene can win this. The GOP Governor Primary is REALLY STUNNING. It could be a virtual copy of what happened in the GOP Senate Primary between Rubio and Crist before the Incumbent Governor decided to run as Independent.

Well, I warned about McCollum time and time again. At this Point it looks like I was RIGHT.

Daniel G.

Daniel ….I saw this on MSNBC this morning…..Wow!

This Greene guy has a boat load of money…..and has used it to close  on Meek who is serious trouble and will probably not make the ticket…..As for McCollum…Props to you….Looks like he isn’t gonna make it either….

I got stung on my last minute cross feelings on Halter…..I had the underlying dynamics correct but made the opposite call……..I will not call many races anymore…. too far out……

Daniel….Quinnipiac University Survey: Democratic Senate Candidate Kendrick B. Meek (D-FL) and Republican Governor Candidate William “Bill” McCollum (R-FL) having HUGE Problems in their Primaries

Hello Folks and Good Afternoon!

This is STUNNING and HUGELY surprising. After Q-Pac put up General Election Polling for Florida yesterday, they also polled the Primaries of both Contest showing Meek (D-FL) and McCollum (R-FL) in massive trouble for their August 24th Primaries.

Quinnipiac University

Florida Governor Race

Republican Primary

Businessman Rick Scott  44 %
State Attorney General William “Bill” McCollum  31 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  24 %

Florida Senate Race

Democratic Primary

U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek  29 %
Businessman Jeff Greene  27 %
Former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferre  3 %
Others  3 %
Undecided  37 %

Analysis:

Meek’s Numbers clearly show how much a flawed Candidate he is. It’s now entirely possible Greene can win this. The GOP Governor Primary is REALLY STUNNING. It could be a virtual copy of what happened in the GOP Senate Primary between Rubio and Crist before the Incumbent Governor decided to run as Independent.

Well, I warned about McCollum time and time again. At this Point it looks like I was RIGHT.

Daniel G.

Daniel ….I saw this on MSNBC this morning…..Wow!

This Greene guy has a boat load of money…..and has used it to close  on Meek who is serious trouble and will probably not make the ticket…..As for McCollum…Props to you….Looks like he isn’t gonna make it either….

I got stung on my last minute cross feelings on Halter…..I had the underlying dynamics correct but made the opposite call……..I will not call many races anymore…. too far out……

Q poll……Crist +4 in Florida…..

From Talkandpolitics….

Qunnipiac Poll: Crist v. Rubio 37-33, Meek at 17.

Source.

Daniel…..Ohio Governor & Senate: Democrats narrowly ahead in both Contests according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey released this morning…..

Hello Folks and Good afternoon!

Democrats are holding slender leads in the Ohio Governor & Senate Races according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey released early this morning.

In the Governor Race Incumbent Governor Ted Strickland (D-OH) leads former U. S. Rep. John Kasich (R-OH) by 6 Points while in the Open Senate Contest Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher (D-OH) and Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner (D-OH) are leading presumptive Republican Nominee former U. S. Rep. Robert J. “Rob” Portman (R-OH) by 3 and 4 Points.
Remainder: Q-Pac released a Democratic Primary Survey for the Senate Race yesterday showing Fisher 17 Points ahead of Brunner.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Ohio Governor 2010

General Election

[ Strickland ]

Incumbent Governor Ted Strickland (D)  44 %
Former U. S. Rep. John Kasich (R)  38 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  17 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.tedstrickland.com/
http://www.kasichforohio.com/

Ohio Senate 2010

General Election

[ Brunner and Fisher ]

Ohio Lieutenant Governor Lee Irwin Fisher (D)  40 %
Former U. S. Rep. Robert “Rob” Portman (R)  37 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  21 %

Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner (D)  40 %
Former U. S. Rep. Robert “Rob” Portman (R)  37 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  21 %

Link:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1450&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.fisherforohio.com/home
http://www.jenniferbrunner.com/
http://www.robportman.com/

Analysis:

Thanks to lot of TV-Ad Time Democrats may have moved into a very slight lead here. This will change once the Democratic Primary is resolved on Tuesday.

Daniel G.

Daniel…..Ohio Senate Democratic Primary: Race appears to be decided as Lieutenant Governor Fisher opens up 17-Point lead over Brunner according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey …..

Hello Folks and Good Morning!

The Race to face Republican Robert J. “Rob” Portman (R-OH) in the Fall looks like is decided.

A new Survey released by Quinnipiac University this morning in the Buckeye State of Likely Democratic Primary Voters shows Ohio Lieutenant Governor Lee Irwin Fisher (D-OH) has opened up a 17-Point over his Primary Rival Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner (D-OH).

Brunner has been vastly outspend by Fisher over the last couple of weeks and the DSCC is now running TV-Ads on behalf of Fisher.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Ohio Senate 2010

Democratic Primary

Ohio Lieutenant Governor Lee Irwin Fisher  41 %
Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner  24 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  34 %

Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.fisherforohio.com/
http://www.jenniferbrunner.com/

Link:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1449&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0
Analysis:

This Race looks like is decided in favor of Fisher.

It remains to be seen though if he can beat Portman in November.

Fisher has a pretty bad Statewide Track Record. Fisher lost the 1998 Governor Race against Republican Bob Taft (R-OH). He served as Attorney General in the State from 1991 to 1995.

Daniel G.

Daniel……Florida Governor: Democrat Sink pulls within 4 Points of Republican Frontrunner McCollum new Quinnipiac Unversity Survey shows

Hello Dog Folks!

Yet another surprising Governor Race Survey Result this Monday. The Democratic Governor Candidate in Florida, Chief Financial Officer Adelaide “Alex” Sink (D-FL) has pulled within 4 Points of Republican Frontrunner, State Attorney General Bill McCollum (R-FL) according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Florida Governor 2010

Republican Primary

State Attorney General Bill McCollum  57 %
State Senator Paula Dockery   7 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  34 %

General Election

[ McCollum and Sink ]
State Attorney General Bill McCollum (R)  40 %
State Chief Financial Officer Adelaide “Alex” Sink (D)  36 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  21 %

State Chief Financial Officer Adelaide “Alex” Sink (D)  37 %
State Senator Paula Dockery (R)  28 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  32 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.billmccollum.com/
http://www.peopleforpaula.com/
http://www.alexsink2010.com/

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama (D)

Approve 50 %
Disapprove 45 %
Not Sure 5 %

Governor Charlie Crist (R)

Approve 49 %
Disapprove 39 %
Not Sure 12 %
Analysis:

Another Governor Race which all of the sudden has now closed. It remains to be seen though if that will last.

Daniel G.

Hey Daniel…my take……

Democrats are coming home in Florida and this would also confirm my feeling that Healthcare is a dead issue..and may even hurt the GOP if they continue to be the party of ‘No’…..

Daniel….. Florida Senate: Crist trails Rubio BIG in Republican Primary but could win an Independent Bid according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey ……

Hello Dog Folks and Good Morning!

What will Florida Governor Charlie Crist (R-FL) do with his Senate Race?

There is now INCREASING Speculation that Crist could just change his mind and run as Independent in November.

The Wall Street Journal reported just YESTERDAY that Key Advisors of the Crist Campaign pushing for an Independent Senate Bid AND Crist himself dodged a Question on the Senate Race to a Reporter in Tampa.

On the heels of all this buzz Quinnipiac University is out with a Survey today showing Crist would do MUCH BETTER should he decide to run as Independent.

Crist leads Rubio in a 3-way Race for the General Election in November BY TWO POINTS.

Quinnipiac Unversity Survey

Florida Senate 2010

Republican Primary

Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio  56 %
Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist  33 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  10 %

General Election

[ Crist, Rubio and Meek ]

Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (R)  48 %
U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  34 %
Others  2 %
Undecided  14 %

Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  42 %
U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  38 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  17 %

3-way General Election with Crist running as Independent

Incumbent Governor Charlie Crist (I)  32 %
Former Florida House Speaker Marco Rubio (R)  30 %
U. S. Rep. Kendrick B. Meek (D)  24 %
Undecided  12 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

https://www.marcorubio.com/
http://charliecrist.com/
http://www.kendrickmeek.com/

Job Approvals

Governor Charlie Crist (R)

Approve  49 %
Disapprove  39 %
Not Sure  12 %

Senator Bill Nelson (D)

Approve  43 %
Disapprove  30 %
Not Sure  26 %

Senator George Lemieux (R)

Approve  20 %
Disapprove  21 %
Not Sure  59 %

Analysis:

IF Crist runs as Independent Meek is the BIG Loser.

IF Crist stays BUT also wins the Republican Primary Meek is FINISHED too.

A Rubio – Meek Race is currently a Toss-Up.

One interesting Caveat: How will the Health Care Issue play with Florida Senior Voters come November? MEEK IS SO STAUNCHLY LIBERAL that regardless how the Numbers against Rubio look like today I’m still not nervous.

The DSCC WILL CEDE Florida come August. Meek won’t get one Penny from them.

Daniel G.

Daniel…I ‘m still for  Rubio/Meek general……

And I think that Healthcare is finished as a factor in most of the November races……

Daniel…… Pennsylvania Governor: Surveys from Quinnipiac & Public Policy Polling (PPP) confirming Attorney General Tom Corbett (R-PA) Odds-On Favourite to retake PA Governor Mansion for Republicans…..

Hello Dog and good morning!

Two new Surveys from Quinnipiac University as well as Public Policy Polling (PPP) confirming that State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R-PA) is the Odds-On Favourite to retake the Pennsylvania Governor Mansion for Republicans this November. He leads all potential Democratic Challengers by double digits.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Pennsylvania Governor 2010

General Election

[ Corbett and Onorato ]

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  45 %

Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato (D)  33 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  21 %

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  48 %
State Auditor General Jack Wagner (D)  29 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  21 %

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  50 %
Former U. S. Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D)  28 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  21 %

Job Approval

Governor Edward G. “Ed” Rendell (D)

Approve  45 %
Disapprove  45 %
Not Sure  10 %

Public Policy Polling Survey (PPP)

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  45 %
Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato (D)  32 %
Undecided  23 %

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  43 %
State Auditor General Jack Wagner (D)  30 %
Undecided  27 %

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  46 %
Former U. S. Rep. Joe Hoeffel (D)  31 %
Undecided  23 %

State Attorney General Tom Corbett (R)  45 %
State Senator Anthony Williams (D)  27 %
Undecided  28 %

Job Approval

Governor Edward G. “Ed” Rendell (D)

Approve  35 %
Disapprove  51 %
Not Sure  14 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.tomcorbettforgovernor.com/
http://voteonorato.com/
http://www.jackwagner.org/
http://joehoeffel2010.com/
http://www.williams4governor.com/

Analysis:

I still don’t know why “The Dog” doesn’t get it. Corbett will win this – Period and End of Story.

Daniel G.

Well Daniel Buddy…I do get it…Rendell…is the poster boy for anti-incumbant fever……I have to admit he’s causing Onorato pain..maybe …the dem’s down their don’t have a good candidate?…..I don’t know…..but Rendell does seem to be making a slight comeback….could time  be kinder to the dem’s in that state?…right now they ARE behind the eight ball…I’ll give ya that……

Daniel….Pennsylvania Senate: New Quinnipiac University Survey confirms PPP Survey; Toomey ahead of Specter and Sestak…..

Hello Dog!

A new Quinnipiac University Survey in the Keystone State confirms the PPP Survey from earlier this week. Former U. S. Rep. Patrick J. “Pat” Toomey (R-PA) HAS REGAINED the lead over Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter (D-PA) and U. S. Rep. Joseph A. “Joe” Sestak (D-PA). The Survey also finds Obama’s JA “Underwater” in the State.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Pennsylvania Senate 2010

General Election

[ Arlen Spector and Pat Toomey ]

Former U. S. Rep. Patrick J. “Pat” Toomey (R)  46 %

Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter (D)  41 %
Others  0 %
Undecided  12 %

Former U. S. Rep. Patrick J. “Pat” Toomey (R)  42 %
U. S. Rep. Joseph A. “Joe” Sestak (D)  34 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  27 %

Major Candidates Campaign Websites:

http://www.toomeyforsenate.com/
http://www.specter2010.com/
http://joesestak.com/Home/Home.html

Job Approvals

President Barack Obama (D)

Approve  45 %
Disapprove  49 %
Not Sure  6 %

Senator Arlen Specter (D)

Approve  44 %
Disapprove  47 %
Not Sure  9 %

Senator Bob Casey Jr. (D)

Approve  48 %
Disapprove  30 %
Not Sure  22 %
Poll Averages:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_specter_vs_toomey-1058.html

http://www.pollster.com/polls/pa/10-pa-sen-ge-tvs.php

Analysis:

Toomey has the lead back. In case you haven’t noticed:

All the bad Polls coming this week for the Democrats are done after this DISASTROUS CRAP Health Care Reform Bill passed.

YOU GET THAT.

Daniel G.

Hey Daniel…I got that…I do suspect that this race will seesaw  back and forth till the election…..I expect Ole’ Arlen to win though…..

The Democrats will come home……

Daniel…. Pennsylvania Governor & Senate Primaries: Specter & Corbett hold big leads in their Primaries; Democratic Governor Primary is a Toss-Up according to a new Quinnipiac University Poll……..

Hello Dog!

Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter (D-PA) and Republican Attorney General Tom Corbett (R-PA) hold big leads in their respective Primaries according to a new Quinnipiac University Survey released today. Meanwhile Q-Pac finds that the Democratic Governor Primary is a Toss-Up.

Quinnipiac University Survey

Pennsylvania Governor 2010

Democratic Primary

Allegheny County Chief Executive Dan Onorato  20 %
Former U. S. Rep. Joe Hoeffel  15 %
State Auditor General Jack Wagner  13 %
State Senator Anthony Williams  5 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  47 %

Republican Primary

State Attorney General Tom Corbett  58 %
State Representative Sam Rohrer  7 %
Others  1 %
Undecided  35 %

Pennsylvania Senate 2010

Democratic Primary

Incumbent Senator Arlen Specter  53 %
U. S. Rep. Joseph A. “Joe” Sestak  32 %
Undecided  15 %

The Primaries are being held May 18th.

Note: Links for Campaign Websites will be added tomorrow when the General Election Survey is being released.

Analysis:

With one month to go Specter & Corbett does seem to have this in the bag. The interesting Race besides the PA – 12 Special Election will be the Democratic Governor Primary.

Daniel G.